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Raiders vs. Bills Prediction & Picks: Can the Bills Bounce Back?
Written by: Varun Sharma
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
nfl
It’s officially Week 2 of the 2023/24 NFL Season. Bills look to bounce at in Buffalo with the Raiders in town.
First Sunday of the season and we saw plenty of underdogs not only cover, but win outright. The Chiefs lost their home opener, and the Bills went down 0-1 to the Rodger-less Jets
Jimmy G and the Raiders played spoiler in Sean Payton’s debut, and we saw the Dolphins win a shootout on the road in Los Angeles.
Oh, and the Packers STILL own Soldier Field, shoutout Jordan Love. The Packers move to 10-1 @ Soldier Field since 2013.
It was an electric Week 1, and we’ve got so much more in Week 2.
Let’s take a trip to Orchard Park and take a look at the Bills’ home opener.
Raiders vs. Bills Game Information
Matchup Information
- Location: Highmark Stadium; Orchard Park, NY
- Date: September 17th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM EST
Betting Odds
Courtesy of Bovada
Spread
- Raiders +8 (-110)
- Bills -8 (-110)
Moneyline
- Raiders (+300)
- Bills (-300)
Total
- Over 47 (-105)
- Under 47 (-115)
Raiders vs. Bills Breakdown & Best Bets
The Bills are coming into Sunday’s home opener off a TOUGH loss to the Jets in NY. Aaron Rodgers went down on the first drive of the game (prayers for a speedy recovery), and with Zack Wilson set to come in, it looked all but wrapped up for the Bills.
They went into halftime up 13-3, only to lose the game 22-16, on a punt returned for a TD; in overtime.
Flip side, the Raiders are coming off a big, grit and grind, road win in Denver. They were down three going into halftime, but sealed the win by scoring the only touchdown of the second half.
Now what makes more sense, the Raiders make a little noise or “there’s no way the Bills go down 0-2.”?
Let’s find out.
Raiders vs. Bills & Best Bets
Josh Jacobs o68.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
It’s tough to take a rushing prop when the line’s this high, and the spread screams negative game script. But let’s talk about Josh Jacobs.
What’s the best way to keep the crowd quiet and keep yourselves in the game, against Buffalo? Long sustained drives, draining clock, and moving the ball between the tackles.
Buffalo, in Week 1, surrendered 166 rush yards on 23 carries; that’s an insane 7.2 YPC.
Jacobs averaged 97 rush yards/game just a season ago, with a 4.9 YPC average; he scored 12 TDs and continues to be a pillar of this Raiders offense.
The Raider’s back is currently playing on a one year deal, worth “up to” $12 million. He’s playing for that next contract so expect him to play like it.
He played all 17 games last year, averaging 97 yards/game, 4.9 YPC (career best), and scoring 12 TDs (tied for career high).
Now he shares the field with Jimmy Garoppolo, who is pretty good, but he’s not the type of QB thats throwing the ball 28-32 times. Jimmy’s a game manager who thrives with a healthy dose of the run.
Enter, Josh Jacobs.
Josh Jacobs o68.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Stefon Diggs o75.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Stefon Diggs walks into the endzone for an easy touchdown.
Diggs saw a 84% snap share in Week 1, as well as a 31.7% target share.He recorded, 10 receptions on 13 targets, for 102 receiving yards and a touchdown.
So much has been said about the relationship between Diggs and Josh Allen this off-season, rumours of a frayed relationship, and tension between the two teammates circulated all summer.
All that for Diggs to lead the Bills in target share. Seems fine.
Last season, in Buffalo, he averaged 7 rec/game on 13 targets/game; good enough for 91.9 yards/game and seven touchdowns. All in Orchard Park, NY.
Prior to the beginning of the season, PFF had this Raiders secondary ranked 30th…of 32 teams.
Diggs should come into this matchup with no real equal on the other side of the ball. He’s the Bills’ #1 and we know Josh Allen loves to get him the ball as often as he can.
Stefon Diggs o75.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Bonus Bet: J. Jacobs & S. Diggs 1+ TD each (+325)
These sprinkles are never more than a 1/2 unit.
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