Chiefs vs Broncos Week 14 Betting: Kansas City Moves Closer to Locking Up the AFC West

Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season has several interesting matchups on the schedule, including an AFC West rivalry match between the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos. These two teams were supposed to duke it out for the top spot in the division this year, but that hasn’t been the case due to the latter’s shortcomings, making it interesting to see how this Chiefs vs Broncos showdown plays out.

The Chiefs will clinch the AFC West this weekend with a win over the Broncos combined with a Chargers loss to the Dolphins.

— Pete Sweeney (@pgsween) December 6, 2022

The Chiefs were riding high on a five-game winning streak before suffering a 27-24 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals last week. Kansas City has a chance to clinch the AFC West this weekend, so look for Patrick Mahomes and co. to try and bounce back with a strong start.

Meanwhile, the Broncos were busy picking up their fourth straight loss in Week 13. They came up short against the Baltimore Ravens, 10-9, marking the third time in the last four tries that the Broncos have finished with 10 or fewer points. Considering how great the Chiefs have looked this season, a similar effort won’t work at all come Sunday.

Betting News has gathered the latest Chiefs vs Broncos odds from BetOnline Sportsbook to help shed some light on the situation, along with a prediction and best bets for the NFL Week 14 game.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Week 14 Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs (9-3, 4-2 Away) vs. Denver Broncos (3-9, 2-3 Home)
• Venue & Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver, Colorado)
• Date: Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022
• Game Time: 4:05 p.m. Eastern Time
• Chiefs vs Broncos Info: CBS, NFL+

Chiefs vs Broncos Early Odds

Game odds are via BetOnline as of Wednesday, Dec. 7 at 9:43 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Spread

• Kansas City Chiefs -9.5 (-110)
• Denver Broncos +9.5 (-110)

Over/Under

• Over 43.5 Points (-105)
• Under 43.5 Points (-115)

Moneyline

• Kansas City Chiefs -430
• Denver Broncos +340

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Betting Trends

• Kansas City is 10-0 straight up in its last 10 games against Denver.
• Denver is 1-8 straight up in its last nine games.
• Kansas City is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games in December.
• Denver is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games against Kansas City.
• The total has hit the over in eight of Kansas City’s last 10 road games.
• The total has hit the under in six of Denver’s last eight games against Kansas City.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction and Picks

Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction: Chiefs 24, Broncos 13

Chiefs vs Broncos Picks: Chiefs -9.5 (Best Value: -110 at BetOnline) & Under 43.5 Points (Best Value: -115 at BetOnline)

The Chiefs are the clear-cut favorites in this matchup and it isn’t even close. The current AFC West leaders have -430 moneyline odds to win on Sunday, equating to an implied probability of 81.1%.

Such lopsided odds shouldn’t come as a surprise, though. After all, the three guarantees in life have been as follows lately: death, taxes and the Chiefs owning the Broncos.

Kansas City has beaten Denver 13 straight times ahead of this matchup, dating back to November 2015. You have to go back to Week 1 of the 2015 season to find the last time that the Broncos beat their rivals. Making matters even worse, Peyton Manning was under center for that victory, highlighting just how long it’s been.

On top of that, you need to go to September 2014 for the last time that the Broncos beat the Chiefs in the Mile High City. Unfortunately for Denver fans, I don’t see that trend changing this week.

Simply put, there’s little reason to believe that the Broncos can pull off an upset. The Chiefs have been one of the top teams throughout the 2022 campaign, pacing the league in points (29.2 PPG) and total yards (423.3) while sitting fifth with a plus-5.7 scoring margin.

On the other hand, the Russell Wilson experiment has flopped in Denver thus far. Instead of taking the Broncos’ offense to the next level, he’s struggled to look like himself. As a result, the Broncos average just an NFL-worst 13.8 PPG, having been held to 17 or fewer points on 10 different occasions.

For reference, the Chiefs have only been held to under 20 points once this season.

It’s also worth highlighting that Mahomes is a perfect 9-0 in his career when it comes to Chiefs vs Broncos matchups. The 2018 NFL MVP averages 2,279 passing yards and a 65.4% completion rate against Denver, also tossing out 12 touchdown passes to four interceptions over that stretch.

With the Chiefs looking to take out their aggression after last week’s loss to the Bengals, it’s tough imagining the Broncos keeping up. As solid as their defense can be at times, they just don’t have the firepower to match a determined Mahomes.

At the end of the day, the Chiefs are going to win this one and it won’t exactly be close. A 9.5-point spread seems daunting, but the truth is that Kansas City has won by double-digits seven times during its 13-game winning streak over Denver, including in four times in the last six meetings.

Furthermore, the Chiefs are also 10-3 against the spread (ATS) in those 13 games, while the Broncos are just 1-3 ATS during their four-game losing streak this fall.

I also see the total going under 43.5 points. The Chiefs’ offense might be elite, but the Broncos’ lethargic attack has me doubting that the over can be hit. Besides, the total has gone under in six of the last eight games between these two rivals.

Other Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Resources

• Chiefs vs Broncos Consensus Picks, Score Projections & Betting Stats

Other NFL Week 14 Stories on Betting News

• Browns vs Bengals Week 14 Betting: Cincinnati’s Offense Overpowers Cleveland
• Jets vs Bills Week 14 Betting: Buffalo Gets Revenge for Week 9 Loss
• Raiders vs Rams (Week 14 Thursday Night Football) Betting: Will the streak continue for the Silver and Black?
• Dolphins vs Chargers (Week 14 Sunday Night Football) Betting: Will Miami put Bay Area disappointment behind them to inch closer to the playoffs?
• Buccaneers vs 49ers NFL Week 14 Prediction: The GOAT vs the Rook
• Eagles vs Giants Prediction & Picks for NFL Week 14: A Giant Task