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Nevada vs Utah State: Odds, Predictions & Key Insights | January 22, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Updated:
Read Time: 4 minutes
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The Utah State Aggies return to action tonight after a week off, eager to shake off their loss to UNLV. Meanwhile, the Nevada Wolfpack enter on a three-game win streak but have failed to cover the spread in all three contests. With Utah State rested and ready to dictate the tempo, this matchup presents a prime opportunity to back the Aggies at home. Let us dive into why Utah State is poised to bounce back.
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Nevada vs Utah State Odds
Odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus (100% if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on College Basketball games.
Spread
Nevada: -7 (-116)
Utah State: -7 (-104)
Total
Over: 141.5 (-110)
Under: 141.5 (-110)
Moneyline
Nevada: +235
Utah State: -280
Nevada vs Utah State Best Bet
After a week off and ample time to reflect on their loss to UNLV, the Utah State Aggies look to bounce back tonight against the Nevada Wolfpack. Nevada enters on a three-game winning streak, with victories over Fresno State, Air Force, and San Jose State. Interestingly, the Wolfpack went 0-3 against the spread during that streak, which could raise some concerns.
I have had the Aggies circled for days, eager for their return to form after some much-needed rest. Prior to their loss to UNLV, Utah State was on a six-game winning streak, with notable victories over Saint Mary’s, San Diego State, and Boise State. Despite the “revenge” narrative, with Utah State already securing a road win over Nevada on December 31st, I still believe this is a great spot to back the Aggies.
Utah State boast an impressive offense, ranked 109th at home by Bart Torvik, and sit in the top 50 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, offensive rebounding, and two-point percentage. While they struggle defensively both inside and beyond the arc, ranking in the high-200s and low-300s in those areas, they excel at forcing turnovers, ranking 30th at home in that category.
Nevada’s Road Struggles
Do not let Utah State’s defensive struggles worry you. Nevada has been abysmal in their four true road games this season, ranking 305th in three-point percentage, 286th in two-point percentage, and 42nd worst in effective field goal percentage offense. Defensively, they rank 306th in three-point defense and are one of the worst teams at keeping opponents off the line, sitting 349th in free throw rate defense. This plays right into the Aggies’ hands, as they rank 92nd in free throw rate offense and convert 72.7% of their attempts in their home gym.
Nevada prefers a slow pace, ranking 347th in tempo, but Utah State will likely dictate the pace and force the Wolfpack out of their comfort zone. On top of that, Nevada has a looming matchup with San Diego State, which could have them looking ahead. While Utah State also has a road game at Air Force on Saturday, they are unlikely to be distracted. This sets up as the perfect spot to back an Aggies team fresh off a week of rest and ready to return to the win column.
Best Bet: Utah State (-7) on BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd who spends his free time on Bart Torvik, Ken Pom and Batters-Box.com. He has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog, he loves them all.
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