Giants vs Dolphins Week 5 Prediction, Odds & Picks: Miami Gets Back on Track

The NFL Week 5 schedule features two teams heading in opposite directions as the slumping New York Giants pay a visit to Hard Rock Stadium to take on the always-dangerous Miami Dolphins.

First injury report for Dolphins-Giants pic.twitter.com/PgHczLUVn5

— Travis Wingfield (@WingfieldNFL) October 4, 2023

Week 4 wasn’t kind to the Giants as they let their home fans down in the form of a 24-3 loss to the Seattle Seahawks. Meanwhile, the Dolphins were left embarrassed in their AFC East showdown with the Buffalo Bills, losing 48-20 on the road.

Can New York turn things around before it’s too late? Or will Miami find a way to return to prominence after last week’s debacle?

We’ll attempt to answer those questions with this Giants vs. Dolphins betting preview. Continue reading for the latest NFL game odds, bets worth checking out, and my matchup prediction.

Giants vs Dolphins — NFL Week 5

NYG vs MIA Game Information

• Matchup: New York Giants (1-3, 1-1 Away) vs. Miami Dolphins (3-1, 1-0 HOME Home)
• Venue & Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)
• Date: Sunday, Oct. 8, 2023
• Game Time: 1 p.m. Eastern Time
• Giants vs. Dolphins Week 5 TV Channel: FOX

Giants vs Dolphins Odds

NFL game odds courtesy of Bovada as of Saturday, Oct. 7 at 7:22 p.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Spread

• New York Giants +12.5 (-110)
• Miami Dolphins -12.5 (-110)

Over/Under

• Over 47.5 Points (-110)
• Under 47.5 Points (-110)

Moneyline

• New York Giants +500
• Miami Dolphins -750

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Now, back to some football…

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Giants vs Dolphins Betting Trends

• The Giants are 1-6 straight up in their last seven Week 5 matchups.
• Miami is 13-2 straight up in its last 15 home games.
• The Giants are 2-4 ATS in their last six games against Miami.
• Miami is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games played in October.
• The total has hit the Under in seven of the Giants’ last nine games against Miami.
• The total has hit the Over in five of Miami’s last seven Week 5 matchups.

Giants vs Dolphins Week 5 Preview

The Giants have been one of the worst teams to begin the 2023 NFL season and there’s still no light at the end of the tunnel.

Last week’s 24-3 loss to the Seahawks demoralized Giants fans everywhere. The embarrassing defeat marks the third time in four games that New York has scored 12 or fewer points.

The Giants’ offense just isn’t that good, no matter how you look at it. The playmakers aren’t making plays and the offensive line certainly isn’t protecting Daniel Jones, who’s been sacked 22 times (2nd-most) while facing a league-high 53 pressures.

Although the Dolphins’ defense has left much to be desired, the unit is still tied for the 12th-most pressures (39) and 12th-most QB hurries (15). Considering how Jones leads the NFL with six interceptions, continuing to apply pressure will result in his making even more mistakes.

I don’t foresee the Dolphins having any issues scoring points this week. Sure, they only dropped 20 on the Bills, but the Giants’ defense isn’t even close to that level.

New York surrenders the third-most points in the NFL (30.5 PPG) and has allowed no fewer than 24 points in each of its first four contests. The Giants can’t stop the run either, giving up 146.0 rushing yards per game on the road.

The Dolphins’ backfield has been on a roll lately, led by the dynamic tandem of Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane. The Miami RBs have combined for 558 rushing yards and 10 TDs through four games, putting them in a good spot to tear up the Giants’ defensive line.

At the end of the day, I wouldn’t overthink this matchup too much. The Giants are basement-dwellers while the Dolphins are potential Super Bowl contenders, further highlighting that this game likely won’t be close.

Giants vs Dolphins Prediction — Week 5

I wouldn’t waste a second thinking that the Giants will pull off an upset. They’re absolutely awful on both sides of the ball and have been getting blown out left and right.

The Dolphins, meanwhile, have something to prove after their loss to the Bills. New York is the perfect opponent to beat up and get some mojo back, which is why Miami won’t break a sweat in what should be a blowout win.

Prediction: Dolphins 34, Giants 20

Bet: Dolphins -12.5 (-110 on Bovada)

Giants vs Dolphins Player Prop — Week 5

Let’s hop over to SportsBetting for a Giants vs. Dolphins player prop. Over there, I like a Raheem Mostert anytime touchdown.

Mostert has scored a touchdown in three of four games thus far, racking up a total of seven between the air and ground. Fortunately for him, he has a great shot at continuing that success against the Giants, who are tied for allowing the third-most rushing TDs to running backs (5).

Bet: Raheem Mostert Anytime Touchdown (-125 on Bovada)

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New York vs Miami Week 5 FAQ

When is Giants vs Dolphins?

• The Giants and Dolphins will collide on Sunday, Oct. 8, 2023.

Where is Giants vs Dolphins?

• The Giants and Dolphins will play each other at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

What time does Giants vs Dolphins start?

• Kickoff for the upcoming NYG vs. MIA matchup is slated for 1 p.m. ET.

How can I watch Giants vs Dolphins?

• New York and Miami fans can tune in to FOX for Sunday’s matchup.

How can I bet on Giants vs Dolphins?

• All of the top online sports betting sites will have NFL odds, but here are some of the sites we recommend most for football enthusiasts.