Heat vs. Warriors Betting (Oct. 27): Can the Warriors Win Three Straight Games at Home?

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Thursday, Oct. 27 with another slate of exciting matchups. One showdown worth keeping an eye on is an inter-conference clash between the Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors at 10 p.m. ET.

HERE'S WHAT'S NEXT

Heat at Warriors tomorrow night at 9:30pm 🍿@MiamiHEAT | #HEATCulture pic.twitter.com/aajF8sOMxQ

— Bally Sports Sun: HEAT (@BallyHEAT) October 27, 2022

The Heat have now won two of their last three wins, scoring a 119-98 victory against the Portland Trail Blazers in their last outing. It was an all-around team effort as each of Miami’s starters finished with between 14 and 18 points, while Max Strus had a 16-point effort off the bench.

Meanwhile, the Warriors enter this one following a 134-105 blowout loss to the Phoenix Suns. Golden State just couldn’t get anything going due to a lack of discipline, committing 27 fouls while turning the ball over 16 times.

There’s a lot to take in before Thursday’s Heat vs Warriors game. Fortunately, Betting News has gathered the game’s odds while also having a prediction and best bet for tonight’s contest.

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

• Matchup: Miami Heat (2-3, 1-0 Away) vs. Golden State Warriors (2-2, 2-1 Home)
• Venue & Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, California)
• Date: Thursday, Oct. 27, 2022
• Game Time: 10 p.m. Eastern Time
• Heat vs Warriors Info: NBA TV

Heat vs Warriors Early Odds

Game odds are via BetOnline as of Thursday, Oct. 27 at 7:50 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Spread

• Miami Heat +7.5 (-110)
• Golden State Warriors -7.5 (-110)

Over/Under

• Over 225.5 Points (-110)
• Under 225.5 Points (-110)

Moneyline

• Miami Heat +250
• Golden State Warriors -310

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

• Miami is 1-7 straight up in its last eight road games against Golden State.
• Golden State is 15-2 straight up in its last 17 home games.
• Miami is 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games.
• Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games played in October.
• The total has hit the under in six of Miami’s last nine games.
• The total has hit the over in seven of Golden State’s last eight games against Miami.

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction and Picks

Heat vs Warriors Prediction: Heat 120, Warriors 116

Heat vs Warriors Picks: Heat ML (Best Value: +250 at BetOnline) & Over 225.5 Points (Best Value: -110 at BetOnline)

This meeting marks the first matchup between the Heat and Warriors this season. The two sides met twice last year, resulting in two victories for Golden State, outscoring Miami by a combined total of 233 to 212 in those meetings.

As usual, defeating the Warriors at home won’t be easy for the Heat. Golden State has won back-to-back home outings ahead of this matchup. Furthermore, Steve Kerr’s squad is 15-2 in their last 17 games at the Chase Center.

On top of that, the Heat have won only one of their last eight road games against the Warriors. They last beat Golden State in California in February 2020, but other than that, there hasn’t been much luck for the Heat on the road when the Warriors are involved.

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Much like in past seasons, the Warriors have relied on their three-point shooting for success. They’re averaging 13.8 threes per game (No. 7), however, they’ve only converted on 35% of their chances (No. 18).

Unfortunately, it might be tough for the Heat to keep up. Miami is averaging the 10th-fewest threes per game, converting on 34.6% of shots from beyond the yard (tied for 11th-worst).

Making matters worse, the Heat aren’t great at defending threes either. Opponents average 13.4 shots from beyond the arc and a 37.9% three-point percentage against Miami, ranking sixth- and seventh-worst in the NBA, respectively.

Even with those struggles, I do like the Heat’s depth a bit more compared to the Warriors. Miami has done a better job at spreading out scoring responsibilities across the team, whereas Golden State has Stephen Curry (30.3 PPG) and Andrew Wiggins (20.8 PPG) without any other real contributors.

It also doesn’t help that the Warriors are averaging the third-most turnovers per game in the Association. Furthermore, they’re also allowing the most points off turnovers this season. The Heat haven’t exactly been perfect this season, but they’re more than capable of capitalizing on any potential giveaways.

With the deeper team combined with the Warriors’ turnover issues, I’m backing the Heat to get the job done on the road. Miami has great defense and as long as the top players take advantage of Golden State’s miscues, the Heat should be fine.

I’ll take the Heat at +250 on the moneyline as the best bet as far as an upset is concerned. I’m also backing the over on the total after the two sides have combined for the over in seven of their last eight meetings.