Chiefs vs Texans Week 15 Betting: Mahomes & Co. Beat Up on Lowly Houston

There are only four weeks remaining in the 2022 NFL regular season as we arrive at Week 15. The high-flying Kansas City Chiefs will be in action again as they pay a visit to the Houston Texans. It’s a must-win game for Kansas City if it hopes to remain in contention for the AFC’s top spot, meaning a lot of eyes will be on this Chiefs vs Texans matchup.

Patrick Mahomes' regular-season stats in games after he threw 3 picks the previous game (2 games): 49 of 85 for 549 yards, 7 touchdowns and 0 interceptions

The Chiefs visit the Texans this week.

— Pete Sweeney (@pgsween) December 13, 2022

After losing to the Cincinnati Bengals in a Week 13 nail-biter, the Chiefs bounced back last week with a 34-28 win over the Denver Broncos. Patrick Mahomes threw for 352 yards and three touchdowns to a trio of interceptions in the victory while running back Jerick McKinnon turned 13 touches into 134 scrimmage yards and a pair of scores.

Although they almost won, the Texans ultimately came up short, 27-23, to the Dallas Cowboys in their last outing. Houston actually led 23-20 in the dying moments, however, a two-yard TD run by Ezekiel Elliott with 41 seconds remaining gave Dallas the win.

Betting News has gathered the latest Chiefs vs Texans odds from BetOnline Sportsbook to help shed some light on the situation, along with a prediction and best bets for the NFL Week 15 game.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans Week 15 Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs (10-3, 5-2 Away) vs. Houston Texans (1-11-1, 0-5-1 Home)
• Venue & Location: NRG Stadium (Houston, TX)
• Date: Sunday, Dec. 18, 2022
• Game Time: 1 p.m. Eastern Time
• Chiefs vs Texans Info: CBS, Paramount+

Chiefs vs Texans Early Odds

Game odds are via BetOnline as of Wednesday, Dec. 14 at 8:52 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Spread

• Kansas City Chiefs -14 (-110)
• Houston Texans +14 (-110)

Over/Under

• Over 48.5 Points (-115)
• Under 48.5 Points (-105)

Moneyline

• Kansas City Chiefs -1000
• Houston Texans +660

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans Betting Trends

• Kansas City is 6-2 straight up in its last eight games against Houston.
• Houston is 0-8 straight up in its last eight games.
• Kansas City is 4-8 against the spread (ATS) in its last 12 games.
• Houston is 2-6 ATS in its last eight home games against Kansas City.
• The total has hit the over in nine of Kansas City’s last 11 road games.
• The total has hit the over in six of Houston’s last seven games against the AFC West.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans Prediction and Picks

Chiefs vs Texans Prediction: Chiefs 33, Texans 20

Chiefs vs Texans Picks: Texans +14 (Best Value: -110 at BetOnline) & Over 48.5 Points (Best Value: -115 at BetOnline)

At the end of the day, the Chiefs shouldn’t be in much jeopardy of losing this matchup. They’re one of the top Super Bowl contenders in the league, whereas the Texans are at the bottom, having not won a game since Oct. 9.

As usual, the Chiefs own one of the NFL’s top offense, operating at a 29.5 PPG rate (No. 2). Mahomes is, once again, doing things that only he can do, pacing his fellow quarterbacks when it comes to passing yards (4,160), TD passes (33) and total QB rating (77.9).

From how badly Mahomes has owned the Texans in the past, it’s safe to say he can continue his impressive run. Including the postseason, the 27-year-old gunslinger has faced Houston three times, recording 805 passing yards, 11 TDs and only one INT.

As solid as the Texans’ defense has been at times this season, they’ve been far from perfect. They’re still allowing the seventh-most points (24.2 PPG) and fourth-most total yards (380.2). Needless to say, Mahomes and his weapons will have plenty of opportunities to put up some points.

With how uninspiring the Texans’ offense has been, it’s going to be hard for them to keep up when the Chiefs inevitably pull away. Houston is only averaging 16.2 PPG (third-worst) and has been held to 17 or fewer points in six of their last seven outings.

Besides, Texans QB Davis Mills has a long way to go before he can go toe-to-toe with Mahomes. The sophomore signal-caller is averaging just 193.8 passing yards in his last five starts, throwing four TDs to seven picks over that stretch. Meanwhile, Mahomes has toppled 300 yards in all but one of his last eight games.

Finally, Kansas City also has the edge due to its dominance in recent Chiefs vs Texans matchups, winning six of the last eight meetings. Considering how the Chiefs have averaged 37.8 points in the last four showdowns alone, it’s safe to say another big performance is coming.

While I do expect the Chiefs to win, I don’t believe they’ll cover the 14-point spread. Only three of their 10 wins have been by that margin this season while the Texans have lost by 15-plus points just twice.

It doesn’t help that Kansas City is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games or that it allowed the lethargic Broncos offense to score 28 points last week.

I also recommend going with the over on the total. After all, the total has gone over in four of the last five games between these two foes, leading to an average of 66.8 points being scored in the last four alone.

Other Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans Resources

• Chiefs vs Texans Consensus Picks, Score Projections & Betting Stats

Other NFL Week 15 Stories on Betting News

• 49ers vs Seahawks (Week 15 Thursday Night Football) Prediction & Picks: Will SF secure NFC West crown in Seattle?
• Colts vs Vikings Week 15 Betting: Minnesota Finally Locks Down NFC North
• Ravens vs Browns Week 15 Prediction: Expect a Low-Scoring AFC North Showdown