Rockets vs Warriors NBA Analysis, Odds, and Best Bet (4/6)

Sunday is a perfect day for NBA basketball. We’ve got two of the best out west. The young and dangerous Rockets seek lift-off in Golden State as Houston takes on the Warriors for Sunday night NBA action! Let’s talk hoops, baby.

Game Information

• Chase Center San Fransisco, CA
• Houston Rockets (51-27) visit the Golden State Warriors (46-31)
• Previous Matchup: GS 105-98 February 13th, 2025

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Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors

The Houston Rockets are one of the best defensive teams in basketball. When their offence is going they are very hard to beat. They’ve got only 2 losses in their last ten and are coming off a pair of wins including an impressive drubbing of the Oklahoma City Thunder. They will also be headed into the playoffs healthy as you can get. Only Jabari Smith Jr. is on the injury report for the team in red.

The Rockets are 3.5 games up on the Lakers for the two seed. It feels secure but the Rockets should not let that make them get complacent. One losing streak and they could lose home court. The Western Conference is an absolute gauntlet this year as always.

Golden State has been just as good as the visitors. Seven wins in their last ten with 5 wins straight. Curry and company have been very good on both ends. Draymond Green is poised to perhaps win another defensive player of the year. Furthermore, the Warriors are 5th in the West. They definitely want to keep this streak going to secure home court. This is very doable as they will play San Antonio, Portland, and Phoenix as the season winds down. They are a half game back of Denver who have lost 3 straight basketball games.

NBA Game Analysis

The Rockets defence gives them a chance against any opponent. They’re the 5th ranked scoring defence taking on the 18th ranked scoring offence. They can win this game by limiting possessions and turning this into a fight in the mud. They lost the turnover battle 20-11 and conceded a 11 point differential in points off turnovers. Slowing the game down would help limit turnovers because Golden State is 5th in steals per game as a team.

Best defense by month:

OCT — Thunder
NOV — Rockets
DEC — Thunder
JAN — Clippers
FEB — Cavaliers
MAR — Raptors pic.twitter.com/20udxt64PX

— StatMuse (@statmuse) April 4, 2025

They Rockets are a good fast breaking team but they should not rely on that in this one. This is because on the road they are a little softer. The over hit in 20 of the Rockets last 30 games on the road this season. They get away from playing their brand of basketball. Ultimately, this is not out of character for a team this young. Unfortunately, it does mean they don’t play to their own standard. The Houston Rockets are 4-8 against the spread in their last 12 games on the road. If they want to win this game they need to focus on the defensive end and not get away from their game.

Golden State has been up and down all season but they are good when they really should be. The Golden State Warriors are 16-4 (80.0%) in their last 20 games as a favourite. They are 6th in 2nd chance points and will face the Rockets who are just 14th in defending 2nd chance points. Additionally, the Rockets are 17th in points in the paint allowed so Jimmy Butler may have an opportunity to operate well.

NBA Best Bet: Stephen Curry o24.5 Points (-135)

Riding with the Chef here. He’s playing Fred VanVleet who he saw in the NBA Finals and a Chef never forgets they are like elephants in that respect. Curry has hit this line in 11 of his last 20 and 3 of his last 5 head-to-head.

36 Points
7 Threes

Another ELECTRIC performance from Stephen Curry ⚡️ pic.twitter.com/zz9TOMQarF

— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) April 5, 2025

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