2023 NFL Division Futures Betting: Odds, Favorites, and Best Bets

The NFL offseason has brought nothing but entertainment over the last few months. Between the draft and free agency, rosters have already begun taking shape now that training camp is just over a few ways from beginning. As a result, football enthusiasts have already begun making predictions for the 2023 campaign, including which teams will win each division.

Fortunately, your friends at Betting News are here to help you with your 2023 NFL division futures betting. Read on to see the latest betting odds for each division, as well as our predictions.

All odds courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook as of 8:36 a.m. ET on Thursday, May 18.

NFL Division Betting 2023 — AFC

AFC East

• Buffalo Bills (+130)
• New York Jets (+250)
• Miami Dolphins (+290)
• New England Patriots (+750)

The AFC East has been the Buffalo Bills’ to lose in recent years, proven by their winning the division in each of the previous three seasons. While Sean McDermott’s squad is ready for another impressive campaign, winning the division won’t be as easy. For starters, Hall-of-Fame quarterback Aaron Rodgers is now with the New York Jets, who’ve seriously upgraded the team around him.

There’s also the Miami Dolphins, who are due to bounce back after collapsing in the latter half of the 2022 campaign. As long as Tua Tagovailoa stays healthy and the defense remains strong (especially with the addition of Jalen Ramsey), the Dolphins could do some real damage.

Keeping that in mind, I’ll actually take the Dolphins to win the AFC East. Yes, this is the Bills’ division to lose, but they’re still a beatable team and did lose to Miami last season. It’ll come down to the wire, but I won’t be shocked if the Dolphins win by a game or two.

Best Bet: Dolphins (+290)

AFC North

• Cincinnati Bengals (+125)
• Baltimore Ravens (+240)
• Cleveland Browns (+350)
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+650)

I fully expect the AFC North to be a two-team race between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens. On one hand, there’s the Joe Burrow-led Bengals, who have one of the most exciting offences on the planet. They’ve won the division in back-to-back campaigns and are only bound to get better due to how young their team is.

On the flip side, the Ravens are due for some success after a busy offseason. Franchise QB Lamar Jackson is the NFL’s highest-paid player and is now surrounded by a competent pass-catching room featuring names like Mark Andrews, Odell Beckham Jr., Zay Flowers, and Rashod Bateman. The secondary has also been upgraded, meaning I don’t see Baltimore being one of the worst teams against the pass again.

Although the Bengals could easily win the division for a third straight year, I like the upgrades that the Ravens have made. Besides, Baltimore only finished two games behind Cincinnati last year, so making up the difference isn’t that much of an ask.

Best Bet: Ravens (+240)

AFC South

• Jacksonville Jaguars (-160)
• Tennessee Titans (+360)
• Indianapolis Colts (+550)
• Houston Texans (+800)

There’s no doubt that the AFC South is the Jacksonville Jaguars’ to lose in 2023. Doug Pederson’s team finished atop the division last season and is in a good spot to do so again as long as QB Trevor Lawrence doesn’t regress. After all, the Jags only lose to the Kansas City Chiefs by one touchdown in the Division Round, so something special is brewing.

At the end of the day, it’s too tough to have faith in anyone else in the division. The Tennessee Titans (Will Levis), Indianapolis Colts (Anthony Richardson), and Houston Texans (C.J. Stroud) are all inexperienced at quarterback, which hurts their respective ceilings. The Jaguars don’t have to worry about that, which is why they should end the campaign with another division title.

Best Bet: Jaguars (-160)

AFC West

• Kansas City Chiefs (-160)
• Los Angeles Chargers (+300)
• Denver Broncos (+550)
• Las Vegas Raiders (+1200)

The Kansas City Chiefs have held the AFC West hostage for nearly a decade now, winning the division crown in each of the past seven seasons. Now, Patrick Mahomes & Co. are boosted by their second Super Bowl title of the last four years, meaning it’s up to the rest of the division to dethrone the Chiefs.

