Nuggets vs Heat Prediction, Odds & Best Bets | NBA Picks Today (3/13): Can DEN Down Shorthanded MIA?

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There are nine NBA games scheduled for Wednesday, March 13 — including two games airing nationally on ESPN. The first matchup is an inter-conference tilt as it pits the Denver Nuggets (45-20) one-on-one with the Miami Heat (35-29) at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Four-game road trip loading 🧳 pic.twitter.com/eisspGRQh5

— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) March 12, 2024

The Nuggets begin their road trip following Sunday’s 125-119 win, marking their third victory in a row. Meanwhile, the Heat hope to avoid a fourth straight loss after falling 110-108 to the Washington Wizards over the weekend.

So, will these teams continue heading in the same direction when all is said and done?

Let’s discuss it as we get into my Nuggets vs. Heat predictions and best bets.

Nuggets vs Heat NBA Betting Tonight (3/13)

Nuggets vs Heat Matchup Information

• Matchup: Denver Nuggets (45-20, 18-14 Away) vs. Miami Heat (35-29, 17-14 Home)
• Venue & Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)
• Date: Wednesday, March 13, 2024
• Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• How to Watch Nuggets vs. Heat: ESPN

Heat vs Nuggets Odds & Spread

Heat vs. Nuggets odds are courtesy of Bovada as of Wednesday, March 13 at 8:40 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Nuggets vs Heat Spread

• Denver Nuggets -4 (-105)
• Miami Heat +4 (-115)

Heat vs Nuggets Over/Under

• Over 215 Points (-110)
• Under 215 Points (-110)

Nuggets vs Heat Moneyline

• Denver Nuggets (-175)
• Miami Heat (+150)

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NBA Best Bets and Picks Tonight

Looking to get in on even more NBA picks today? Check out our NBA Picks page for consensus picks for every 2023-24 season game.

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Nuggets vs Heat NBA Betting Trends

• Denver is 9-1 straight up in its last 10 games.
• Miami is 1-4 straight up in its last five games vs. Denver.
• Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games.
• Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last five games.
• The total hit the Under in eight of Denver’s last 11 road games.
• The total hit the Under in five of Miami’s last six games vs. Denver.

Nuggets vs Heat Prediction & NBA Picks Today (3/13): Denver’s Road Success Continues

The Nuggets and Heat are colliding for the second time in two weeks and the home team is hoping that this game ends differently.

Things didn’t go the way that Miami planned when it visited Denver on Feb. 29. The Nuggets picked up a 103-97 victory at Ball Arena that night as Michael Porter Jr. scored a game-high 30 points while the Heat only shot 42.2% from the floor and 26.9% from the three-point line.

With that loss, the Heat have now lost 11 of their last 12 encounters with the Nuggets, getting outscored by an average of 10.5 points per game. It gets worse, though. The Heat haven’t defeated the Nuggets on home court since March 19, 2018, losing six games in a row since then while only averaging 98.2 PPG.

It’s been nearly six years since the Heat last beat the Nuggets in Miami. Will that change tonight? 

The Heat are now tasked with trying to defeat the Nuggets, who’ve won nine of their last 10 games heading into tonight. When it comes to team stats across the NBA during that stretch, Denver ranks third in PPG, first in field-goal percentage, 10th in three-point percentage, sixth in defense rebounds, and second in steals as well as third in blocks and average point differential.

That isn’t exactly great news for the Heat, who’ve lost three games in a row. Miami’s offense has disappeared during the skid, putting up 105.3 PPG with a 46.7 FG%.

The Heat’s struggles are only magnified when you realize that Tyler Herro (foot) and Kevin Love (heel) have both been ruled out for tonight. Jimmy Butler is also dealing with a head illness, however, he’s expected to suit up.

The Nuggets, meanwhile, sport an absolutely clean bill of health.

Can the Heat overcome their injury issues to defeat the healthy Nuggets?

Given how the Heat have been playing lately, backing the Nuggets is a no-brainer. Denver is a legitimate championship contender and has been playing like it. The Nuggets have already defeated the Heat once this season and have dominated the series for the last six years. I just don’t see the visitors coming up short.

With that in mind, let’s take the Nuggets to cover the spread, too. Denver has been great at covering lately, going 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games as well as 12-4 ATS across the last 16 meetings with Miami. The Heat haven’t had nearly as much success, going 1-7 ATS in their last eight games in March as well as 0-6 ATS in the six previous home games against the Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Heat NBA Prediction: DEN wins

Best Nuggets vs Heat NBA Bet: DEN -4 (-105)

Get 50% up to $750 on your Nuggets vs. Heat NBA picks today at Bovada

Best Nuggets vs Heat NBA Prop Bet (3/13)

I’m rolling with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope to hit over 1.5 threes made for the best Nuggets vs. Heat player prop tonight.

Caldwell-Pope is averaging 1.5 threes with a 39.6% rate this season, however, both numbers have improved in recent weeks. Over his last seven games, the two-time NBA Champion is averaging 2.6 threes while shooting 52.9% from deep. He’s finished with the Over five times, which includes tallying at least a trio of 3PM on four occasions.

The Heat allow the 10th-most threes made to shooting guards this season and even allowed KCP to shoot 4-for-8 from deep last month. In other words, this is a great betting pick.

Best Nuggets vs Heat Prop Bet: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope o1.5 Threes Made (+105)

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