2025 MLB Home Run Leader Odds and Projections: Will Judge Top the Charts Again?
Written by: Eddie Griffin
Last Updated: Tue Mar 25, 2025, 13:20 PM
Read Time: 4 minutes
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As a famous Nike commercial once said, “Chicks dig the long ball.” So do bettors who love to bet on MLB home run leader odds every year.
Bet on MLB Home Run Leader Odds at These Top Online Sportsbooks
Who Will Lead the League in Home Runs in 2025?
Last year, Aaron Judge led the majors with 58 homers in 158 games. It was the second time in three seasons that Judge topped the league in round-trippers, following his American League-record 62-homer campaign in 2022.
The Yankees slugger was one of two players to reach the 50-home run mark in 2024. Shohei Ohtani reached it for the first time in his career in his first season with the Los Angeles Dodgers, walloping 54 long balls to easily top the National League charts.
Unsurprisingly, Judge and Ohtani scooped up MLB MVP honors thanks to their explosive exploits, with Judge claiming his second AL MVP and Ohtani adding his first NL MVP win to go with his two AL MVP wins in 2021 and 2023.
Will Judge and Ohtani continue to send baseballs hurtling into orbit on a regular basis in 2025? Heading into Opening Day, they are far and away the top two favorites to be the MLB home run leader this season.
The top contenders are a who’s who of baseball’s best sluggers, including Judge, Ohtani, 2023 home run leader Matt Olson, and 2019 home run leader Pete Alonso. Over the last ten MLB seasons, the 50-home run club consists of that quartet and Giancarlo Stanton, who led the majors with 59 homers in 2017.
2025 MLB Home Run Leader Odds
Odds are courtesy of BetOnline.
- Aaron Judge, New York Yankees +275
- Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers +475
- Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies +1200
- Brent Rooker, Athletics +1400
- Fernando Tatis Jr., San Diego Padres +1600
- Pete Alonso, New York Mets +1800
- Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros +1800
- Matt Olson, Atlanta Braves +2500
- Juan Soto, New York Mets +2800
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays +3300
- Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels +3300
- Anthony Santander, Toronto Blue Jays +4000
- Kyle Tucker, Chicago Cubs +4000
- Gunnar Henderson, Baltimore Orioles +4000
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians +4000
- Christian Walker, Houston Astros +4000
- Austin Riley, Atlanta Braves +4000
- Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies +5000
- Teoscar Hernandez, Los Angeles Dodgers +5000
- Rafael Devers, Boston Red Sox +5000
- Mark Vientos, New York Mets +5000
- Marcell Ozuna, Atlanta Braves +5500
- Tyler O’Neill, Baltimore Orioles +6600
- Jake Burger, Texas Rangers +6600
- Bobby Witt Jr., Kansas City Royals +7500
The most interesting name in the upper echelon of the list is Brent Rooker of the Athletics. After bouncing around for his first few forays in the big leagues, Rooker found a home in Oakland in 2023, when he hit 30 home runs, then had a real breakout season in 2024, when he hit .293 with 39 homers and 112 RBI and was named an All-Star.
The A’s are playing this season and the next two at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, and it will be interesting to see how the move will impact Rooker’s numbers.
2025 Home Run Projections for MLB Betting Favorites
Reputable betting tools and resources are key whether you bet on MLB odds, NFL odds, or NBA odds. And when it comes to MLB futures bets, player projections are a helpful way to help determine how to bet on MLB home run leader odds, other odds for individual player performance and statistical leaders, and MLB award odds.
Here are some of the best sites for checking out and keeping up with MLB player projections:
- Baseball Reference Marcel Projections
- ESPN Fantasy Rankings and Player Projections
- FanGraphs
- FantasyPros
Along with being helpful for MLB home run leader odds and other player futures, these sites can be helpful for MLB prop bets, as well as generally improving your MLB knowledge. Use them to your advantage to become a better bettor.
Other MLB Betting Content
Baseball is America’s pastime, and at Betting News, we will have extensive MLB betting coverage this season.
From expert picks from our content team on the site and our social media channels, daily MLB computer picks from renowned industry sources, to guides on a variety of MLB betting markets, and beyond, we aim to be a top resource for baseball bettors of all levels.
Here’s some of the other written MLB betting content you can find on the site:
- 2025 MLB Strikeout Leader Odds & Projections
- Los Angeles Dodgers Futures Bets for 2025
- MLB Betting Guide
- MLB Run Line Betting Explained
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