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Woodbine: Ontario Derby Picks- Saturday, October 21
Written by: Chris Adams
Last Updated:
Read Time: 8 minutes
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Woodbine will host one of its marquee events of the year. The Ontario Derby is carded as race 9 on Canada’s most prestigious thoroughbred race track.
Full Card Analysis
Woodbine Race Track – Race 1
Post: 1:15 PM ET; $49.6k Maiden Optional Claiming, 1 m 70 y on all-weather; Entries: 7
- #4 HAYEK (6-5) receives the top selection. She has the pedigree to emerge as a major player in this race and is a strong choice to hit the board.
- #2 DESTINY RO (6-1) might be best suited for underneath positions on most tickets. She poses a potential threat, as she could exploit a front-running advantage.
- #1 PENNYJET (3-1) is expected to improve from her first start and compete for minor placings, given her previous success in similar conditions.
- #5 STORMY DILEMMA (15-1) is a price horse and is likely to contend for minor placings. With solid early pace figures, she is well-equipped to handle the distance.
Selections: 4 – 2 – 1 – 5
Woodbine Race Track – Race 2
Post: 1:49 PM ET; $111.6k Maiden Special Weight, 7 f on all-weather; Entries: 7
- #1 MRS. C (6-1) is the top pick, as she appears to fit well in this race and shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
- #5 MARDENE (8-1) is a major player in this race. She’s expected to lead or be near the front and will aim to hold off challengers.
- #4 MONEY BEETS (10-1) is a price horse but should be competitive. She makes sense on speed figures and comes into the race with solid recent performances.
- #7 TAG TEAM (2-1) makes her debut here and seems like a fringe contender. She deserves respect, especially with Carroll and Kimura as her combination.
Selections: 1 – 5 – 4 – 7
Woodbine Race Track – Race 3
Post: 2:23 PM ET; $65.9k Maiden Optional Claiming, 6 1/2 f on turf; Entries: 8
- #4 MOMUNNYFOR RO (7-2) looks like the top choice. She possesses a strong closing kick and could be a major threat late in the race.
- #1 NOVEL (6-5) is another major player in this race with performances that could outshine the field. She might be a front-running contender as well.
- #6 MO’S VINO MESA (4-1) makes her debut and holds a potential shot in this race. The combination of Thomas and Kimura adds to her appeal.
- #2 MRS. HOT SHOT (12-1) is a price horse but could be a fringe contender. She has shown performances that can rival this group.
Selections: 4 – 1 – 6 – 2
Woodbine Race Track – Race 4
Post: 2:57 PM ET; $61.8k Optional Claiming, 6 f on all-weather; Entries: 8
- #8 ANAM CARA (8-1) claims the top selection, expected to handle the distance and coming into the race with solid recent performances. She’s prepared for a strong run.
- #1 HOT CARGO (6-1) is a major player in this race and represents the Attard barn with Aebly as the jockey.
- #3 GAMBLE’S ORB (5-2) is another major player. She has demonstrated the ability to handle these conditions in previous races and boasts the highest overall power rating in the field.
- #7 SOUPER SINCLAIR (8-1) also appears to be a major player. She makes sense on speed figures and is a good bet to hit the board.
Selections: 8 – 1 – 3 – 7
Woodbine Race Track – Race 5
Post: 3:31 PM ET; $111.6k Maiden Special Weight, 5 1/2 f on all-weather; Entries: 9
- #9 LOGISTICS (4-1), representing the Casse barn with Husbands as the jockey, is the top choice. She’s expected to improve from her first start and has demonstrated performances that could surpass this group.
- #6 CATCH THE DRIFT (5-2) makes her debut and is likely running for minor placings. The combination of Casse and Civaci adds to her appeal.
- #4 FLASHINTHESKY (3-1) also makes her debut and seems to be running for minor placings. She’s trained by Attard and ridden by Kimura.
- #7 MITOLE POWER (12-1) is a price horse and is worth looking at the bottom of exotic wagers.
Selections: 9 – 6 – 4 – 7
Woodbine Race Track – Race 6
Post: 4:04 PM ET; $61.8k Optional Claiming, 1 1/16 m on turf; Entries: 10
- #9 SILENT SKY (2-1) is the top choice. She has showcased performances that should be able to outshine this group. She’s expected to be in the first flight of runners and in contention late.
