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Super Bowl Tips: How, Where, and What to Bet on
Written by: Eddie Griffin
Last Updated:
Read Time: 9 minutes
If you are looking for information related to Super Bowl betting, you are definitely in the right place. Super Bowl LIX will take place February 9th, 2025 at the Caesars Superdome in Louisiana, home of the New Orleans Saints!
You want 2024 Super Bowl Betting Tips ? Check this Out!
The majority of our Super Bowl content can be found at our dedicated Big Game betting hub.
There, you will find information on all of the main types of Super Bowl bets, ranging from the serious to the frivolous. For example, did you know that you can bet on the Super Bowl halftime show? If current rumours are proven to be true, then we will see pop icon Miley Cyrus perform at the halftime show!
Where to Bet on the Super Bowl in 2024
The Super Bowl is the most popular individual event in American sports and one of the most popular sporting events in the world, and that extends to sports betting. Each year, brick-and-mortar sportsbooks and online sports betting sites take millions upon millions of Super Bowl bets.
Frequent NFL bettors account for a good percentage of those bets, but the several unique Super Bowl betting markets draw in new bettors or those who bet only on the NFL’s title tilt.
Are you looking for an online sportsbook where you can place Super Bowl bets? Here are some sites that we highly recommend:
Best Super Bowl Betting Sites
It’s important to research any sports betting site before you give it a try, so if you are interested in checking out any of those four books, take a look at our reviews of each book:
These sportsbooks and most other reputable sports betting sites will be offering Super Bowl betting bonuses and promotions. If you are new to sports betting, we recommend checking out our guide to sportsbook bonuses and promos, as well as our guide to sportsbook loyalty and rewards programs.
Super Bowl 58 Betting Predictions and Picks: Who Will Win This Year’s Super Bowl?
Following the AFC Championship Game and NFC Championship Game, we will know who will play in this year’s Super Bowl, which will be held at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
Once the matchup has been determined, keep an eye on our Super Bowl betting predictions, as well as our spread, over/under, and prop betting picks for the matchup.
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Super Bowl Betting Tips for Beginners: DO YOUR RESEARCH!
Below you will find a list of Super Bowl bettings tips to keep in mind this season as we head toward the Super Bowl. Take each point into consideration when you place wagers for this years event. The Super Bowl has no equivalent so the books are sharp. Beginners can check out these tips and then feel more prepared when they their props and sides.
Team Performance
Two teams make it to the final. This means you should take a deep dive into all their statistical categories. Review each team with a fine toothed comb. Check out metrics like yards gained per carry, points scored, defensive statistics. Beginners should target spots that are profitable and may be niche. For example, if a team has a poor red zone defence then you could wager a touchdown for the opposing teams main red zone target. This example is rudimentary purposefully but this is the kind of mindset beginners need when wagering the Super Bowl.
Head-to-Head Record
The NFL season is short. This means that any matchups between the Super Bowl participants should be easy to review. Beginners need to examine each and every matchup of the two teams current iterations. This may mean to check out years prior and not just the current season. For example, if the Chiefs make it the big dance again then beginners should review their opponents history back a few years. This is because Kansas City has had a considerable amount of continuity over the years.
Injury Reports
Ah, every sports fans worst nightmare — injuries. No sport is without them so they are ingrained into the game. Before a beginner wagers anything they should know whose on the injury report. For example, players who even suit up should be monitored, avoid wagering on players with tricky injuries like hamstring strains. Contrarily, if you see a cornerback with a hamstring injury then it might be time to target the wide receiver they’ll be assigned to.
Weather Conditions
There are many stadiums in the NFL which would be considered outdoors and therefor vulnerable to the elements. Weather significantly affects game planning on the grid iron. Beginners should know the basics like poor weather results in missed kicks and more ground game. Rain, snow, sleet — this game will be played. Know the weather and what part it will play!
Manage Your Bankroll
Set a Budget
Set an amount you are willing to wager within your individual finances and stick to it. Beginner or experienced, it doesn’t matter, set your limit and do not exceed it.
Bet Small
When starting out make smaller bets to minimize risk. Decide a unit size and wager accordingly. The size of the unit does not matter. Do not wager significant amounts of money until you have gained experience and understand the dynamics of both sportsbooks and the sport.
