White Sox vs Dodgers Prediction and Best Bets (6/13)

The last couple of weeks haven’t been particularly pleasant for the Los Angeles Dodgers, who suddenly find themselves four games out of first in the NL West. Tonight, they will be hoping home is where the wins are as they begin a three-game interleague series with the Chicago White Sox.

The Dodgers (37-29, 20-10 home) have lost ten of their last 16 games, including six of their last eight. Last week, they went on the road and lost two series against the Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies.

With the red-hot Arizona Diamondbacks now sitting atop the division, the Dodgers have some catching up to do, and they will aim to do so at home, as they host the White Sox (29-38, 12-21 away) before welcoming the rival San Francisco Giants to town for a weekend series.

Will Chicago be able to extend L.A.’s recent skid? Read on for our prediction and best bets for tonight’s White Sox vs Dodgers game.

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Before we offer up our picks for this matchup, let’s take a look at the odds, as well as the starting pitchers.

Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Moneyline

• Chicago White Sox +165
• Los Angeles Dodgers -200

Over/Under

• Over 9 (+105)
• Under 9 (-125)

Run Line

• Chicago White Sox +1.5 (-120)
• Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+100)

Pitching Matchup for White Sox vs Dodgers

• Chicago White Sox: RHP Lance Lynn (13 starts, 4-6, 6.72 ERA)
• Los Angeles Dodgers: RHP Tony Gonsolin (8 starts, 3-1, 2.21 ERA)

Right Opponent at the Right Time for the Dodgers?

In many of their recent losses, offense hasn’t been an issue for the Dodgers. In fact, Sunday’s 7-3 loss to the Phillies was the only time last week that the Dodgers failed to score at least four runs.

Their recent losses in games in which they have put a decent dent in the scoreboard have sullied an otherwise solid record. The Dodgers are 31-10 this season when scoring five or more runs, including 15-2 at home.

And it should still be considered a positive that they are facing a pitcher who has not been at his best overall this season or in his last couple of starts.

Lynn has benefitted from good run support since the start of May. The White Sox lost his first six starts, but they are 5-2 in his last seven starts. In those last seven starts, they have scored five or more runs in all but one game, compared to scoring five or more runs just once in his first six starts.

But in his last two starts, Lynn has allowed 13 runs (all earned), 16 hits (including four homers), and five walks in just nine innings.

This season, Lynn has allowed four or more runs in eight of his 13 starts, including five times in seven road starts. And while Chicago’s bats have had his back for the most part recently, the White Sox are still just 2-6 in games in which he has allowed four or more runs.

Gonsolin didn’t have his best stuff last time out against the Reds, allowing four runs (three earned), five hits, and three walks in a no-decision in Cincinnati last Tuesday, but the Dodgers are 3-0 in his home starts this season and 13-2 in his home starts dating back to the start of last season.

Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction and Best Bets

Prediction for White Sox vs Dodgers: Dodgers to win

Best Bets for White Sox vs Dodgers: Dodgers -1.5 & Dodgers team total over 5 runs

The Dodgers are 20-8 as a home favorite this season, while the White Sox are 8-17 as a road underdog. Also, despite their recent struggles, the Dodgers go into today’s game third in the league in win percentage in games following a loss (19-9, .679).

If you’ve been here before, you know how much I prefer to bet the run line when picking the Dodgers, given how rarely the ML has any value. And I’m going that direction again here, with the Dodgers sitting at 17-11 (.607) in covering the RL as a home favorite this season. Among teams who have played 20 or more games as a home favorite this season, only the Texas Rangers (14-9, .609) have covered the RL at a higher clip.