The Las Angeles Chargers could challenge the Chiefs, but that depends on whether their roster can stay healthier than last season. The Denver Broncos are also due for a better showing seeing as how the team looked much better after former head coach Nathaniel Hackett was fired last season.

Nevertheless, the Chargers and Broncos have much to prove before they can be trusted. In other words, I’ll go with the Chiefs winning the AFC West, yet again.

Best Bet: Chiefs (-160)

NFL Division Betting 2023 — NFC

NFC East

• Philadelphia Eagles (+110)
• Dallas Cowboys (+165)
• New York Giants (+600)
• Washington Commanders (+1000)

It won’t be shocking if the NFC East, once again, comes down to the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys. After all, they make up for eight of the last 10 division winners. Last season, the honor went to the Eagles, who finished with a 14-3 record en route to playing in Super Bowl LVII. Having said that, the Cowboys weren’t too far behind, going 12-5.

Although things could go either way, I like the Eagles’ chances of winning in back-to-back years. They just finished as the Super Bowl runners-up, so they have a chip on their shoulder. Philadelphia has also had a terrific offseason, which included bolstering the defense with one of the best showings at the 2023 NFL Draft.

With one of the most well-rounded rosters in football, the Eagles are in a good spot to win the division.

Best Bet: Eagles (+110)

NFC North

• Detroit Lions (+145)
• Minnesota Vikings (+310)
• Green Bay Packers (+350)
• Chicago Bears (+350)

The NFC North looks more wide open than before now that Rodgers has finally left the division. As it stands, the Detroit Lions have the clear-cut best odds to win, carrying an implied probability of 40.8%. The Lions finished with the No. 5 offense last season and while the defense struggled, general manager Brad Holmes made some serious upgrades through free agency and the draft.

I just can’t bring myself to trust any of the other teams in the division to win. The Minnesota Vikings wound up getting exposed last season while it remains to be seen if Jordan Love is the signal-caller that the Green Bay Packers think he is. Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears haven’t finished above .500 in five years.

Improving with each passing season, look for the Lions to finally reach the top of the NFC North.

Best Bet: Lions (+145)

NFC South

• New Orleans Saints (+125)
• Atlanta Falcons (+260)
• Carolina Panthers (+350)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+550)

The NFC South is another division that could go any way. After all, each of the four teams finished the 2022 NFL season with sub-.500 records. Aside from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they’ve all made improvements over the offseason, making it interesting to see who’ll take home the crown.

After upgrading at QB by bringing in veteran Derek Carr, I like the New Orleans Saints’ odds of winning. One of their biggest struggles last season was the passing game, which shouldn’t be the case now that Carr will be connecting with the likes of Michael Thomas, Chris Olave, and Alvin Kamara. The Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers should be better than they were last year, but they’re far from the most complete teams.

Having also boasted a top-10 scoring defense last year, the Saints clearly control their own fate.

Best Bet: Saints (+125)

NFC West

• San Francisco 49ers (-175)
• Seattle Seahawks (+260)
• Los Angeles Rams (+650)
• Arizona Cardinals (+2400)

The San Francisco 49ers shocked a lot of people last year by winning the NFC West with a dominant 13-4 record. It’s just that nobody expected “Mr. Irrelevant” Brock Purdy to go 5-0 as a starter before leading his team to the NFC Championship Game. Unfortunately, Purdy underwent surgery for an elbow injury in March and there’s yet to be a return timetable announced.

Even if the 49ers are forced to begin the season with either Sam Darnold or Trey Lance under center, I still like their odds to win the division. Kyle Shanahan knows how to get the most out of his QBs and his tenure in San Francisco proves that. The Seattle Seahawks are certainly the biggest threat, but the 49ers are still more talent-rich on offense and defense even if Purdy misses some time.

Unless they completely collapse, the 49ers are still the NFC West’s best.

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