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Tuesday College Best Bets | January 7, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 6 minutes
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Tuesday’s college basketball slate is loaded with matchups you will not want to miss. Two of my favorite plays feature teams aiming to bounce back from tough road losses as they look to get back in the win column. Let’s dive into the action.
Looking for insights on today’s college basketball slate? Check out my thoughts on No. 1 Tennessee vs. No. 8 Florida—click the link!
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Last Month in CBB: 37-32 (-1.81 Units)
Last Week in CBB: 11-9 (-1.63 Units)
Nebraska vs Iowa Best Bet
Can Iowa bounce back after an embarrassing loss to Wisconsin?
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Nebraska vs Iowa Best Bet
The Hawkeyes coming off a blowout loss to the Wisconsin Badgers on Friday. Wisconsin became the first team in over 25 years—men’s or women’s basketball—to record 115+ points, 60.0+% FG%, 65.0+% 3P%, and 85.0+% FT% against a Division I opponent. Now Iowa returns home to Carver-Hawkeye Arena, hosting the Cornhuskers, who just beat the UCLA Bruins 66-58 on Saturday.
Nebraska and Iowa share a similar story: both thrive at home and struggle mightily on the road. In three true road games this season, the Cornhuskers rank 307th in three-point percentage, 344th in offensive rebounding, and 269th in eFG% offense. At home, they are much more competitive, sitting in the mid-100s in those categories. Even across six games away from home, Nebraska still ranks 228th in three-point percentage and 258th in offensive rebounding.
Iowa holds a clear advantage in both home court and consistency, according to Haslametrics. The Hawkeyes are ranked top 100 in both categories. Playing in Carver-Hawkeye Arena, Iowa is a force to be reckoned with. They rank in the top 20 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, eFG% offense, turnover percentage (offense), two-point percentage, free throw rate defense, and block percentage (both offense and defense). Iowa’s game plan is simple: run and score opponents to death. This aggressive style comes at the expense of defense, as evidenced by what Wisconsin just did to them. Iowa ranks 19th in pace, per Haslametrics, while Nebraska sits in the mid-100s.
The Hawkeyes’ one saving grace on defense at home is their ability to force turnovers, ranking 76th in the nation in that category. They also see significant improvement in their perimeter defense at home—climbing from 267th on the road to 113th in Carver-Hawkeye Arena. While Nebraska does not rely heavily on three-point shooting, Iowa should be able to hold its ground when the Cornhuskers fire from deep.
After such an embarrassing loss to Wisconsin, head coach Fran McCaffery will have his team ready to bounce back tonight at home against the Cornhuskers.
Best Bet: Iowa (-3.5) on BetOnline
#6 Kentucky vs Georgia Best Bet
Does Georgia have what it takes to hold down No. 6 Kentucky?
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#6 Kentucky vs Georgia Best Bet
I smell a storm brewing!
No. 6 Kentucky is fresh off handing Florida their first loss of the season on Saturday, while Georgia is recovering from a tough loss to No. 23 Ole Miss. This matchup has “get right” versus “letdown spot” written all over it.
The Georgia Bulldogs are one of the best home teams in the country, ranked 46th per Haslametrics. Meanwhile, Kentucky ranks as the 38th worst team on the road. Georgia is undefeated at home this season with a 9-0 record. Their most notable home win—and really their only true challenge—came against Notre Dame, whom they held to just 48 points in a 21-point victory. The Bulldogs have faced plenty of adversity this season, and the Wildcats will not catch them off guard. This is a team that has taken down Georgia Tech, St. John’s, and Grand Canyon but has also fallen to Marquette and Ole Miss.
Defensively, the Bulldogs shine against top-100 teams. They rank 16th in adjusted defensive efficiency, sixth in effective field goal percentage (eFG%) defense, 41st in three-point defense, 12th in two-point defense, and eighth in block percentage. Their ability to guard the perimeter will be key tonight. Kentucky thrives on the deep ball, ranking 55th nationally in three-point percentage and attempting a three-point shot 42.4 percent of the time. However, the Wildcats are a completely different team away from Rupp Arena. On the road, they rank 301st in three-point percentage, 282nd in two-point percentage, and 40th worst in eFG% offense. This disparity gives the Bulldogs a massive edge.
Georgia also holds the momentum and consistency advantage, per Haslametrics. Kentucky, on the other hand, is the second-worst team in the country in momentum. “(Kentucky) has been more inefficient than normal in recent contests,” according to Haslametrics.
Get your raincoats ready—there is a massive storm brewing tonight. Go Dawgs!
Best Bet: Georgia (+2) on BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog, he loves them all.
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