NFL Divisional Round Staff Picks: Best Bets & Props From Our NFL Team

Well, we have made it on step closer to Super Bowl 59!

Welcome to the NFL Playoffs and this week, there are some fantastic matchups and money to be made on the gridiron in Divisional Round Weekend!

Some massive matchups awaits this week, as 8 teams look to move on to the Conference Championship Games, fight for their season and most importantly, stay alive in the race to the Super Bowl.

Below, our Team here at Betting News are going to give their BEST BETS & PICKS for the Divisional Round! Whether it is a Spread, Moneyline, Total or Player Prop, this is your go to article every week for our team’s favorite bets!

Here is the Team’s Record during the Playoffs:

Daniel: 1-0 (0.9 units)

Nate: 0-1 (-1 unit)

Colby: 1-0 (0.8 units)

Varun: 0-1 (-1 units)

Brad: 0-1 (-1 units)

Sukh: 0-1 (-1 units)

Now let’s dive in to the Betting News Teams’ Best Bets for Divisional Round Weekend of the NFL Playoffs!

All Odds available at BetOnline, an industry leader in the Sports betting Market and where all of our team bet every day

Daniel Collins’ Divisional Round Weekend Pick

Best Bet: Derrick Henry o19.5 Longest Rush (-120) BetOnline

If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.

I am keeping this nice and simple. I am taking the same prop as last week that I took in the Wild Card Round. It cashed on the first drive against the Steelers last week and I expect a similar performance from the King on the ground in this massive showdown with the Bills.

Here is what I said last week, which is the exact same logic for this week.

I love the value we are getting on Derrick Henry’s longest rush prop at 19.5 yards. His rushing yards line is high, sitting at 95.5 and while I think he will have plenty of chances to get over the line, this Buffalo rushing defense is one of the better units in the league.

That said, Henry GASHED the Bills in the last matchup for a whopping 199 yards on the ground so it is not like he hasn’t “been there, done that” but I expect the Bills to do everything they can to contain the King as long as they can to stay in this game.

With that in mind, instead of waiting the whole game for the yards prop to cash, I want to cash in one play. And with how Henry has been running the football this season (and his whole career frankly), he is always good for at least one big run per game.

Henry had a 20+ yard scamper in 3 straight to finish the season, 5 of his last 7 as well, and cashed on the first drive of the game last week versus the Steelers in the Wild Card Round. He also hit this prop in the lone matchup with Buffalo this season, that 80+ yard monster touchdown I am sure we all remember from Sunday Night Football.

One vintage King Henry big time run is all we need and I am pretty confident we get one. Maybe even a nasty stiff arm in the Orchard Park Snow as well 😉

Nate Hornung’s  Divisional Round Weekend Pick

Best Bet: Chiefs to Win by 1-6 (+300) BetOnline

Look, it’s a long shot, I get it. But hear me out.

The Chiefs don’t cover spreads, but they win football games. Sure, they covered the -3 against Houston at Arrowhead earlier this year, but trying to win by double digits in the playoffs is tough, especially when I think this game goes under anyways. Point being, Mahomes is going to find a way to win this game, but I trust the Texans to keep it close.

The Chiefs have won a football game in nearly every way imaginable this season. They aren’t the prettiest wins, and plenty are controversial, but when the clock ticks down, they find a way to be on top. Today at home, the Chiefs defense should disrupt CJ Stroud enough, and I think his playoff magic ends quickly just like last season. Give me Kansas City to win this game by less than a touchdown for 3-1, which is the best value bet in this game in my eyes.

Colby Marchio’s  Divisional Round Weekend Pick

 

Best Bet: 6-point teaser Lions + Chiefs (-2.50 (-120) BetOnline

Sprinkle: Chiefs to win by 1-6 (+340) (Thanks Nate)

Death. Taxes. The Kansas City Chiefs do not cover big spreads. The Chiefs are 7-9-1 against the spread this season, and betting on them to cover a near double-digit spread is risky. Instead, tease both Detroit and Kansas City down six points to -2.5 for -120—that’s my play of the week.

Both teams are coming off a first-round bye, with the Chiefs’ starters having more than a month off. The age-old “Rest vs. Rust” debate comes into play, and while the Chiefs are playoff contenders, I’m not confident they will dominate Texas.

The Texans had the luxury of facing a Chargers squad that was as disorganized as ever, possibly due to distractions from the fires. Los Angeles turned the ball over four times in a 32-12 loss to Houston.

The Commanders won on a game-winning field goal against the Buccaneers, but do we trust a rookie quarterback to deliver back-to-back weeks of solid play, especially against the NFC’s best? I do not. The Commanders have hit their postseason ceiling. Meanwhile, the Lions look like the team to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, with a defense that excels in the red zone and one of the league’s best offenses.

For a discounted spread, getting two of the best teams in the league to win by a field goal at -120 is a great value, in my opinion.

Varun Sharma’s  Divisional Round Weekend Pick

Best Bet: Jahmyr Gibbs o113.5 Rush + Receiving Yards via BetOnline

The Lions get their guy back this week, David Montgomery, but even so I love this spot for Jahmyr Gibbs. Two weeks ago when we took this prop, his line sat at 33.5 and Gibbs finished with 31 yards on 5 receptions and 5 targets. It’s a hard piill to swallow but 6 yards a catch just doesn’t fit the mold of Jahmyr Gibbs.

This year, Gibbs is averaging almost 10 yards per catch this year and over his L10 games that jumps to just under 13 yards per catch. On the ground, Gibbs has been even better; he’s averaging 83.1 rush yards per game and 5.6 yards per carry (3rd among RBs).

Despite Montgomery being back for the Lions, this line feels too low for a guy like Gibbs; especially with the Lions sitting here as 9.5-point favorites. The Commanders have done an excellent job holding the opposition’s pass game in check this year, they allow just 189.5 pass yards per game (3rd) and have done a great job of holding opposing RBs in check.

However, on the ground is where they have real issues. The Commanders rank 30th in rush yards allowed and 27th in yards per carry allowed. Detroit should be playing this one with a lead and if that’s the case late in the game, expect them to continue to run clock with Gibbs & let Montgomery get some rest.

Brad Blakemore’s Divisional Round Weekend Pick

Best Bet: Saquon Barkley o110.5 Rushing Yards via BetOnline

The Eagles aren’t afraid to dominate games on the ground. With a dual rushing threat of Huurts and Barkley it is impossible to stack the box. And Barkley has proven this season exactly why he was considered a truly elite running back in his draft year. Barkley has hit his 111.5 rushing yards prop in 53% of all games this season. Better yet he has averaged 135.8 rushing yards per game in 7 of the last 10 games.

While the Green Bay offense struggled all game in the last playoff match allowing the Eagles to eat clock with the rush, Barkley still is in a positive matchup. The Los Angeles Rams have allowed the 5th most rushing yards afgainst all season. They also have allowed the 10th longest rushing yards against, averaging a 22.75 rush attack per game.

While the Rams may be able to move the chain a bit more, forcing Hurts to use his arms a bit more, the Eagles will still turn to their best weapon in Barkley. And when these teams battled back in late November Barkley rushed for 255 yards. He just needs HALF of that.

Sukh Brar’s  Divisional Round Weekend Pick

Best Bet: HOU/KC o1.5 Total Rushing Touchdowns (-120) BetOnline

I like this prop. I want to hug it but due to the laws of reality I can only wager it. So, that’s what I’ll do.

Thanks for stopping by!

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