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Manchester City v Inter Milan: UCL Final Prediction & Best Bets
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
soccer
The 2023 UEFA Champions League Final is set to kick off on June 10th, in Istanbul, Turkey. After 32 teams entered Group Stage, we have finally made it down to our final two teams, and it should be an incredibly exciting final with some big name players.
Manchester City takes on Inter Milan.
We have one team from Italy looking to capture their 4th overall UCL Title. This is their 6th finals appearance overall, and their first since they won it in 2010.
On the other side, we have a team from England making just their 2nd UCL Final appearance but also their 2nd in just three years. Back in 2021, this team was beaten by Chelsea, but two years later they are back in the final and looking to bring home their club’s first UCL Championship.
Let’s get into it.
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UEFA Champions League Final
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Ataturk Olympic Stadium (Istanbul, Turkey)
- Date: Saturday, June 10th, 2023
- Kick Off: 3:00pm Eastern
- Broadcast: CBS
Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of BetOnline.
Moneyline (90 Minutes)
- Inter Milan +550
- Draw +360
- Manchester City -220
To Lift the Cup (Win in any manner)
- Inter Milan +350
- Manchester City -450
Total Goals
- Over 2.5 (-140)
- Under 2.5 (+114)
UCL Final Prediction
As the betting odds suggest, I definitely think this is Manchester City’s game to lose.
They are by far the more talented and star-studded team, so it will be on the backs of Inter Milan to give their opponent some trouble. I think Inter can compete in a possession/defensive battle, but there’s no way they keep up with City’s strikers in a shootout.
Because of this, I think Inter Milan comes out extremely defensive, essentially hoping for a nil-nil draw after 90, extending their luck through extra time, and eventually trying to take them down in PKs.
That is a tall ask when going up against Erling Haaland and Kevin De Bruyne.
Overall, I think Inter Milan plays a solid game, but Man City’s attack will eventually be too much.
UCL Final Best Bets
Under 2.5 (+114) BetOnline
I understand why this line appears this way. Manchester City’s offense is stacked with big names. Erling Haaland is tearing up the EPL this year, Bernardo Silva had two goals in the 2nd leg of the semifinal against defending Champion, Real Madrid. Not to mention Kevin De Bruyne, who is without a doubt one of the elite midfielders playing today.
It’s no surprise that goals are to be expected.
However Inter Milan can hold their own on defense. They typically play a formation including wing-backs that get forward on the attack, but also help on the defensive side. When defending a team like Man City, Inter Milan will surely roll with 5 in the back like normal.
Historically, we have seen the past three UCL Finals result in 1-0 victories. Defense wins championships in this tournament. We’ve also had the past four title matches go under this 2.5 number.
I predict a 1-0 or 2-0 Man City victory. I think they are overall the much more talented squad, and I think Inter will struggle to find scoring chances against City’s back line.
Both Team To Score No: (-108) BetOnline
Like I said, I think we see a defensive game overall. Both teams will have a tough time finding the net against these back lines and keepers, however Inter Milan will be too occupied on stopping Haaland and company to even think about scoring.
Inter Milan will try to win this game nil-nil in PKs, whereas Manchester City will be extremely aggressive on the attack.
Against Inter’s stellar defense, I only see Man City finding the back of the net once, but that’s all it should take to win.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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