Mavericks vs Celtics Betting (Nov. 23): Boston Finally Finds Success Against Dallas

The NBA has 12 games scheduled for Wednesday, Nov. 23, including an intriguing tilt between the Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics. Showdowns between the likes of Luka Doncic and Jayson Tatum can’t be missed, making this Mavericks vs Celtics meeting some must-see TV for basketball enthusiasts.

The Celtics have not beaten Luka Doncic and the Mavericks since before the pandemic. They’ve been swept the last two years by Dallas. Tonight would be a nice one to get.

— Mark Dondero (@MarkDondero) November 23, 2022

It’s been nearly two weeks since the Mavericks last played on the road, going 3-2 over a five-game home stand. Having said that, Dallas did just lose 98-97 to the Denver Nuggets on Sunday, making it interesting to see how Doncic and co. respond in their return to the road.

The Celtics also need the win after suffering a 121-107 loss to the Chicago Bulls on Monday. Considering how Boston never led by more than three points in the entire contest, something has to change if the team wants to reverse its fortunes tonight.

There’s a lot to take in before Wednesday’s Mavericks vs Celtics game. Fortunately, Betting News has gathered the game’s odds while also having a prediction and best bet for tonight’s contest.

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Dallas Mavericks (9-7, 1-4 Away) vs. Boston Celtics (13-4, 6-1 Home)
• Venue & Location: TD Garden (Boston, Massachusetts)
• Date: Wednesday, Nov. 23, 2022
• Game Time: 7:30 p.m. Eastern Time
• Mavericks vs Celtics Info: ESPN, NBC Sports Boston, Bally Sports Southwest

Mavericks vs Celtics Odds

Game odds are via BetOnline as of Wednesday, Nov. 23 at 9:53 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Spread

• Dallas Mavericks +4.5 (-110)
• Boston Celtics -4.5 (-110)

Over/Under

• Over 218.5 Points (-110)
• Under 218.5 Points (-110)

Moneyline

• Dallas Mavericks +164
• Boston Celtics -196

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Betting Trends

• Dallas is 1-7 straight up in its last eight road games.
• Boston is 12-4 straight up in its last 16 games as the favorite.
• Dallas is 1-9 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games.
• Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last five games played on Wednesday.
• The total has hit the under in five of Dallas’ last six road games against Boston.
• The total has hit the under in eight of Boston’s last 10 games against the Southwest Division.

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction and Picks

Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction: Celtics 110, Mavericks 103

Mavericks vs Celtics Picks: Celtics -4.5 (Best Value: -110 at BetOnline) & Under 218.5 Points (Best Value: -110 at BetOnline)

While I don’t have proof, there’s a good chance that Doncic circles his calendar every time he sees the Celtics on the schedule.

After all, the Mavericks have swept the Celtics in each of the last two seasons, winning four straight meetings. Doncic was at the forefront of those victories, averaging 31.5 points, 8.8 rebounds and 6.5 assists while shooting 56.0% from the floor and 56.4% from three-point range.

Having said that, it isn’t like those victories were blowouts. Each of Dallas’ victories over that stretch came by an average margin of just 3.5 points, being decided by exactly three in all but one of those collisions.

It’s also going to be tougher than ever for the Mavericks to continue their success. Before their loss to the Bulls, the Celtics were riding a nine-game winning streak and defeating opponents left and right.

On top of that, the Celtics haven’t lost at TD Garden since Oct. 28. In other words, Joe Mazzulla’s squad is currently riding a five-game winning streak at home. Hell, even the Celtics’ sole loss at home this season was by a single point in overtime, showing just how tough they are to beat in Beantown.

It’s also worth noting that the Mavericks haven’t been good on the road, losing four of their five games away from American Airlines Center.

Dallas’ offense already hasn’t been great this season, averaging 109.1 PPG (No. 25). However, that clip drops to just 107.4 PPG on the road — seventh-worst in the NBA.

Meanwhile, the Celtics average a league-high 124.1 PPG at home while shooting 51.3 % from the field (No. 2) and 37.2% from three-point range (No. 12). Even if Boston ends up being without Jayson Tatum (ankle), the likes of Jaylen Brown, Al Horford, Malcolm Brogdon and Marcus Smart should be able to keep the offense firing on all cylinders.

I know that the Mavericks have been solid this year, but their road struggles can’t be ignored. Couple that with their upcoming opponent’s dominance in Boston and it’s easy to see why the Celtics are the right choice to win this game.

When it comes to the best bets, take Boston as the -4.5 spread favorite. While the Celtics have covered the spread in five of their last seven games, the Mavericks have failed to do so in nine of their last 10.

I’m also backing the total going under 218.5 points. When they’re at the top of their game, both Dallas and Boston have two of the best defenses in the association. With the total also going under in five of the last Mavericks vs Celtics games at TD Garden, I see that trend continuing tonight.

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