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Saturday College Basketball Best Bets | January 18, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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Saturday’s college basketball slate is packed with great opportunities to back teams bouncing back from tough losses and fade teams coming off big wins. I have over seven spots circled for Super Saturday, but I’m highlighting two that are sure to satisfy your college basketball cravings. Let’s dive in!
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Last Month in CBB: 33-42 (-15.77 Units)
Last Week in CBB: 8-12 (-4.44 Units)
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Creighton vs #15 UConn Best Bet
How will the Huskies respond after a week off?
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The Bluejays are coming off a dominant 84-64 win over the Providence Friars on Tuesday. Now, they face a tough task, traveling from Omaha to Storrs to take on a UConn team that has had a full week of rest following their win over Georgetown.
In four true road games this season, Creighton has struggled, going 1-3 in those matchups. Their defense is inconsistent, they do not rebound well, and their free-throw shooting is subpar. On the road, they rank in the mid-300s in all three categories. While Creighton loves shooting from deep—ranking 16th in three-point attempt rate on the road—they have not been efficient, sitting at 234th nationally in three-point percentage.
Now they face the fifth-best offense in the country. UConn excels at rebounding, getting to the free-throw line, converting their free throws, and blocking shots. The Huskies are 8-0 at home and aim to keep that streak alive tomorrow against the Bluejays.
Considering how thoroughly Creighton handled Providence, it is clear they were locked in on the Friars and not looking ahead to Saturday’s game in Storrs. However, this is a challenging spot for them. I expect UConn to win this game by double digits.
Best Bet: UConn (-6.5) on BetOnline
Oregon State vs San Francisco Best Bet
Can the Dons hold it down against the Beavers?
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Coming off a nine-point upset victory as underdogs over No. 16 Gonzaga on Thursday night, the Oregon State Beavers must quickly regroup as they head to San Francisco to face the Dons.
The Dons are one of the nation’s strongest home teams, ranking 56th at home according to Haslametrics, while Oregon State lags far behind at 316th in road performance. Undefeated at home with a 10-0 record, San Francisco thrives in all facets of the game: they defend the perimeter exceptionally well (31st in three-point defense), excel inside (40th in two-point percentage), and dominate the boards (77th in defensive rebounding). With a top-100 offense and defense, the Dons appear well-equipped to protect their home court against a team riding the momentum of a major upset.
Oregon State has struggled mightily against top-100 teams this season, and their win over Gonzaga was essentially their “Super Bowl.” On the road against top-100 opponents, the Beavers rank 279th in offensive turnover percentage, 300th in free throw rate defense, and 214th in free throw rate offense. Meanwhile, the Dons are shooting just under 70% from the line, so capitalizing on extra opportunities at the charity stripe could be a decisive factor.
Ultimately, replicating their dominance in back-to-back games will be a tall order for the Beavers, especially after pulling off a massive upset as nearly double-digit underdogs. This feels like a prime spot to back the Dons at home, even on short rest.
Best Bet: San Francisco Moneyline (-144) on BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog, he loves them all.
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