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NFL Week 9 Staff Picks: Best Bets & Props From Our NFL Team
Written by: Daniel Collins
Last Updated:
Read Time: 10 minutes
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November is here, the holidays are right around the corner and the year is starting to come to an end. But don’t worry, that just means the NFL season is really starting to heat up and boy oh boy is it heating up.
Welcome to Week 9 and this week, there are some fantastic matchups and money to be made on the gridiron.
Below, our Team here at Betting News are going to give their BEST BETS & PICKS for Week 9 of the NFL Season. Whether it is a Spread, Moneyline, Total or Player Prop, this is your go to article every week for our team’s favorite bets!
Here is the Team’s Record after Week 8:
Daniel: 3-5 (-2.0 units)
Nate: 4-4 (-0.6u units)
Colby: 3-5 (-2.3 units)
Varun: 3-5 (-2.0 units)
Brad: 4-4 (-0.4 units)
Sukh (New Edition): 0-0
Now let’s dive in to the Betting News Teams’ Best Bets for Week 9 of the NFL Season!
All Odds available at BetOnline, an industry leader in the Sports betting Market and where all of our team bet every day.
Daniel Collins’ Week 9 NFL Pick
Tua Tagovailoa o5.5 Rushing Yards (-110) BetOnline
Let’s Kick week 9 off with Tua and the Dolphins taking on the Buffalo Bills in a big AFC East matchup.
The Dolphins are sitting at 2-5 and are in win now mode, with every game becoming almost a must win. The 6-2 Buffalo Bills are cruising in first place in the AFC East and with a win against the Fins this week, it would all but sink Miami’s hope of making this AFC East title chase a legitimate fight.
That said, the Dolphins will be laying it all out on the line and that starts with #1. Tua returned last week for the Dolphins to lead them after being out for the last 4 weeks after yet another concussion suffered on Thursday night football in week 2 against these Buffalo Bills.
This is a massive game for the Fins and I expect Tua to do everything he can to get a much needed win. And that will include a scramble or 2.
Tua has hit this rushing yards line in 6 straight games dating back to last season and in the 3 games he started this year.
Lastly, he has 6+ rushing yards in 6 straight games vs Buffalo. In a massive AFC East battle, give me Tua to rumble for 6 yards.
Nate Hornung’s Week 9 NFL Pick
Aaron Jones Over 73.5 Rushing Yards (-114) BetOnline
Aaron Jones and the Vikings host the Colts back at home after 2 straight losses. They started 5-0 and now need to turn things back around. Indianapolis has a terrible rushing defense, and I am confident Jones can clear this number.
The Colts allow over 150 yards on the ground per game, ranking 30th in the NFL. That translates to over 4.5 yards per attempt, where Jones is already running for 4.8. He’s cleared this line in 4/7 games this season, posting 90+ rushing yards in all of those contests. He averages nearly 15 carries per game, and with his line this matchup set at 17.5, Vegas knows he should see an increased workload.
Overall, I like the Vikings to dominate in this matchup, which will hopefully turn into tons of touches for Jones and plenty of yards as well.
Colby Marchio’s Week 9 NFL Pick
Broncos Team Total Over 16.5 (-155) BetOnline
Denver is up against a defense that ranks as the seventh worst in points allowed per game, averaging 26.1. While they’ve been slightly better at home, giving up 19.7 points per game, they still allow a staggering 291.4 air yards per game, the worst in the NFL. Baltimore’s defense has conceded over this total in seven of their eight games this season, and they’ve allowed 17+ points in four consecutive games.
On the flip side, Denver’s offense has been on a roll, scoring 28+ points in back-to-back games and exceeding this total in five of their eight outings. They’ve managed to do so in three of their four road games, averaging 22 points per game away from home—better than their home performance. While they’re not the most explosive team through the air, ranking sixth worst in passing yards per game, facing the NFL’s worst pass defense could help any average offense shine.
If you would like to read my full analysis on this prop, click this link.
Varun Sharma’s Week 9 NFL Pick
Zach Ertz Anytime Touchdown (+240)
We’re going with some value here. Ertz has been a target machine for Jayden Daniels this year.
He’s 2nd on the team in targets and there’s about a 20-target gap between him and 3rd place. He’s seen 5+ targets in 4 of the L5 games and he’s got just 1 touchdown this year.
Ertz also leads this Commanders team in redzone targets this year with 8, unfortunately only one of those has been converted into a touchdown. He’s so due.
The Giants rank top 6 in yards allowed to the tight end position but that has more to do with their opponents than it does their defense. Over the first 8 games, the Giants have seen two, really good tight ends and one of them was Zach.
He recorded 4 catches for 64 yards against the Giants in Week 2, and it was Jake Ferguson with 7 catches for 49 yards. Both tight ends were held out of the endzone but this week that changes.
