WNBA Most Valuable Player Odds & Favorites: Record-Chasing Wilson Running Away with Third MVP?

The 2024 WNBA season is a little more than a month old, and the regular season doesn’t end for another almost three months. But as it stands, it looks like it will take something superhuman to keep A’ja Wilson from claiming WNBA MVP honors this season.

Over the first 27 seasons of the WNBA, 16 players have been named Most Valuable Player. Wilson, who was named MVP in 2020 and 2022, is one of eight players to win the award multiple times.

Of that octet, Basketball Hall of Famers Sheryl Swoopes (2000, 2002, 2005), Lisa Leslie (2001, 2004, 2006), and Lauren Jackson (2003, 2007, 2010) stand alone as three-time winners.

If Wilson continues her sensational start to this season, that group will gain a new member in a few months’ time.

Wilson and the Las Vegas Aces have already lost six games, which is the same number of games they lost the entire 2023 regular season.

But the former South Carolina star has more than done her part for the two-time defending WNBA champions. Entering tonight’s matchup with WNBA Rookie of the Year hopeful Angel Reese and the Chicago Sky, Wilson leads the league in scoring (27.8 PPG) and rebounding (11.6 RPG), is second in blocks (2.4 BPG), and ranks sixth in steals (1.9 SPG) and field-goal percentage (52.4%).

There have been many fantastic performers and performances thus far this season, but Wilson has put herself well out in front in the WNBA MVP race with a level of play that has her on pace for a historic, record-breaking season.

Can anyone catch her? The top performers for other WNBA championship contenders are putting together strong seasons, but they are well back in the race for now.

Odds to Win WNBA MVP This Season

These 2024 WNBA MVP odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus (100% if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on Sunday’s WNBA games.

• A’ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces -400
• Alyssa Thomas, Connecticut Sun +900
• Napheesa Collier, Minnesota Lynx +900
• Breanna Stewart, New York Liberty +2500
• Kahleah Copper, Phoenix Mercury +3300
• Sabrina Ionescu, New York Liberty +7500
• Nneka Ogwumike, Seattle Storm +7500
• Caitlin Clark, Indiana Fever +15000

Who Are the WNBA MVP Favorites?

A’ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces (-400)

2024 Season Stats for Wilson (14 games): 27.8 PPG, 11.6 RPG, 2.5 APG, 2.4 BPG, 1.9 SPG, 52.4% FG, 38.9% 3PT, 85.7% FT

In 2006, Diana Taurasi averaged 25.3 PPG on the way to winning the scoring title that season. To date, she is the only player in WNBA history to average 25.0 or more PPG in a season.

If Wilson plays in all 40 games this season and averages 24.1 PPG over the final 26 games, she will not only eclipse Taurasi’s record but also become the first WNBA player to hit the 1000-point mark in a single season.

As amazing as that is, she is also within striking distance of the single season rebounding record. That is currently held by Sylvia Fowles, who averaged 11.88 rebounds per game in 2018, edging out the 11.85 RPG Jonquel Jones averaged the year prior.

If Wilson plays in every game this season and averages a shade over 12 rebounds per game the rest of the way while doing so, she will eclipse Fowles’s record.

For her to be in a realistic pursuit of both records shows just how good she has been this season.

To date, Wilson has scored no fewer than 21 points and pulled down no fewer than eight rebounds. She has four 30-point games and four games with at least 25 points and 15 rebounds, including a 26/16 game last time out against the Sun.

Alyssa Thomas, Connecticut Sun (+900)

2024 Season Stats for Thomas (16 games): 12.4 PPG, 9.6 RPG, 7.7 APG, 1.7 SPG, 51.7% FG, 65.8% FT

Last season, Thomas had the best campaign of her WNBA career, averaging 15.5 PPG, 9.9 RPG, and 7.9 APG.

Those numbers are all down thus far this season, but she is one of the chief reasons that the Sun started 9-0 and 13-1 this season.

Thomas hasn’t had a triple-double since opening the season with one against the Fever, but she has been a rebound away, an assist away, two points away, and a rebound and an assist away on other occasions.

Her versatility is invaluable to the Sun, who are aiming to finally get over the championship hump this season. But can she do enough to catch up with Wilson in the WNBA MVP race?

Napheesa Collier, Minnesota Lynx (+900)

2024 Season Stats for Collier (17 games): 21.4 PPG, 10.4 RPG, 3.5 APG, 2.2 SPG, 1.4 BPG, 46.9% FG, 30.8% 3PT, 81.1% FT

The Lynx had a second consecutive losing season in 2023, but Collier had a strong season individually, averaging 21.5 PPG, 8.5 RPG, and 2.5 APG.

