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Aston Villa v Liverpool EPL Odds & Tips [May 10]: Reds face an Anfield legend
Written by: Frank Monkhouse
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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Steven Gerrard prepares his Aston Villa side for a home match against Liverpool on Tuesday, knowing that the club he captained needs a win to keep alive their dream of winning the Premier League.
The Reds dropped points at the weekend, allowing current league leaders Man City to extend their lead to three points. Liverpool have an opportunity to move level on 86 points with Pep Guardiola’s men before turning their attentions to Saturday’s FA Cup Final against Chelsea at Wembley.
All the pressure is on the visitors, and they know failure to win at this late stage of the campaign will hand the advantage to their rivals. Liverpool must overcome an opponent on a three-match unbeaten run and victory in their last two games to get the desired result.
Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Betting Odds and Matchup Information
Matchup Information
- Aston Villa have won each of their last two Premier League games and haven’t suffered a defeat at this level in three matches.
- Liverpool are on a long unbeaten run, but they are beginning to feel the pace of fighting for the Premier League, Champions League and FA Cup.
- Liverpool beat Aston Villa 1-0 when the sides met at Anfield earlier this season, with the winning goal scored by Mo Salah from the penalty spot.
- Venue & Location: Villa Park (Birmingham, England)
- Kick-Off Time: 3:00 p.m. Eastern Time (8:00 p.m. local time)
Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Betting Odds
Odds are via Bovada Sportsbook.
Moneyline
- Aston Villa to win +600
- Draw +350
- Liverpool to win -225
Over/Under Goals
- Over 2.5 goals -162
- Under 2.5 goals +120
Aston Villa are finishing on a high
Steven Gerrard has turned things around at Villa Park after moving from Scottish Premiership champions Glasgow Rangers earlier in the season. The team from Birmingham spent much of the campaign with the threat of relegation hanging over their heads, but they are now free to enjoy the last few weeks.
The hosts are unbeaten in their last three Premier League starts, following a draw with back to back wins. That purple patch lifted Aston Villa to 11th in the table, nine points clear of the danger zone and just one point behind Crystal Palace in 10th.
It’s worth keeping Villa’s league standing in mind when making your predictions on this match, as it’ll be interesting to see how much focus is left in the squad. They have protected their place in the top tier of English football for another year, meaning they can let their guard down and relax.
Ollie Watkins is Aston Villa’s top attacker with stats of 10 goals and one assist from 32 games.
Will Villa keep pushing all the way to the finish line in the hope of securing a top 10 finish? That would be something special for a club that ended 11th last year and were forced to change their manager halfway through the campaign.
Gerrard isn’t the type of manager that will give his players a few weeks off, but he is likely to rotate his squad, giving youth and fringe players an opportunity to impress. This match means more to Liverpool than it does Villa, and that will show in the result.
Reds finally slip up
Liverpool have spent the majority of 2022 chasing down Manchester City, piling pressure on last season’s champions and this year’s league leaders. The Cityzens sit in pole position, three points better off than Liverpool, meaning there’s no margin for error at Anfield.
Every match between now and the finish line is a must-win if the Reds are to stand any chance of dethroning Man City. Jurgen Klopp’s men stumbled to a 1-1 draw at home to Tottenham Hotspur last weekend, which allowed City to draw clear.
It was a match they were favourites to win and one they had enough chances to wrap up early, but it just wasn’t their day. Liverpool ended rather lucky to get anything out of the match as it was Spurs that took the lead thanks to a goal from Son Heung-Min on 56 minutes before Diaz struck a leveller.
This season, Mo Salah is Liverpool’s top scorer with 30 goals and 15 assists from 47 games played in all competitions.
Klopp was rather subdued in his post-match interview when admitting he feared Man City wouldn’t slip up from here, but he vowed his players would keep working hard to close the gap. The manager and fans will want to see a response from the players at Aston Villa.
A win at Villa Park would move Liverpool on to 86 points alongside Man City, and with the goal difference at present being just four, it will be as tight as can be. Liverpool need the points to remain in the title race, but they know this season could come down to goal difference, so they will want to keep a clean sheet and score a few.
Head-to-Head Stats & Trends for Aston Villa vs. Liverpool
There are concrete stats and trends to work from at this late stage of the season. We’ll start by looking through the head to head scores where we find both teams have scored in three of the last four meetings of these teams.
Aston Villa famously beat Liverpool 7-2 in October 2020, but that goes down as a freak result because it’s the Birmingham club’s only league win since September 2014. In recent times, Liverpool have had no problems claiming the points and finding the net.
We now turn our attention to the recent form of Liverpool and note the Reds have conceded three goals and scored four in their previous two matches this month. Add to that Aston Villa’s 3-1 win away to lowly Burnley last time, and we edge towards a worthwhile bet.
Back Liverpool to win and both teams to score for a bet that should give you an interested for the duration of the match.
Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Betting Tip – Liverpool win and both teams to score @ +190 (Bovada Sportsbook)
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