Bears vs Chiefs Week 3 Prediction, Odds & Picks: Can Kansas City Cover Massive Spread?

The Chicago Bears aim for their first win of the 2023 NFL season when they take on the Kansas City Chiefs in a Week 3 showdown. Kansas City is the major favorite in this Bears vs Chiefs collision, leaving time to tell if Chicago can pull off the road upset.

Crazy: #Chiefs vs #Bears will be the first matchup in 53 years where the QB with the highest career win percentage plays the QB with the lowest career win percentage

Here’s a reminder that the Bears opted not to draft Patrick Mahomes in 2017, instead selecting Mitch Trubisky.… pic.twitter.com/XyOEBqCq1s

— JPAFootball (@jasrifootball) September 20, 2023

Momentum isn’t exactly on the Bears side following their 27-17 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 2. Meanwhile, the Chiefs bounced back from a season-opening loss with a 17-9 win against the Jacksonville Jaguars, led by Patrick Mahomes’ 305-yard performance.

Can the Bears avoid a 0-3 start to the campaign? Or will the Chiefs prove to be too much to handle at home?

Let’s dive into this weekend’s Bears vs. Chiefs matchup, beginning with the latest NFL betting odds to the best bets you can make Sunday afternoon.

Bears vs Chiefs — NFL Week 3

CHI vs KC Game Information

• Matchup: Chicago Bears (0-2, 0-1 Away) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (1-1, 0-1 Home)
• Venue & Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)
• Date: Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023
• Game Time: 4:25 p.m. Eastern Time
• Bears vs. Chiefs Week 3 TV Channel: FOX

Bears vs Chiefs Week 3 Odds

NFL game odds courtesy of Bovada as of Saturday, Sept. 23 at 9:45 p.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Spread

• Chicago Bears +12.5 (-105)
• Kansas City Chiefs -12.5 (-115)

Over/Under

• Over 48 Points (-110)
• Under 48 Points (-110)

Moneyline

• Chicago Bears +550
• Kansas City Chiefs -850

Bears vs Chiefs Betting Trends

• Chicago is 0-5 straight up in its last five road games.
• Kansas City is 5-2 straight up in its last seven games against the NFC North.
• Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last five games against Kansas City.
• Kansas City is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 Week 3 matchups.
• The Under is 10-1 in Chicago’s last 11 games against the AFC West.
• The Under is 7-0 in Kansas City’s last seven games against Chicago.

Bears vs Chiefs Week 3 Preview

There’s no bigger NFL Week 3 betting favorite than the Chiefs. Their -850 moneyline odds are the best among all 32 teams this week, carrying an implied win probability of 89.5%.

The fact is that the Bears have been dreadful on both sides of the ball. Offensively, they’re only averaging 273.5 yards (No. 27) and 18.5 points (T-No. 22) per game. Their four giveaways through two games are also tied for the fourth-most in the NFL.

There isn’t much to like about Justin Fields’ play under center either. The third-year QB has already thrown three interceptions while being sacked 10 times, putting him on pace for a career-worst 85 sacks.

Fields’ will even see less protection this week with left tackle Braxton Jones (neck) hitting the injured reserve.

Defensively, the Bears are surrendering 32.5 PPG — second-most in the league. Chicago can’t find a way to stop its opponents when it counts the most and that’s highlighted by Matt Eberflus’ team allowing a 54.8% third-down conversion rate (No. 31).

Now, the Bears have to deal with the offensive juggernaut that is the Chiefs.

After an underwhelming Week 1 performance, Patrick Mahomes looked much better last week, completing 70.7% of his passes for 305 yards and a pair of touchdowns. With the Bears surrendering an average of 281 passing yards, Mahomes’ success should continue.

The scary thing is that the Chiefs have yet to reach their potential. They haven’t scored more than 20 points in a game yet, but there’s a good chance that changes this week, especially at Arrowhead Stadium where they averaged 25.1 PPG in 2022.

Bears vs Chiefs Week 3 Prediction

The Chiefs are Super Bowl contenders while the Bears are perennial basement dwellers. This game should be a one-sided affair that sees Kansas City beat Chicago up across all four quarters. I’ll be shocked if this game ends up being close.

Keeping that in mind, let’s also go with the Chiefs covering as the 12.5-point favorite. For starters, the Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games on a Sunday and have lost 10 straight games dating back to last season.

Furthermore, the Chiefs are not only 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played in Week 3, but they’ve also covered in four of their previous five encounters with the Bears. In other words, I’m confident in Kansas City’s ability to cover.

Prediction: Chiefs 34, Bears 17

Chiefs -12.5 (-115 on Bovada)

Bears vs Chiefs Week 3 Player Prop

As for a Bears vs. Chiefs player prop I like, let’s go with Patrick Mahomes rushing for over 21.5 yards (-145). It’s hardly a challenge for the veteran gunslinger, who’s finished with at least 30 rushing yards in each of the first two games.

With the Bears allowing 106.0 rushing yards per game, it won’t be a challenge for Mahomes to finish with at least 22 on Sunday.

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Chicago vs Kansas City Week 3 FAQ

When is Bears vs Chiefs?

• The Bears and Chiefs will collide on Sunday, September 24, 2023.

Where is Bears vs Chiefs?

• The Bears and Chiefs will play each other at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.

What time does Bears vs Chiefs start?

• Kickoff for the upcoming CHI vs. KC matchup is slated for 4:25 p.m. ET.

How can I watch Bears vs Chiefs?

• Chicago and Kansas City fans can tune in to FOX for Sunday’s matchup.

How can I bet on Bears vs Chiefs?

All of the top online sports betting sites will have NFL odds, but here are some of the sites we recommend most for football enthusiasts.