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NFL Week 4 Staff Picks: Best Bets & Props From Our NFL Experts
Written by: Daniel Collins
Last Updated:
Read Time: 9 minutes
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The NFL is almost through the first quarter of the season, as Week 4 continues on Sunday. Time flies when you’re having fun, right?
Well, Weeks 1-3 are in the rear view mirror and Week 4 is here and there are some fantastic matchups with money to be made on the gridiron.
Below, our Team here at Betting News are going to give their BEST BETS & PICKS for Week 4 of the NFL Season. Whether it is a Spread, Moneyline, Total or Player Prop, this is your go to article every week for our team’s favorite bets!
Here is the Team’s Record after Week 3:
Daniel: 2-1 (+0.9 units)
Nate: 2-1 (+0.8 units)
Colby: 1-2 (-1.1 units)
Varun: 1-2 (-1.1 units)
Brad: 2-1 (+0.7 units)
Now let’s dive in to the Betting News Experts’ Best Bets for Week 4 of the NFL Season!
All Odds available at BetOnline, the industry leader in the Sports betting Market.
Daniel Collins’ Week 4 NFL Best Bet
Prop Bet: DeAndre Hopkins o35.5 Receiving Yards (-113) BetOnline
I am taking you to Monday Night Football with this prop, so I apologize you are going to have to wait. But trust me, it will be worth it.
The Tennessee Titans roll into South Beach to take on the Miami Dolphins and while this game on paper may not be up to the standard of sex appeal that is common in Miami, there is ALOT at stake for both teams in this game.
But instead of focusing on a side in this game, I am not going to lie to you, I am purely betting on history here. And DeAndre Hopkins can make history on Monday.
Future HOF’er DeAndre Hopkins is 55 yards and 1 touchdown away from becoming the 14th member of this exclusive NFL club: pic.twitter.com/nDHFiq9VGp
— Easton Freeze (@eastonfreeze) September 26, 2024
Hopkins is 55 yards and 1 TD away from becoming only the 14th player in NFL history to have 900 receptions, 12,500 receiving yards, and 80 Receiving Touchdowns. And based on what we saw out of Hopkins last week, I for see history being made on Monday night.
The Titans wideout was banged up going into the season, nursing a knee injury that stifled the beginning of his 2024 campaign but he was a full go in Week 3 and it showed. Nuke made 6 catches for 73 yards and a touchdown in the Titans loss to the Packers and reestablished his connection with QB Will Levis that flourished in the back half of last season.
In case you didn’t know, Hopkins finished with 75 catches, 1,057 yards and 7 touchdowns on a poor Titans team last year and while he isn’t the main guy in town anymore like he was last year, his connection with Levis is undeniable.
Can Hopkins repeat his success in South Beach?
The 32 year old is not as elite as he once was, but he is still a threat every single play and when healthy, can produce big time performances. Hell, he had a big one in Miami just last season. In Prime Time.
Hopkins torched the Dolphins on Monday Night Football, snagging 7 catches for 124 yards and a touchdown in what was one of the crazier games of the Monday Night Football 2023/4 season.
And I think we see a similar type performance from Hopkins this week.
This line is simply too low for a man who could add his name to the history books on Monday night. I am rolling with DHop to make history and sprinkling his TOUCHDOWN for +300 for the value as well.
Nate Hornung’s NFL Week 4 Best Bet
Collins is a standout for the Texans offense
Best Bet: Texans -5.5 (-115) BetOnline
I am backing the Texans on the spread because they are due for a breakout game. For starters, they host an 0-3 Jacksonville team that is basically a walking corpse at this point. The defense is atrocious, the offense is even worse, and the whole franchise is up in flames right now after paying Trevor Lawrence 275 million dollars to suck. On top of that, they are on a short week after playing Monday Night, and Houston is coming back home off a loss.
Now, the Texans have not covered a spread yet (unless you got -5.5 against Chicago like my friend, Colby #CLV), but they also haven’t played anywhere near their ceiling yet. Stroud’s in a bit of a sophomore slump to start this season, Joe Mixon is beat up, but this team still has the capability to blow teams out of the water. Against the Jaguars at home is a great place to start. I have absolutely zero faith in Jacksonville on either side of the ball, and back at home following arguably the worst game of Stroud’s career, look for him to really help this Texans offense come alive, even if they are a little banged up.
