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2022 NFL Stat Leaders Odds – Passing, Rushing & Receiving

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2022 NFL Stat Leaders Odds - Passing, Rushing & Receiving

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The 2022 NFL season is about four months away, but that hasn’t stopped people from already predicting certain award winners. At the same time, there are also people who are trying to predict who the major stat leaders will be when it comes to passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Ageless wonder Tom Brady led the NFL in passing yards with 5,316 during the 2021 season. Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor was the leader with 1,811 rushing yards — nearly 600 more than the second-place rusher — while Los Angeles Rams wideout Cooper Kupp led all pass-catchers with 1,947 receiving yards.

Will any of those men finish at the top of their respective category again in 2022? Only time will tell, but betting odds from BetOnline Sportsbook give us a better idea of how the upcoming season might unfold.

2022 NFL Stat Leader Odds: Passing Yards

Matthew Stafford, LAR (+800)
Tom Brady, TB (+800)
Patrick Mahomes, KC (+800)
Justin Herbert, LAC (+800)
Derek Carr, LV (+12000
Joe Burrow, CIN (+1200)
Dak Prescott, DAL (+1200)
Josh Allen, BUF (+1200)
Aaron Rodgers, GB (+1600)
Russell Wilson, DEN (+1600)
Deshaun Watson, CLE (+2000)
Kirk Cousins, MIN (+2000)
Tua Tagovailoa, MIA (+2500)
Matt Ryan, IND (+2500)

The first noticeable thing about the above odds is that there’s a four-way tie to finish as the passing leader between Matthew Stafford, Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert.

After spending his career in Detroit, Stafford’s first season with the Rams couldn’t have gone better. He got to play with the NFL Offensive Player of the Year in Kupp and finished the season with a whopping 4,886 passing yards (No. 3).

While Stafford will have Kupp to target again in 2022, the Rams did replace Robert Woods with Allen Robinson. The latter had the worst season of his career in 2021, making it interesting to see how he’ll affect Stafford’s numbers.

It’s definitely not surprising that Brady is also a co-favorite after finishing as last season’s passing leader. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are always an offensive powerhouse and the 44-year-old should be able to hit at least 4,000 passing yards again.

Can Tom Brady be the NFL’s passing leader for the fifth time in his career?

Mahomes has also made a good case to be considered one of the favorites. Nobody has more than the Kansas City Chiefs QB’s 18,707 passing yards since the 2018 season despite him only being the leader once over that stretch.

The Chiefs have done a good job at re-filling the wide receiver room with the likes of JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Skyy Moore. Add in Travis Kelce as usual and the potential is there for Mahomes to do some damage.

Lastly, Herbert finished second in passing yards last season with 5,014. Considering how that was only his second season in the league, there’s a strong chance that he could surpass that number again with the talented offensive built around him.

2022 NFL Stat Leader Odds: Rushing Yards

Jonathan Taylor, IND (+600)
Derrick Henry, TEN (+600)
Dalvin Cook, MIN (+900)
Nick Chubb, CLE (+900)
Elijah Mitchell, SF (+1400)
Joe Mixon, CIN (+1600)
Antonio Gibson, WAS (+1600)
Najee Harris, PIT (+1600)
Javonte Williams, DEN (+2000)
Damien Harris, NE (+2000)
Ezekiel Elliott, DAL (+2500)
Cam Akers, LAR (+2500)
JK Dobbins, BAL (+2500)

The 2022 NFL rushing leader race is shaping up to be a two-person battle between the Colts’ Taylor and Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry.

As mentioned before, Taylor was the 2022 rushing yards leader in a Colts rushing attack that was among one of the best in the NFL. The 23-year-old rusher also led the league with 332 carries, 18 rushing touchdowns and a massive 106.5 yards on the ground per game.

Although he’ll be among the league’s top rushers again, it’s important to consider that he now has Matt Ryan as his quarterback, along with an improved WR room. One of the reasons why he did as much damage on the ground as he did in 2021 was that Carson Wentz had no one to really pass to outside of Michael Pittman Jr.

Taylor is absolutely one of the league’s top running backs, but it’s going to be interesting to see if the Colts maintain his high usage now that Ryan is under center.

Give Jonathan Taylor the ball, and he will fly. 💨

These are the top five fastest plays from ball carriers last season, according to #NextGenStats. pic.twitter.com/TharKynKRC

— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) May 16, 2022

Henry likely would’ve given Taylor a run for his money last year had his regular season not ended prematurely due to a Jones fracture in his foot.

Before he was injured, Henry recorded 937 rushing yards in only eight games played. For reference, that put him on pace to finish with 1,991 yards in 17 games played — good enough for the lead had he stayed healthy.

We saw Henry return in time for the playoffs, but it still remains to be seen how he’ll look after the offseason. If he comes back just as strong as he was prior to his injury, he should be in the running (pun intended) to finish as the 2022 NFL rushing leader.

2022 NFL Stat Leader Odds: Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson, MIN (+900)
Cooper Kupp, LAR (+900)
Ja'Marr Chase, CIN (+1200)
Travis Kelce, KC (+1200)
Davante Adams, LV (+1200)
Deebo Samuel, SF (+1600)
Tyreek Hill, MIA (+1600)
Stefon Diggs, BUF (+1600)
Mike Evans, TB (+2000)
CeeDee Lamb, DAL (+2000)
Mark Andrews, BAL (+2500)
Diontae Johnson, PIT (+2500)
DeAndre Hopkins, ARI (+2500)
A.J. Brown, PHI (+2500)

The 2022 NFL receiving yards leader is also a two-person race between last year’s winner in Kupp and Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson.

Everyone is well aware of Kupp’s capabilities after the show he displayed last season. Not only were his 1,947 receiving yards the most in the league last season, but they were also the second-most in NFL history, behind only Calvin Johnson (1,964) in 2012.

Kupp also led the league with 145 receptions and 114.5 receiving yards per game, hitting the 100-yard mark in all but four of the 21 games he played (including playoffs).

The Rams may have replaced Woods with Robinson, but Kupp could even see some of the former’s targets fall to him if the latter can’t bounce back.

Meanwhile, Jefferson has been electric since debuting in 2020. He has the most receiving yards (3,016) in the NFL during that span and finished second behind Kupp last year with 1,616.

Jefferson is only 22 years old and continues to improve with each passing season. There’s no reason for that trend not to continue in 2022 and he should continue seeing plenty of opportunities come his way (146.0 targets per season).

Assuming that Kirk Cousins doesn’t regress under center, Jefferson should be in the race until the very end.