Avoid Chasing Losses
If you lose wagers do not increase your unit size in order to make back losses. Stick to your strategy and budget. Resist the urge to try and make it back through more wagers. Instead try and use tools and analysis to improve your wagering.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
Betting with Emotion
You should bet with the knowledge provided by Betting News and its partners not with your gut. Your gut may play a part but you should be doing further analysis and research to back up your gut feeling. For example, don’t blindly bet your favourite team. Use tools, data, analysis to educate your decisions.
Following the Crowd
The popular opinion can be right but avoid blindly following it. Analyze data yourself and come to educated conclusions. If you like a popular play vet it yourself before wagering it. Take all the Super Bowl betting advice you can and chose which you will personally deploy.
Ignoring/Finding Value
Assess if potential returns are worth the risk. Avoid any bet your perceive has no value. For example, wagering a (-150) that does not have ironclad statistical analysis to back it up should not be wagered. However, a (+110) play that others are avoiding as a trap could be a spot to target if the analysis backs it up.
Advanced Super Bowl Tips
Advanced Statistics
Get in the laboratory and find all the acronyms. Experienced Super Bowl bettors should all be diving into all the the advanced statistics they can find. Use metrics like Expected Points Added (EPA) and Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) to more informed decisions. Your favourite NFL team uses advanced stats and every advanced bettor should do the same.
Betting Trends
Monitor lines that move throughout the week leading up to the game. Identify where the sharp money is going. For example, if a line shifts significantly in one direction, this might indicate that the professional bettors are backing one particular side.
Situational and Contextual Considers
Home/Away Performance
The Super Bowl is usually held a predetermined neutral site. Find out how the Super Bowl participants play in neutral site games like the Super Bowl or overseas. The fans in the stands play a role in the game too so bettors should account for them.
Rest and Scheduling
Analyze the rest versus rust paradigm. An important Super Bowl betting tip is to know how each team comes off of rest. Teams with more rest before the game might perform better. It is up to you to do the work and find out if that is true.
Exploring Value
Identifying Value Bets
Look for bets where the odds are higher than the actual probability of the outcome. For example, if you believe a team has a 60% chance of winning but the odds imply only a 50% chance, that represents a value bet.
Hedge Betting
Hedge your bets by placing smaller wagers on the opposing outcomes so that you may secure profit. This type of betting betting takes some math so make sure to do your due diligence. However, getting good at hedge betting means you can minimize losses and maximize profits. For example, if you have a considerably large future bet wagered then it might not be a bad idea to place a small wager on the opposing outcome so that you can ensure a return regardless of outcome.
In-Game or Live Betting
Place bets as the event unfolds. This is some of the best value you can find. Watch the game intently and see if there are any specific areas to target. Does the D-Line look tired? Target the opposing running back. Place specific bets like next team to score or point totals for quarters and halves. Adapt your strategy on the fly and react to the dynamics of the game to find value plays live as the game is being played. Keeping all the Super Bowl betting tips in mind makes live betting some of the most profitable wagers experienced gamblers can make.
Who’s going to the Super Bowl?
It would be too easy to just say the Kansas City Chiefs. However, it would be ludicrous to discount their dynasty. Predicting who will make it to the Super Bowl can be difficult but not impossible. There are contenders and pretenders and good bettors should be able to parse out which is which. Teams that excel throughout the regular season are not always true contenders. They may have week divisions or favourable schedules. Evaluate every team with tips, tools, and analysis from Betting News and their team. If you want to predict the Super Bowl particapants, then take the following into account:
Injuries are a significant factor as well. A team that losses a key cog in the playoffs will likely be a different team. This means bettors should conduct research on how teams play without players who are injured. Injuries are entirely unavoidable and that means that experienced bettors should be prepared for that inevitability.
You should also know the coaches. Not all coaching staffs are created equal. While others excel at putting up points then another might excel at stopping scores. Experience or advanced bettors should have knowledge on the tactics and styles of coaches.
Expert predictions and betting odds are also very valuable insights for identifying potential Super Bowl teams. Analysts and sportsbooks often provide valuable insights based on team performance trends and betting patterns. Check out the lines for every book and decide which one the place your wager at. Find value! Line shop!
We hope that the Super Bowl betting tips were helpful to both novice and experienced bettors. The NFL season is here so be sure to check out Betting News’ NFL betting guide.
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