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Astros vs Red Sox, Odds & Picks: Dingers at Fenway
![Nate Hornung](/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwp.bettingnews.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2023%2F02%2Fnate-hornung.webp&w=128&q=75)
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
![Astros vs Red Sox, Odds & Picks: Dingers at Fenway cover](/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwp.bettingnews.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2023%2F08%2Fbrayan-bello-boston-red-sox_93ba34f376569c8b7ac539dc380f6526_2000.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
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The Astros are at Fenway Park taking on the Red Sox in game two of this three game season finale.
So far this season, these AL rivals have faced off 5 times, with the Astros leading the season series 3-2 after winning 13-5 last night.
With two games remaining and both of these squads in a tight race for the American League Wild Card, this is a very important game for both teams.
Let’s break it down!
Astros vs Red Sox Game Information
Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)
- Date: Tuesday, August, 29th, 2023
- First Pitch: 7:10pm Eastern
- Broadcast: NESN
Pitching Matchup
- Houston Astros: J.P. France (9-5, 3.51 ERA)
- Boston Red Sox: Brayan Bello (10-7, 3.56 ERA)
Betting Odds
Odds courtesy of Bovada.
Runline
- Astros +1.5 (-185)
- Red Sox -1.5 (+160)
Moneyline
- Astros +103
- Red Sox -123
Total
- Over 10.5 (-115)
- Under 10.5 (-105)
![Astros Red Sox Odds Picks](https://images.storychief.com/account_25739/alex-bregman-kyle-tucker-astros_eec1195c0ef8fc3d0b6f6d7a0b63b925_800.jpg)
Astros vs Red Sox Best Bets
I think we see plenty of runs between these two teams tonight, but taking over 10.5 is not ideal for me.
If it were 9 or 9.5, I’d give it some more thought, but I could see this ending 6-4 easily.
Regardless, I do have some player props that go along with this gamescript.
Bello allowed just 1 run on 9 hits last week against the Astros as he pitched, seven innings and struck out 4.
France pitched against Boston in that same game, and he wants to forget it. In just 2.1 innings, France allowed 10 ER on 11 hits and 3 walks.
I think we see something similar tonight.
Player Props
Alex Verdugo over 1.5 Bases (+105)
![Astros Red Sox Odds Picks](https://images.storychief.com/account_25739/verdugo_b6ed59ae3839a49711805998af6591a4_800.jpeg)
Verdugo only clears this line in 41% of games, but does so in 49% of home games. Plus he rakes against France.
In 3 at bats, Verdugo is 2/3 with a single and a home run. He bats .295 against RHP, and 11/12 home runs have come against them.
Verdugo has cleared in 5 of his L8 games, totaling 24 bases in that stretch with 3 HR and 2 doubles.
He’s cleared in 3/5 against Houston with 14 total bases, including a home run and 2 doubles.
Kyle Tucker over 1.5 Bases (-105)
![Astros Red Sox Odds Picks](https://images.storychief.com/account_25739/tucker_2e68624084d09c3acf36b37e1af7f47a_800.jpeg)
Tucker hits this line in 50% of road games this year, and he smashes RHP.
Batting .280 against RHP, Tucker has 19/30 doubles, and 15/26 HR against such pitchers.
In 3 at bats against Bello, Tucker is 1/3 with a single and a walk. Nothing special, but he has had success before.
Tucker has cleared 2+ bases in 53% of his L30 games, and 63% of his L30 on the road.
He’s hit in 3 straight games, totaling 9 bases with a double and a HR.
Tucker has cleared this number in 7/L10 road games, and 4/L5 road games.
In his L10 away from home, Tucker has 29 total bases, 5 Home Runs, and a double.
The dude is red hot, and I’ll bet on him to continue that trend tonight.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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