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3 Must Bet Props for NFL Week 4: Betting on Matchups & History
Written by: Daniel Collins
Last Updated:
Read Time: 7 minutes
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NFL Week 4 is here and can you believe we are already almost a quarter of the way through the NFL Season? Time flies when you’re having fun, folks. Soak it all in.
The weekend is upon us once again and Week 4 kicks off with lots of fantastic matchups to take in. If you are looking for breakdowns of each game on the gridiron this weekend, our kickass team of NFL experts has you covered.
- Broncos vs Jets Prediction
- Steelers vs Colts Prediction
- Eagles vs Buccaneers Prediction
- Jaguars vs Texans Prediction
- Bengals vs Panthers Prediction
- Falcons vs Saints Prediction
- Chiefs vs Chargers Prediction
- Week 4 Anytime Touchdown Scorers
But you came here for my favorite prop bets for Week 4 and I have found 3 that I absolutely love. So let’s jump in to my props of the week!
UNITS TRACKER (Through Week 3)
ARTICLE RESULTS: 3-3 (+0.4u)
I booked all of these Props at BetOnline & MyBookie, industry leaders in the Sports betting world. Get a huge sign up bonus & the best lines in the business every day! I use them every day, why aren’t you as well?
Ok, Let’s dive in!
1. Najee Harris o63.5 Rushing Yards Prop (-115) MyBookie
Najee Harris looks to bruise the Colts defense this Sunday
Let’s get things rolling with the bruiser in the Steel City, Najee Harris and his rushing yards prop. This might be my favorite prop of the week for a couple of reasons.
First, is the usage. After an offseason where there were rumblings that Harris might be in a bit more of a committee in the Steelers backfield with Jaylen Warren, it seems that was indeed just offseason chatter.
Harris has 17+ carries in the first 3 weeks of the season and 50% of the workload on the ground. That is not bellcow status, but that is the type of usage you like to bet on. Additionally, Jaylen Warren is dealing with a knee injury and is trending towards not suiting up to play in this game on Sunday.
Even more opportunity for Harris to feast. And this is the perfect matchup to do just that.
The Steelers roll into Indianapolis to take on the Colts and to put it bluntly, the Colts rushing defense has been awful.
Indy ranks 31st in the NFL in Rush yards allowed, at 179 per game and dead last in the league in rushing yards allowed to running backs.
The Colts have been gashed on the ground so far to start the season and that is the exact thing the Steelers want to lean on: Ground and Pound, Control the clock, and play stout, ferocious defense.
Harris has hit his rush yards prop in 3 straight weeks and in this matchup with the usage expected, why not make it 4 in a row.
2. Chuba Hubbard o59.5 Rushing Yards Prop (-113) BetOnline
Chuba Hubbard looks to take advantage of the poor Bengals defense
Next up is another running back in a fantastic matchup but a name that you may not be as familiar with. But that’s ok, he will cash us out regardless and you’ll remember the name.
Hubbard has been really good so far this season for the Panthers out of the backfield, hitting his yards prop the last 2 weeks. But last week, he really exploded.
Chuba carried the rock 21 times for 114 yards in the Panthers first win of the season, as Andy Dalton got his first start at quarterback. Dalton’s veteran presence looked to help this Carolina offense and gave Hubbard way more opportunities to eat up yards.
Chuba had himself a day @awscloud | #KeepPounding pic.twitter.com/cfXVRb5MZf
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) September 23, 2024
And he did just that. The Raiders are bottom 5 in the NFL stopping the run and the Panthers took advantage. Well, lucky for Carolina fans, the Bengals ain’t much better.
Cincinnati has really struggled stopping the run as well, sitting at 26th in the league allowing 142.3 yards per game on the ground.
I expect the Panthers to come out confident at home in this game and lean on Hubbard to get the ground game going to establish a good offensive flow and open up play action opportunities for Dalton to hurt the Bengals defense down the field.
Hubbard should thrive again this week and this line just feels too low given the matchup.
3. DeAndre Hopkins o35.5 Receiving Yards Prop (-113) BetOnline
Can DeAndre Hopkins make history in South beach on Monday Night Football?
To finish us off, I am taking you to Monday Night Football, so I apologize that you are going to have to wait this one out. But trust me, it will be worth it.
The Tennessee Titans roll into South Beach to take on the Miami Dolphins and while this game on paper may not be up to the standard of sex appeal that is common in Miami, there is ALOT at stake for both teams in this game.
But instead of focusing on a side, I am not going to lie to you, I am purely betting on history here. And DeAndre Hopkins can make history on Monday.
Future HOF’er DeAndre Hopkins is 55 yards and 1 touchdown away from becoming the 14th member of this exclusive NFL club: pic.twitter.com/nDHFiq9VGp
— Easton Freeze (@eastonfreeze) September 26, 2024
Hopkins is 55 yards and 1 TD away from becoming only the 14th player in NFL history to have 900 receptions, 12,500 receiving yards, and 80 Receiving Touchdowns. And based on what we saw out of Hopkins last week, I for see history being made on Monday night.
The Titans wideout was banged up going into the season, nursing a knee injury that stifled the beginning of his 2024 campaign but he was a full go in Week 3 and it showed. Nuke made 6 catches for 73 yards and a touchdown in the Titans loss to the Packers and reestablished his connection with QB Will Levis that flourished in the back half of last season.
In case you didn’t know, Hopkins finished with 75 catches, 1,057 yards and 7 touchdowns on a poor Titans team last year and while he isn’t the main guy in town anymore like he was last year, his connection with Levis is undeniable.
Can Hopkins repeat his success in South Beach?
The 32 year old is not as elite as he once was, but he is still a threat every single play and when healthy, can produce big time performances. Hell, he had a big one in Miami just last season. In Prime Time.
Hopkins torched the Dolphins on Monday Night Football, snagging 7 catches for 124 yards and a touchdown in what was one of the crazier games of the Monday Night Football 2023/4 season.
And I think we see a similar type performance from Hopkins this week.
This line is simply too low for a man who could add his name to the history books on Monday night. I am rolling with DHop to make history and sprinkling his TOUCHDOWN for +300 for the value as well.
Ok that’s it! Enjoy NFL Week 4 and thanks for stopping by! I will be doing this article every week throughout the NFL Season so if you liked what you read, follow me @SweatpantJesus on Twitter/X for more NFL content & come back to this page every week!
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Daniel Collins is a sports fanatic and data-driven bettor. He has expertise in the NFL, NBA, and NHL. He’s a big fan of the Titans #titanup, Predators #predators and Arsenal #coyg. If he isn’t watching, betting on or writing about sports, he loves the outdoors, traveling, strong coffee and delicious food. You can follow him on X @SweatpantJesus. Peace and Love
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