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MLB Must Bet Props: Sides, Totals & Player Props | May 1st, 2024
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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Happy Hump Day, everyone! The MLB slate could not be any more appetizing. Games are all day long, and there are so many opportunities to make some cash! Here are my two favorite plays this afternoon.
Let’s get after it.
Top MLB Prop Bets for Wednesday’s Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio
We have finally made it out of April, May has arrived. Now that I am back in Chicago the vibes are high. I went up +10.1 units over the past week. That feels great! I hope the good energy carries over into the beautiful month of May.
Please, remember to gamble responsibly, there is not need to be insane like Shohei’s translator.
Team Prop: Athletics Team Total Over 3.5 Runs (-115) Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ BetOnline
Oakland Athletics’ JJ Bleday (33) celebrates after hitting a two-run home run that also scored Nick Allen (10) during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Pittsburgh Pirates in Oakland, Calif., Tuesday, April 30, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
The Stank:
I know your jaw is probably on the floor right now after reading “Athletics Team Total Over,” but today is a great day to trust the boys in Coliseum. Today, the A’s are taking on Pirates starter Quinn Priester, who has only had a couple of starts this year and came off a solid outing against the Giants last Friday. Going 6.0 innings pitches, only allowing three hits and no runs.
MLB TODAY:
Oakland Athletics (14-17) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (14-17) at the Oakland Coliseum in Oakland CAOAK is 13-10 after starting season 1-7; A’s starting pitcher Ross Stripling (0-5) is looking for his first win in his last 10 starts
12:30PM/CSNBA
— E Farrell The Sports Reporter (@efarrell5050) May 1, 2024
Today is a new day, and according to Batters-Box.com, Priester has to take on seven elite hitters. Oakland’s average rating today is 0.456 (Elite Rating). To give perspective on how good that is, the Pirates’ average hitter rating today against Ross Stripling is 0.346 (Above Average), which is why I also like the Athletics to win this game.
Although, Oakland is a below average team, they have been playing some good ball as of late. In their last three games they are averaging 5.67 runs per game (8th best in that span).
If the 3.5 total runs line seems daunting and you prefer a more conservative approach, consider pairing it with J.J. Bleday to record a hit. Bleday has shown success against Priester’s pitches, leading the team in batting average and having an elite rating for today’s game, making him a strong contender to record a hit.
Silly Goose Parlay: Braves Moneyline + Marcell Ozuna 1+ Hit (+120) Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ Bovada
The Stank:
Is this more your style? A much more efficient and dominant team? The Atlanta Braves have been rolling all season long, as they should. They are a fully loaded juggernaut.
I am in love with Marcell Ozuna today. He crushes all four of Merson Hancock’s pitches, all of which are below league average except for his fastball. Do not worry; Ozuna is batting an astounding .467 with an OPS of 1.248. Ozuna is also the number one hitter on Batters-box.com in this season’s ratings and the number two hitter in this game in the default ratings.
COLLAB!!! @C_Marchio2 and I put our heads together for this nice little hitlay dinker
If this hits Colby said hes gonna do the WAP dance pic.twitter.com/2AXYkC7ccr
— Phʌm (@PhamXO_) May 1, 2024
When Ozuna has an elite rating, he records a hit 69.23% of the time, a single 61.54%, and a home run 30.77%. Yes, of course, I sprinkled on the home run.
On top of that, Mr. Hancock is facing a Braves team that is trying to avoid the series sweep in Seattle. Hancock has to take on four elite hitters (Acuna Jr, Ozuna, Riley & Duvall). The Mariners’ starter has been very inconsistent to start the season he has shown he can be a dominate pitcher, but he still has bad games here and there. I think situationally, this a bad spot for him facing one of the leagues best after losing two straight to a team they are easily better than.
Let’s get silly!
Where to find more advanced analytics
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog, he loves them all.
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