2022-23 NFL Projected Win Totals and Predictions

The 2022-23 NFL regular season is less than 4 months away. The Over/Under totals for each team have been released, so it’s time to take an early look at who to bet on in the upcoming season.

Some teams will provide great value, while others who are expected to do well, will not yield as big of a payout.

It is important to take a look and really think before placing a bet this early in the year. Below are the odds and totals according to BetOnline.

2022-23 NFL Over/Under Win Totals and Odds

AFC North

• Baltimore Ravens: Over 9.5 (-130) Under 9.5 (+110)
• Cincinnati Bengals: Over 9.5 (-110) Under 9.5 (-110)
• Cleveland Browns: ODDS NOT AVAILABLE
• Pittsburgh Steelers: Over 7.5 (-110) Under 7.5 (-110)

AFC South

• Indianapolis Colts: Over 9.5 (-160) Under 9.5 (+135)
• Tennessee Titans: Over 9.5 (+120) Under 9.5 (-140)
• Jacksonville Jaguars: Over 6.5 (+105) Under 6.5 (-125)
• Houston Texans: Over 4.5 (-105) Under 4.5 (-115)

AFC East

• Buffalo Bills: Over 11.5 (-115) Under 11.5 (-105)
• Miami Dolphins: Over 8.5 (-130) Under 8.5 (+110)
• New England Patriots: Over 8.5 (-115) Under 8.5 (-105)
• New York Jets: Over 5.5 (-160) Under 5.5 (+135)

AFC West

• Kansas City Chiefs: Over 10.5 (-110) Under 10.5 (-110)
• Denver Broncos: Over 10.5 (+135) Under 10.5 (-160)
• Los Angeles Chargers: Over 10 (-110) Under 10 (-110)
• Las Vegas Raiders: Over 8 (-130) Under 8 (+110)

NFC North

• Green Bay Packers: Over 10.5 (-145) Under 10.5 (+125)
• Minnesota Vikings: Over 8.5 (-130) Under 8.5 (+110)
• Chicago Bears: Over 6.5 (-115) Under 6.5 (-105)
• Detroit Lions: Over 6.5 (-105) Under 6.5 (-115)

NFC South

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Over 11.5 (-110) Under 11.5 (-110)
• New Orleans Saints: Over 8.5 (+100) Under 8.5 (-120)
• Carolina Panthers: Over 5.5 (-125) Under 5.5 (+105)
• Atlanta Falcons: Over 4.5 (+100) Under 4.5 (-120)

NFC East

• Dallas Cowboys: Over 10.5 (-105) Under 10.5 (-115)
• Philadelphia Eagles: Over 9.5 (+100) Under 9.5 (-120)
• Washington Commanders: Over 8.5 (+145) Under 8.5 (-170)
• New York Giants: Over 7.5 (+135) Under 7.5 (-160)

NFC West

• Los Angeles Rams: Over 10.5 (+110) Under 10.5 (-130)
• Arizona Cardinals: Over 9.5 (+135) Under 9.5 (-160)
• San Francisco 49ers: Over 9.5 (-145) Under 9.5 (+125)
• Seattle Seahawks: Over 5.5 (-135) Under 5.5 (+115)

2022-23 NFL Over/Under Predictions

Cincinnati Bengals Over 9.5 Wins

The Bengals won 10 games last year while giving up the most sacks in the league. They have gone out and improved their offensive line drastically with the additions of La’el Collins, Ted Karras, and Alex Cappa. They have given Joe Burrow protection for the 2022 season.

The Bengals are coming off of their most successful season in franchise history. They broke the 31 year curse and finally won a playoff game. They followed that up with two more wins in the playoffs against the Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs. Cincinnati eventually lost in the Super Bowl to the Los Angeles Rams.

It isn’t a dream. The Bengals are back, and they have one of the most explosive offenses in the league. With an improved offensive line, the undervalued Bengals are a great bet to win 10+ games this year.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 11.5 Wins

The Bucs will get a return from their most important player on the field. Tom Brady is set to begin his 23rd season in the NFL. The 7-time super bowl champion is ready to lead Tampa Bay to another deep playoff run.

The Buccaneers are the heavy favorite in a relatively weak NFC South division. They will get wins against division rivals, and they will play well against the rest of the NFC Conference.

I see Tampa Bay as a 12 or 13 win team this year, as they get a return from their star quarterback, and their defense has been tough to crack. The value is there for now, but as a heavy favorite in the NFC, I expect the value to decrease in the coming months.

Pittsburgh Steelers Under 7.5 Wins

The Steelers are dealing with an uncertain situation at quarterback. So far, the starter is set to be Mitch Trubisky. However, the Steelers drafted Kenny Pickett in the first round, and he will be in the conversation as the starter prior to Week 1.

Pittsburgh made the playoffs last season with quarterback Ben Roethlisberger under center, but they will be starting without him for the first time since 2003. In a highly competitive AFC North, the Steelers are going to have problems.

I don’t see Pittsburgh beating any of their divisional opponents this season. They are too unstable under center. With an even line at Over and Under, the best bet is to take the Under. It presents decent value, as Pittsburgh is set to struggle in the upcoming season.

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