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UEFA Champions League Group Stage: AC Milan vs PSG, Prediction
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
soccer
The UEFA Champions League has turned the page and began the final three games of Group Stage. Just two weeks ago, we got to watch these top squads face off in Paris, and now we get to watch them go at it again in Italy, as AC Milan hosts PSG.
Let’s preview this final group stage game between these two teams and find our best bets on the board.
AC Milan vs PSG Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Giuseppe Meazza (Milano, Italy)
- Date: Tuesday, November 7th, 2023
- Kick Off: 3:00pm Eastern
Betting Odds
Draw No Bet
- AC Milan +122
- PSG -148
Moneyline
- AC Milan +200
- Draw +265
- PSG +125
Total
- Over 2.5 (-132)
- Under 2.5 (+111)
Champions League Best Bets: AC Milan vs PSG
AC Milan currently sits in last place in the UCL Group Stage standings. With just 2 points through 3 games, this is game that they need to win in order to have any hope of surviving.
On the other hand, PSG leads the group with 6 points following two wins and a loss to Newcastle. This could be a game that PSG sits back, and allows Milan to come to them, however I do not think this will be the case.
Last game, we cashed on PSG ML parlayed with an alternate under of 3.5. It was indeed a low scoring game like predicted, but PSG snuck in a late goal to win 3-0, allowing our parlay to cash thanks to the alternate total.
This time, I’m looking at something extremely similar.
The Pick: PSG Draw No Bet/Under 3.5 (-103) Bovada
Another UCL Two Teamer?
Yes, another UCL two teamer.
I think PSG wins this game 2-1, and this bet reflects such. Feel free to lay the -148 on PSG Draw No Bet.
Personally I have no problem with that price on the road, even against a fired up but outmanned team from Milan. PSG can really put this group out of reach with a win this afternoon. A win puts PSG at 9 total points, with 2 games remaining against Dortmund and Newcastle.
Both of those squads play today, and only have 4 total points. With a win over Milan tonight, PSG can afford drawing with both of those teams, regardless of their result today, and still win the group outright.
Since losing to Newcastle in their second game of Group Stage, PSG has won 5 straight in all competitions, netting 3 goals in all 5 of those games and only allowing 3 total.
I do not think Milan will be able to withstand a PSG beatdown once again, but am playing this two teamer for just about even money and a bit of a cushion.
Again, feel free to lay the -148 on PSG Draw No Bet, or take the ML at +125 if you’re feeling frisky.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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