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Current MLB 2024 Word Series Odds: Pennant Winner Best Bet | October 4, 2024
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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Happy Friday!
The quest for the World Series is wide open this year, making it a perfect time to explore a future bet for those looking to indulge. Some might see bias here, but the juice really does seem worth the squeeze. The MLB postseason has never felt more unpredictable, with no clear team of destiny. However, one team stands out with a seemingly easy path to the Fall Classic.
Let’s dive in!
AL Pennant Odds
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
Can Skubal and the Tigers make a deep run in the playoffs?
- New York Yankees (+110)
- Cleveland Guardians (+350)
- Detroit Tigers (+375)
- Kansas City Royals (+400)
NL Pennant Odds
- Los Angeles Dogers (+185)
- Philadelphia Phillies (+225)
- San Diego Padres (+275)
- New York Mets (+450)
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio. Picks are always free.
Yesterday’s write up went 1-1
2024 MLB Season: +13.92 Units
New York Yankees To Win AL Pennant (+110)
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Juan Soto fired up after hitting a ball into orbit
The Path
For the value alone, betting on the New York Yankees to make the World Series is worth the squeeze. This is a team that has won 94 games this season and earned a first-round bye. Their ace, Gerrit Cole, is ready to dominate in the postseason, while Juan Soto and Aaron Judge form the deadliest duo in the American League. If they’re on their game, they will be one of the toughest teams to beat in October.
Every team they have to face or could potentially face New York has a winning record against them this season. They kick off the ALDS against Kansas City, a team they’ve beaten in five of their seven matchups this year.
If they advance, they could face a red-hot Tigers team that some are already labeling as the team of destiny. While it’s exciting to see, the Yankees have faced the Tigers six times this season and won four of those matchups. There are many strong starting rotations in the American League, but none have an offense that can stack up against New York.
Cleveland is a potential threat as well, though the Yankees have beaten them in four of six matchups. The Guardians rely heavily on playing at home in Progressive Field, where recent renovations help left-handed hitters send balls soaring out of the park. This season, the Guardians average 4.68 runs at home compared to just 4.12 on the road. Home field advantage is significant for Cleveland.
I’m so ready for Saturday #RepBX pic.twitter.com/F612cXu0dW
— Colby Marchio (@C_Marchio2) October 4, 2024
Some might argue, “Well, the Yankees rely on the short porch at Yankee Stadium.” That’s not entirely accurate—the Yankees have actually produced more runs on the road this season, averaging 5.26 runs compared to 4.80 at home.
Yankees’ Crucial Moment
It’s concerning to see three of the four underdogs advance from the Wild Card round. The baseball postseason is all about getting hot at the right time. Will the rest be beneficial or detrimental for the Yankees? We will find out in the ALDS against the Royals after six days off. Will they come out ready to go all the way, or will we see the sluggish Yankees offense we’ve witnessed numerous times this season?
It would be a disgrace and a waste of a season to fall short of a World Series appearance after the efforts made in the offseason to acquire Juan Soto, not to mention what Aaron Judge accomplished this past season. The clock is ticking—it’s now or never for this squad. They need to take down the Royals and then face whoever wins between the Tigers and Guardians.
Give me the New York Yankees to represent the American League in the World Series at plus money!
Where to find more Advanced Analytics
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a play is worth my time or not.
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog, he loves them all.
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