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Carabao Cup Final, Liverpool vs Newcastle: Odds & Best Bets

Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated: Sun Mar 16, 2025, 09:08 AM
Read Time: 4 minutes

soccer
Sunday morning brings us a Cup Final across the pond as Liverpool takes on Newcastle at Wembley Stadium to claim the Carabao Cup. Liverpool has essentially wrapped up the Premier League Title as they lead by 15 points with just 9 matches remaining. It would take a miracle for someone to replace them on top.
Newcastle currently sits in 6th place, just two points behind Chelsea for 4th, so they still have plenty to play for in the EPL with the hopes of moving up to a UEFA Champions League qualifying spot. However, they must focus on the task at hand tonight, as there is a chance at some hardware on the line.
Liverpool vs Newcastle: Carabao Cup Final

Liverpool take on Newcastle in the Carabao Cup Final
Matchup Information – Liverpool vs Newcastle
- Venue & Location: Wembley Stadium (London, England)
- Date: Sunday, March 16th, 2025
- Kick Off: 12:30am Eastern
- Broadcast: Paramount Plus
Betting Odds
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Money Line
- Liverpool -131
- Draw +298
- Newcastle +360
Total
- Over 2.5 (-135)
- Under 2.5 (+110)
Newcastle Prepares for Cup Final vs Liverpool

Will Newcastle take down Liverpool in the Cup Final?
Even playing on a neutral field, Liverpool is still a heavy favorite. These teams have already played twice this competition season in the EPL. Back in December, Newcastle played Liverpool to a 3-3 draw at home, including netting a 90 minute equalizer to escape with a point. About two weeks ago, the two teams faced off again, with Liverpool securing a 2-nil win at home.
Newcastle might have a revenge chip on their shoulder, especially being the underdog. The Magpies have lost 3 of their last 5 matches outright, including their 2-nil loss to Liverpool. While both teams seem to be in mediocre form, Liverpool will also be playing with a chip on their shoulder.
Just this week, Liverpool was knocked out of the UEFA Champions League. After holding a 1-0 aggregate lead going back home, they couldn’t contain the PSG attack, eventually losing on PKs. I think we see a Liverpool team come incredibly fired up and ready to lift this trophy instead.
Liverpool vs Newcastle Best Bets

Virgil Van Dijk patrols the backline for Liverpool
Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction: Liverpool Wins 2-0 (+800)
Best Bet: Liverpool ML (-131) BetOnline
Liverpool had their sites set on an EPL and UCL Title in the same year. The UCL part will not be happening, but they could lift the Carabao Cup instead with a win today.
They are clearly the much better team, and after handling business the last time they faced Newcastle, tonight should be nothing different. Liverpool is -131 on the ML but -240 to lift the trophy. To me, that is telling us how much more the books respect Liverpool than their opponent, and I’ll happily take that information.
While this is only a 90 minute bet, Liverpool won’t want to play anymore than they have to. I see them getting the job done early today, and lifting the trophy in regulation time.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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