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MLB 2023 Home Run Derby Prediction & Best Bet
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 3 minutes
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The 2023 Home Run Derby takes place tonight and it is always an absolute staple of the star-studded All-Star Game festivities!
The Home Run Derby is a classic, and this year we are in for another great event filled with some big name players!
The event is set to kick off at 8:00PM Eastern time tonight, Monday, July 10th, 2023. Viewers can watch all the action on ESPN.
We have an updated list of MLB Home Run Leaders available! Check it out!
Let’s get into our prediction and best bets for this exciting showdown!
Check out our expert’s thoughts on our MLB Picks Page!
2023 Home Run Derby Contestants
Here is the bracket for the entire event! We will see single elimination, head to head matchups, with winner advancing to the next round.
The first and second rounds will give batters three minutes to hit as many home runs as possible. In the championship, the players will only have two minutes.
This is one of the most entertaining events of All Star Weekend, but of course, there are betting odds and plenty of bets to be made.
Let’s take a look at the betting odds!
2023 Home Run Derby Odds
Here are the current Home Run Derby betting odds, courtesy of Bovada.
- Pete Alonso (NYM) +300
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) +350
- Luis Robert Jr. (CWS) +500
- Julio Rodriguez (SEA) +550
- Adolis Garcia (TEX) +650
- Mookie Betts (LAD) +950
- Randy Arozarena (TB) +950
- Adley Rutschman (BAL) +1600
2023 Home Run Derby Best Bets
I think some serious value lies with Mookie Betts.
For starters, if you line shop, which you should always do for every single bet you place, you can find Betts priced at 15-1.
Betts has 25 home runs on the year, and has 4 games with 2 home runs. Two of those four games have actually happened in the past week, with one being last night’s game.
Betts can get some serious power behind the ball if he makes good contact, and in a Home Run Derby setting, I think he can surprise some people.
Of course this is a fun event, and it’s nice to have a little something to root for while watching.
As always, bet responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose. Especially on the home run derby.
But we’re all here to have a little fun.
Bonus Pick: Randy Arozarena (+950)
This is another guy I think could be sneaky in this tournament and could surprise some people.
I’ll glad root for Randy and Mookie at those prices.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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