With Tank Dell likely sitting, I also have a prop bet on Mr. Nico Collins in this game, so peep my full game analysis below for the details.
Colby Marchio’s NFL Week 4 Best Bet
Best Bet: Colts Team Total Under 19.5 (-105) BetOnline
The Steelers are allowing just 8.7 points per game over the first three weeks, having held the Falcons, Broncos, and Chargers to under 10+ points each—two of those games were on the road. Allowing only 26 points through three games is an impressive feat.
Indianapolis is known for its ground attack, led by star running back Jonathan Taylor, but the Steelers are limiting teams to just 71.3 rushing yards per game. They even held J.K. Dobbins to 44 rushing yards, despite him averaging over 130 yards in the first two games of the season.
In terms of pass defense, the Steelers are holding opponents to under 160 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, Richardson and the Colts rank 24th in passing yards, averaging just 184.3 yards per game—only a few yards ahead of the struggling Chicago Bears.
If you would like to read more about my analysis, click this link.
Varun Sharma’s NFL Week 4 Best Bet
Prop Bet: Tee Higgins o51.5 Receiving Yards (-115) BetOnline
Last week, Tee Higgins finally made his return from injury. He saw 6 targets, caught 3 of them for 39 yards and nothing else really significant. This was Higgins’ 1st full game since before Christmas of last year, so there was bound to be rust.
We could see the timing issues with Higgins and starting QB Joe Burrow, but now with another week of practice, I’m thinking we buy low on Tee.
The Panthers are allowing just over 200 pass yards per game, but a lot of that is because they got blown out in Weeks 1 & 2; losing by a combined 60 points. Carolina scored just 13 points in their first two games, but 36 with Dalton taking the snaps.
With how bad the Bengals’ have been defensively, they’ll need Joe Burrow and company to carry the load. Cincinnati is allowing 142.3 rush yards per game this year and giving up 26.7 points/game. Carolina’s going to score points, the Bengals will need to match if they hope to win.
Joe Burrow is averaging 248.7 yards per game with a 70.3% completion rate; he’s thrown 5 touchdowns and no interceptions but has yet to record a win. Look for this to be the game Burrow finally gets their first win, and look for Tee to have a big hand in it.
Click here for more on this matchup.
Brad Blakemore’s NFL Week 4 Best Bet
Prop: Saquon Barkley o75.5 Rushing Yards (-105) BetOnline
Let’s not overthink this one. Barkley has been CRUSHING it for the Eagles. And Philadelphia finally look like things are beginning to click as they took a hard fought, gritty win against a New Orleans team who had been shocking the NFL. And Saquon Barkley has been a huge reason why they are 2-1.
While the offensive line has been struggling a bit without Kelce, Barkley has provided a threat that teams need to respect. The dual rushing threats of him and Hurts make it difficult for teams to commit to a blitz, and have often allowed Barkley to exploit bad defensive calls. This has resulted in Barkley putting up 95+ rushing yards in all three games this season. He had a season best of 147 rushing yards last week and should not slow down against the Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay got dealt their first loss of the season, with Baker and salty crew looking a little more rough than rowdy this last week. They will host the Eagles which means there are two game scripts that help Barkley. #1 – the Buccaneers are allowing the 25th most rushing yards against over the last 10 games. #2 – if the Tampa rebounds at home the Eagles will want to rely on their best offensive options, and with AJ Brown still banged up and questionable to play that means they may lean right back to Barkley.
Barkley has five touchdowns over the course of three games. The Eagles know he can help keep Hurts healthy while also pounding their opponents. And I think they will go right back to him to pillage the Buccaneers. Give me his o75.5 rushing and hell add a tuddy on the side.
Thanks for stopping by! You can also check out more free picks & analysis from every NFL Week 3 Game right here!
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Daniel Collins is a sports fanatic and data-driven bettor. He has expertise in the NFL, NBA, and NHL. He’s a big fan of the Titans #titanup, Predators #predators and Arsenal #coyg. If he isn’t watching, betting on or writing about sports, he loves the outdoors, traveling, strong coffee and delicious food. You can follow him on X @SweatpantJesus. Peace and Love
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