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#19 Army vs #6 Notre Dame: NCAA Football Predictions, Odds & Best Bets
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 6 minutes
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The undefeated Army Black Knights head to the Bronx to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish this Saturday at Yankee Stadium. Army was sitting around all week on their bye, prepping for this game. They’ve had this one circled, especially since starting off so hot, as this could make or break Army’s case for the College Football Playoff.
The Black Knights have handled business all season long, and yes, the Irish will be their toughest opponent. But they haven’t won a game by less than double digits, and they have a very good rushing attack, and rushing defense. Both will come into play plenty against Notre Dame.
The Irish are still in the CFP rankings despite not having a conference championship and an early season blemish losing to NIU at home, but they do have big wins otherwise. They opened the season on the road against Texas A&M, beat then #15 Louisville by 7, beat then #24 Navy by 37, and I see Marcus Freeman having his team motivated to hand Army their first loss of the season.
#19 Army vs #6 Notre Dame: Showdown at Yankee Stadium
Matchup Information – Army vs Notre Dame
- Venue & Location: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, NY)
- Date: Saturday, November 23rd, 2024
- Kick Off: 7:30pm Eastern
- Broadcast: NBC
Betting Odds
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Spread
- Army +14 (-107)
- Notre Dame -14 (-113)
Money Line
- Army +460
- Notre Dame -600
Total
- Over 46 (-110)
- Under 46 (-110)
Will Army Pull Off Miraculous Upset?
Both of these offenses are extremely rush heavy. Army is 2nd in rushing attempts per game while ranking 1st in rushing yards, going for over 330 per game, and 360 away from West Point. The Irish aren’t far behind, ranking 11th in the country putting up over 215 yards on the ground as a team. That number inflates to 248 on the road and has been over 233 over the past few weeks. Army is also dead last in pass attempts per contest, while Notre Dame is 91st, combining for just 36 pass attempts per game (Army averages 7.5 and just 5 away from home).
So essentially we have two of the best, most powerful rushing attacks going at each other. How do their rushing defenses stack up?
Army is the best rushing defense in the nation in yards per game, giving up just 71, and 5th in yards per carry, giving up less than 3. Both numbers move in their favor on the road. The Irish are still one of the better defenses, ranking 38th in yards per game giving up 126 per game and 23rd in yards per rush allowing 3.5. This game is going to be a battle of the trenches.
The Irish started as 16 point favorites moving down to two touchdowns where it sits now, and I am leaning their way. This game has a lot of similarities to the game against Navy, whom I’ll admit, isn’t as good as Army. However, we have a Notre Dame team that will always take heat for their schedule and no conference championship, so the motivation to blow the doors off of Army is at an all time high.
#19 Army Black Knights vs #6 Notre Dame Fighting Irish Best Bets
Army vs Notre Dame Prediction: Notre Dame Wins & Covers, Over 46
Best Bets: Notre Dame -14 (-113) BetOnline
Full transparency, I am going to wait and pray that I see a -13.5 before kick off tomorrow, so I have no quite pulled the trigger yet. If it gets there, I will be locking it in.
Notre Dame has everything to lose in this game. They take so much scrutiny already, so failing to cover against Army would just be another reason for the committee to question them. Marcus Freeman is an ultimate motivator, and I guarantee he has the Irish ready to roll on Saturday in front of a huge crowd.
I do have a a big ole chalky two teamer as well.
- Riley Leonard ATD (-220)
- Bryson Daily ATD (-125)
- Two Team Parlay (+160)
Not the best price obviously, but if anyone is scoring for Army, it’s Daily. He leads the team in carries, rushing yards, and rushing TDs with 21 (next closest is 9). As for Leonard, he is right behind Jeremiyah Love in carries and rushing yards, but has one more rushing TD than him with 13 on the year. It’s chalky, but I’ll be taking both QBs to find the end zone with their legs.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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