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Red Sox vs. Orioles (September 11): Expect more runs in rubber game in Baltimore
Written by: Eddie Griffin
Last Updated:
Read Time: 3 minutes
mlb
Boston Red Sox Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-190
8.5
-105o
+108
Baltimore Orioles Odds
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+1.5
-185
8.5
-110u
-115
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See Picks & Statistics For The GameIt has been a very frustrating season for the Boston Red Sox, but they came to play yesterday in Baltimore, tallying a season-high 17 runs as they routed the Baltimore Orioles.
The big win ended a four-game losing streak that featured three one-run losses, and it hurt the Orioles in their quest for an AL wild-card spot.
Boston’s big win was keyed by Rafael Devers, who had three of their 21 hits and hit a tone-setting grand slam off of Jordan Lyles in the first inning.
With the Seattle Mariners defeating the Atlanta Braves last night, the O’s are now five games back of the M’s for the final AL wild-card spot with just 23 regular season games remaining for both teams.
So, this afternoon’s series finale at Oriole Park is a big, must-win game for the home team, whose playoff chances have taken a real hit with five losses in their past seven games. At BetOnline, they now sit at +1040 to make the playoffs and -2500 to miss out.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Matchup Information and Betting Odds
Matchup Information
- Matchup: Boston Red Sox (68-72, 33-38 away, 5th in the AL East) vs. Baltimore Orioles (73-66, 41-29 home, 4th in the AL East)
- Venue & Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards (Baltimore, Maryland)
- Date: Sunday, September 11, 2022
- Game Time: 1:05 p.m. Eastern Time
Red Sox vs. Orioles Pitching Matchup
- Boston: LHP Rich Hill (2022: 21 starts, 6-6, 4.79 ERA)
- Baltimore: RHP Kyle Bradish (2022: 18 starts, 3-5, 5.30 ERA)
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds
Game odds are via BetOnline. Odds from other legal sports betting sites may also appear in this article.
Moneyline
- Boston Red Sox +112
- Baltimore Orioles -132
Over/Under
- Over 8.5 (-114)
- Under 8.5 (-106)
Run Line
- Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-192)
- Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+158)
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction and Best Bets
Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Baltimore to win
Red Sox vs. Orioles Best Bets: Baltimore ML (Best Value: -125 at BetMGM) & Boston/Baltimore over 8.5 (Best Value: -105 at Bovada Sportsbook & BetMGM)
Yesterday couldn’t have gone much worse for the Orioles. They suffered their worst loss of the season, and they lost ground in the playoff race to two of the teams currently occupying the three AL wild-card spots.
But the numbers line up well for them to bounce back today and secure the series win.
The Orioles are 38-27 (.585) following a loss this season, and they have put up good results as a favorite as well. Overall, they are 17-7 (.708) as a favorite, including a 14-7 (.667) mark as a home favorite.
The Sox, meanwhile, have not thrived as an underdog, going 26-45 (.366) overall.
In addition to a home win, the over is also a strong play here.
Hill has not started September well, allowing nine runs (all earned), 14 hits, and five walks in just eight innings in two starts.
This season, Hill has allowed three or more runs 13 times in 21 starts, including six times in 12 road starts. Also, there have been nine or more combined runs in seven of the last nine games Hill has started.
Bradish has been fairly generous as well. He has allowed three or more runs 11 times in his 18 starts, including eight times in ten home starts.
Also, nine or more runs have been scored in 10 of the 18 games Bradish has started, including six times in ten home starts.
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