Ertz has played the Commanders 15 times in his career, playing most of his career in the NFC East. He’s averaging 5 receptions per game for 62 yards and he’s scored 7 touchdowns; with 6 of those touchdowns coming over his last 7 matchups with New York.
He’s scored in his last two trip to MetLife Stadium, let’s make it three this week.
If you would like to read my full analysis on this prop, click this link.
Brad Blakemore’s Week 9 NFL Pick
AJ Brown o82.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
You don’t need to be a statistician to understand why AJ Brown’s receiving yards look great this week.
- He’s up against the Jacksonville Jaguars who have one of the worst secondaries. They are allowing the 2nd most passing yards in the league, with an average of nearly 274 yards against per game. Luckily they can keep games close with a strong offense which means their games often turn into shootouts. A best of both worlds situation for the game script.
- Brown has hit in all four games this season. He is averaging 86.5 receiving yards per game. He also averages 5.3 receptions per game. He’s one of the top receivers in the league and should be able to burn the Jags secondary.
The only concern here is if the game quickly falls out of Jacksonville’s grasp and the Eagles can rely on Barley and Hurts legs to eat time and keep the defense fresh. And with the Jaguars top receiver Brian Thomas Jr being questionable it could mean that Jacksonville will struggle to move the chains. But Brown is a big time receiver and can easily crush this line in minimal receptions. Leaning into the game script of a bad secondary getting burned, but an offense that is productive enough to keep Brown busy all game.
Sukh Brar’s Week 9 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions -2.5 (-120) BetOnline
The Lions are winners of 5 straight and come in undefeated on the road. They’ll seek to continue their same trickery and spoil the day for some cheeseheads. This Detroit squad wants it all. Stealing a game on Lambau Field would only further embolden them. This divisional clash has chaos written all over it.
10 minutes of tricks as a Halloween treat 😈 pic.twitter.com/pnLgQquIWd
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) October 31, 2024
Dan Campbells Detroit squad has run up the score nearly every week.
The Packers have miraculously given the cheeseheads a reason to cheer nearly every week.
Somethings gotta’ give.
It’s the little things that give me unwavering faith in the Lions. Kicker Jake Bates is 11/11 on field goals. Jared Goff is completing 74.1 percent of his passes. Most impressively, they do not turn the ball over, only five total turnovers on the season. They make big plays for SportsCenter and the socials but they ensure the little things are taken care of.
More so, while the offence garners the headlines, the defence and special teams have been much more than a footnote. They’ve been elite defending on third downs (1st) and have stifled the opposing run game (5th). Teams can put up yardage but they struggle to score (19.1 Point Allowed). In their lone loss of the season Baker’s Bucs still only managed to score 20.
Additionally, Special teams can make plays returning, or with treacherous tricks, and the aforementioned Jake Bates has been near perfect.
Even without Aiden Hutchinson, this defence has enough to contain teams, and with their offence — that’s all they need.
Can the Packers silence the Lions’ roar?
This Packers team have weathered every storm this year. They’ve found ways to win even when Jordan Love is sidelined. However, Jordan Love is hampered by injury again. Can they keep winning when the downpour feels unending?
Dan Campbell’s speeches are COLD.
“We’ll tread water as long as it takes to fucking bury you” 🥶#OnePride pic.twitter.com/NB1dHSsKCU
— 𝔗𝔥𝔢 𝔇𝔢𝔱𝔯𝔬𝔦𝔱 𝔗𝔦𝔪𝔢𝔰 📰 (@the_det_times) October 31, 2024
The Packers are mediocre converting on third downs. They can also be baited into turnovers. Love has a groin strain which likely keeps him handcuffed inside the pocket. Their star corner, Jaire Alexander, is hurt too. This team needed a late field goal to beat the Jaguars. Packers are a solid squad but their offensive leader is banged up and they are facing an exceptional opponent.
The Lions could win this by a touchdown or, more likely, we see Jake Bates put one down the middle of the uprights. Either way the -2.5 feels as comfy as your own bed after a bad vacation. The blanket and sheets are Honolulu blue, baby.
The Accusations of disrespecting the sanctity of a game rooted in violence are ridiculous. The Lions mentality is viscous. Football is viscous. The Lions’ cruel intentions will lead them to cover.
Thanks for stopping by!
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Daniel Collins is a sports fanatic and data-driven bettor. He has expertise in the NFL, NBA, and NHL. He’s a big fan of the Titans #titanup, Predators #predators and Arsenal #coyg. If he isn’t watching, betting on or writing about sports, he loves the outdoors, traveling, strong coffee and delicious food. You can follow him on X @SweatpantJesus. Peace and Love
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