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NCAA Basketball Predictions, Odds & Best Bets: Tuesday of Feast Week (11/26)
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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Feast Week is upon us! There is ton’s of College Hoops all day long, so we are back for some more NCAA Basketball action! As always, we will be diving into the College Hoops slate to find our best bets for today! We’ve got a decent sized slate, however it is a very long season, so we will continue to pick our spots carefully.
For all of our Expert NCAA Basketball Picks, check out our page here. But for now, let’s get right into it!
Listed below are my College Hoops best bets for today, but be sure to get all of my picks on my Twitter (@Shaggy_Bets)
NCAA Basketball Best Bets – November 26th, 2024
Ryan Kalkbrenner and Creighton look to bounce back after a loss to Nebraska
#21 Creighton vs San Diego State Predictions
Oregon vs #20 Texas A&M Predictions
Best Bet: Creighton/Texas A&M ML Parlay (+156) BetOnline
We are swallowing some chalk in these first matchups of the Player’s Era Tournament in Vegas. Now, Creighton and Texas A&M are both short favorites today, and matchup with each other tomorrow. However I see them both handling business in this first game in Las Vegas.
San Diego State is a team that plays slow and is very good defensively. They were exposed against Gonzaga, giving up 80 points and failing to cover the spread at home. Against UC San Diego, they barely squeaked out a home win as well. This team has a lot of new pieces, and I see Creighton speeding the ball game up, shooting tons of 3s, which the Aztecs can’t defend, and running away with this ball game. The Blue Jays are 8th in 3P Rate, while SDSU is 170th in both 3P Rate and 3P% Defense.
As for the Aggies, they should be able to handle the Ducks. Since their opening loss at UCF, Texas A&M has steamrolled anyone who tries to get in their way. Tonight their Top 20 offense and defense faces an Oregon team that hasn’t really played anybody. They have 3 wins against teams north of 173, as well as two other wins against teams outside the Top 100. Now they face the 14th ranked Aggies (Bart Torvik) on a neutral site, and I fail to see their offense having much success against Texas A&M’s defense.
Swallow the chalk, but give me Creighton and Texas A&M to both win tonight before their matchup with each other tomorrow.
Rutgers vs Notre Dame Predictions
Will Rutgers bounce back following their loss to Kennesaw State?
Best Bet: Rutgers/Notre Dame Under 146 (-110) Bovada
Read my full analysis below on why Colby thinks this game is going to stay under!
#1 Kansas vs #11 Duke Predictions
Back the under in this College Hoops matchup
Best Bet: Duke/Kansas Under 149.5 BetOnline
Read my full analysis below on why I see points being at a premium in this matchup.
#5 Iowa State vs Dayton Predictions
Enoch Cheeks leads the Flyers in points and rebounds this season
Best Bet: Iowa State/Dayton Under 142.5 (-110) BetOnline
I know the rims in Maui looked extremely soft yesterday, but it won’t matter for these two slow, defensive minded teams. Neither should touch 70 in this defensive contest, and I even see it staying under 135.
Iowa State ranks 4th in Overall Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, 7th in TO Forced and do a great job of keeping teams off the line. Even though they give up plenty of 3s, (318th in 3P Rate Defense), they defend them very well, ranking 46th, holding opponent’s to just 27% from deep. This is certainly going to come into play, as the Flyers love letting it fly.
Dayton is Top 100 in 3P Rate, while only shooting 33% from beyond the arc. They do a great job of taking care of the ball, and also boast a Top 50 defense overall. Offensively, the Flyers are very slow, ranking just 280th in possessions per game. They clean up the glass defensively, as do the Cyclones, limiting extra possessions for their opponent.
I see defenses showing out as both teams look to get back on track after blowing huge leads in the first round yesterday.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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