Purdue vs Michigan Big Ten Championship Betting: Wolverines Continue Displaying Dominance

The 2022 NCAA college football season is nearly at its end as we arrive at championship week. The Big Ten Championship Game is shaping up to be a huge one as the Purdue Boilermakers are set to take on the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines. Considering how the latter is entering this matchup undefeated, it’s safe to say that many people are highly anticipating the outcome of this Purdue vs Michigan showdown.

BREAKING: The Big Ten Championship is set ✍️

It'll be Michigan vs. Purdue on Dec. 3 in Indianapolis 🏈 pic.twitter.com/ASfW3gVveO

— 247Sports (@247Sports) November 26, 2022

Purdue had some ups and downs this season, but it’s been nothing but success lately. The Boilermakers’ 30-16 win over Indiana last week marked their third consecutive victory, giving them some much-needed momentum heading into their first Big Ten Championship Game in program history.

Meanwhile, Michigan enters this clash with a perfect 12-0 record, looking to win 13 games for the first time ever. They Wolverines shocked the world with a 45-23 win over then-No. 2 Ohio State last week, leaving time to tell if more success is on the way this weekend.

Here are BetOnline Sportsbook’s latest Purdue vs Michigan betting odds, as well as a prediction and best bet for the upcoming Big Ten Championship Game tilt.

Purdue vs Michigan Big Ten Championship Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Purdue Boilermakers (8-4, 6-3 Big Ten) vs. No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (12-0, 9-0 Big Ten)
• Venue & Location: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis, Indiana)
• Date: Saturday, Dec. 3, 2022
• Game Time: 8 p.m. Eastern Time
• Where to Watch Purdue vs Michigan: FOX

Purdue vs Michigan Odds

Game odds are via BetOnline Sportsbook as of Thursday, Dec. 1 at 7:50 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Spread

• Purdue Boilermakers +16.5 (-104)
• Michigan Wolverines -16.5 (-118)

Over/Under

• Over 51.5 (-112)
• Under 51.5 (-108)

Moneyline

• Purdue Boilermakers +590
• Michigan Wolverines -900

Purdue vs Michigan Betting Trends

• Purdue is 2-9 straight up in its last 11 games against Michigan.
• Michigan is 14-0 straight up in its last 14 games against the Big Ten.
• Purdue is 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games.
• Michigan is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games against Purdue.
• The total has hit the over in six of Purdue’s last seven games against the East Division.
• The total has hit the under in nine of Michigan’s last 13 games.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction and Picks

Purdue vs Michigan Prediction: Michigan 37, Purdue 20

Purdue vs Michigan: Michigan -16.5 (Best Value: -118 at BetOnline) & Over 51.5 Points (Best Value: -112 at BetOnline)

A quick look at the odds highlights how the 2022 Big Ten Championship game appears to be lopsided. Michigan’s -900 moneyline odds equate to an implied probability of 90%, which makes sense after the Wolverines have previously dominated the Boilermakers.

Purdue and Michigan have collided 58 times since first meeting in 1892, leading to 44 victories for the latter. The Wolverines have won 23 of their last 28 meetings with the Boilers, along with each of the last four — including a 28-10 win in the most recent counter back in 2017.

While a lot has changed on both sides since then, I don’t expect a different result at Lucas Oil Stadium. Michigan is, head and shoulders, the better team in this matchup.

The Wolverines went out this season and dominated the competition. Not only did they wind up having the No. 5 offense in the nation, operating at a 39.8 point-per-game-clip, but they also allowed the second-fewest points of all 131 FBS schools (12.7 PPG).

Michigan’s impressive play on both sides of the ball led to it owning a plus-27.2 point differential — No. 1 in the country. Meanwhile, Purdue wasn’t anything overly special on offense or defense, leading to a plus-0.9 differential (T-No. 61).

HC Jeff Brohm is 3-0 vs. Top-3 ranked teams

Purdue face No.2 Michigan in the Big Ten Championship 🍿🏈 pic.twitter.com/qiZRg0vdoQ

— PFF College (@PFF_College) November 30, 2022

I also expect Michigan’s backfield to play a big part in the Big Ten Championship Game. Although Purdue has a top-40 run defense this season, the team has allowed about 24 more rushing yards over its last three games (159.7) than it has all season (135.8) and just surrendered 215 to Indiana last week.

Meanwhile, Michigan racks up about 244.5 rushing yards per game (No. 5). Wolverines running back Blake Corum has 1,463 rushing yards and 18 TDs on 247 carries this season and will likely do some real damage come Saturday.

At the end of the day, I don’t see Purdue really keeping things close here. Michigan is a dominant force, proven by its outscoring Ohio State, 28-3, in the second half last week. The Boilermakers aren’t even close to being on the Buckeyes’ level, so I don’t envision Wolverines having much issue here.

Furthermore, it helps that Michigan is a solid 10-3 against the spread (ATS) in its last 13 matchups against Purdue. The Wolverines have won each of the last three encounters by at least 18 points, so I don’t think that covering the 16.5-point spread will be too difficult.

I’m also expecting the total to go over 51.5 points. Four of the last six Purdue vs Michigan matchups have surpassed that total. Even if Purdue’s offense has a problem getting things going, Michigan’s attack is more than elite enough to do most of the heavy lifting.

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