Minnesota did fall to the Dallas Wings today, despite Collier’s 29 points, 11 rebounds, and four assists. But the Lynx are back in a familiar place in the upper echelon of the WNBA standings, and Collier has continued where she left off last season.

Collier’s double-double against Dallas was her tenth of the season, which is one fewer than she had in 37 games last season. And it came two days after she recorded 21 points, six rebounds, three assists, and three steals to help lead the Lynx to a Commissioner’s Cup final win over the New York Liberty and cap off an MVP performance in the Commissioner’s Cup.

There won’t be any runner-up awards handed out to the player that may finish second to Wilson in the WNBA MVP race, but Collier is on her way to a second straight All-WNBA First Team selection, as well as a fourth All-Star nod.

Breanna Stewart, New York Liberty (+2500)

Season Stats for Stewart (18 games): 19.7 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 4.0 APG, 2.2 SPG, 1.4 BPG, 48.1% FG, 25.3% 3PT, 88.2% FT

Can last season’s MVP make a move in this season’s race?

In her first season in New York, Stewart averaged 23.0 PPG (a career high), 9.3 RPG, and 3.8 APG (another career high) and beat out Wilson for WNBA MVP honors.

This season, Stewart has eight double-doubles (and had 24 points and 11 rebounds in the Liberty’s Commissioner’s Cup final loss to the Lynx), and she has hit the 30-point mark three times.

But she has also scored fewer than 15 points six times already, and her outside shooting is well below what we are accustomed to seeing. In her first seven WNBA seasons, her worst perimeter percentage in a season was 33.3%, which she shot in 2021.

On the flip side, her current overall shooting percentage would be the second best of her career, next to the 52.9% she shot in 2018 on the way to her first WNBA MVP and championship wins.

She will find her outside shot sooner or later, and her scoring average will likely tick over the 20.0 PPG mark soon enough.

However, she isn’t the Liberty’s only potential WNBA MVP candidate, as teammate Ionescu (19.3 PPG, 6.7 APG, 4.3 RPG) is on pace to set career highs in scoring and assists and is in the midst of a sizzling stretch (27.0 PPG, 9.7 APG, 53.7% FG, 48.3% 3PT in her last three games).

WNBA MVP Winners

• 2023: Breanna Stewart, New York Liberty
• 2022: A’ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces
• 2021: Jonquel Jones, Connecticut Sun
• 2020: A’ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces
• 2019: Elena Delle Donne, Washington Mystics
• 2018: Breanna Stewart, Seattle Storm
• 2017: Sylvia Fowles, Minnesota Lynx
• 2016: Nneka Ogwumike, Los Angeles Sparks
• 2015: Elena Delle Donne, Chicago Sky
• 2014: Maya Moore, Minnesota Lynx
• 2013: Candace Parker, Los Angeles Sparks
• 2012: Tina Charles, Connecticut Sun
• 2011: Tamika Catchings, Indiana Fever
• 2010: Lauren Jackson, Seattle Storm
• 2009: Diana Taurasi, Phoenix Mercury
• 2008: Candace Parker, Los Angeles Sparks
• 2007: Lauren Jackson, Seattle Storm
• 2006: Lisa Leslie, Los Angeles Sparks
• 2005: Sheryl Swoopes, Houston Comets
• 2004: Lisa Leslie, Los Angeles Sparks
• 2003: Lauren Jackson, Seattle Storm
• 2002: Sheryl Swoopes, Houston Comets
• 2001: Lisa Leslie, Los Angeles Sparks
• 2000: Sheryl Swoopes, Houston Comets
• 1999: Yolanda Griffith, Sacramento Monarchs
• 1998: Cynthia Cooper, Houston Comets
• 1997: Cynthia Cooper, Houston Comets

Other WNBA Betting Information

Where to Bet on the WNBA This Season

Thanks to the growing popularity of the WNBA and women’s basketball, WNBA odds are available far and wide this season.

In addition to offering odds on each game on the schedule, many sportsbooks also offer a variety of WNBA futures odds, such as WNBA MVP odds like those listed above, championship winner odds, WNBA Rookie of the Year odds, win total odds, and more.

There are plenty of sports betting sites you can choose from that are good for WNBA betting. In addition to BetOnline, here are several books that we have reviewed and highly recommend:

• BetDSI (review)
• BetUS (review)
• Bookmaker (review)
• Bovada (review)
• MyBookie (review)
• Sportsbetting.ag (review)

What if you don’t have an account at a book on this list? Check out our reviews to help you determine if it is worth your interest and your betting funds.

Interested in Learning More About WNBA Betting?

Looking to learn more about the ins and outs of betting on the WNBA? Check out our WNBA betting guide. Also, if you’d like to learn more about betting on WNBA player prop bets, our NBA player props guide is a handy resource to utilize.

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