- #1 SHE MAKES A POINT (3-1) should be competitive in this spot and makes sense on speed figures.
- #2 INSCRUTABLE (6-1) is a valuable contender, making sense on speed figures.
- #8 VIVID VIXEN (12-1) is a price horse and should be competitive in this spot. She’s expected to have a strong finish and could contend with a competitive run.
Selections: 9 – 1 – 2 – 8
Woodbine Race Track – Race 7
Post: 4:37 PM ET; $49.6k Maiden Optional Claiming, 6 f on turf; Entries: 11
- #6 CHERRY GARDENS (3-1) claims the top selection. She’s demonstrated performances that could surpass this group and is trained by the Brooks barn with Husbands as the jockey.
- #4 WAR VOW (4-1) should be competitive in this spot and possesses performances that can rival this field. She has solid early pace figures in a race that lacks significant front-running speed.
- #10 MOONBRIGHT (8-1) is another contender. She makes sense on speed figures and has the pedigree to be a major player.
- #7 GUNNAWIN (20-1) is a price horse but could compete based on speed figures.
Selections: 6 – 4 – 10 – 7
Woodbine Race Track – Race 8
Post: 5:09 PM ET; $114k Allowance Optional Claiming, 6 f on all-weather; Entries: 10
- #3 A GAME (4-1) receives the top pick. She possesses tactical speed and can strategically position herself just off the leaders for a stalking and pouncing trip. She could also potentially take the front early.
- #8 AMBASSADOR LUNA (5-2) should be competitive in this spot. She’ll be rolling late and has a strong closing kick.
- #1 VERDEJO (20-1) is a price horse who should also be competitive. She makes sense on speed figures and has solid early pace figures in a race lacking strong front-running speed.
- #2 PIONEER’S EDGE (10-1) is another price horse to consider. She should be competitive based on her speed figures and will likely have a strong finish.
Selections: 3 – 8 – 1 – 2
Woodbine Race Track – Race 9
Post: 5:41 PM ET; $150k Ontario Derby, 1 1/8 m on all-weather; Entries: 10
- #7 TOUCH’N RIDE (5-2) is the top choice, expected to handle the distance. She has consistently strong pace figures that could work well in a moderately paced race.
- #8 FOREVER DIXIE (3-1) is also a major player. She appears to be the class of the field and is coming off a string of recent solid performances.
- #5 STANLEY HOUSE (8-1) should be competitive in this spot and has been in great form. She possesses consistent pace figures that should work well in a moderately paced race.
- #10 SOLO ALBUM (4-1) is another contender. She represents the Casse barn with Civaci as the jockey.
Selections: 7 – 8 – 5 – 10
Woodbine Race Track – Race 10
Post: 6:11 PM ET; $111k Allowance Optional Claiming, 6 1/2 f on all-weather; Entries: 8
- #5 HAPPY VALENTINE (3-1) receives the top selection. She’s in training with the Carroll barn and ridden by Civaci. She’s a strong choice to hit the board.
- #6 SCOTTISH SYMPHONY (5-2) is a major player in this race and boasts the highest overall power rating in the group. She’s been in excellent form recently and is ready for a big performance.
- #1 TAVALINE (6-1) is another major contender in this race and merits serious consideration at decent value, particularly with the combination of Gattellaro and Vives.
- #2 PRINCESSOFTHENORTH (7-2) figures to be competitive in this race and will likely be in the first flight of runners. She represents the Casse barn with Husbands as the jockey.
Selections: 5 – 6 – 1 – 2
Woodbine Race Track – Race 11
Post: 6:41 PM ET; $36.5k Starter Optional Claiming, 5 f on turf; Entries: 11
- #9 TRICKY MAGICIAN (6-1) is the top pick. She seems to fit well in this race and should be positioned in the second tier of runners, ready to make a well-timed run at the leaders.
- #8 MASTER SPY (2-1) should be competitive and has the performances to challenge this group. She appears to be the class of the field.
- #11 GRAND ALLIANCE (12-1) is a price horse and worth consideration for underneath positions on most tickets. She might benefit from a hot pace up front.
- #6 CRAFTY CONQUEST (8-1) is another contender. She is likely to be in the first flight of runners and has shown the ability to handle these conditions.
Selections: 9 – 8 – 11 – 6
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In addition, Betting News will continue to provide in depth analysis of the upcoming Breeders’ Cup and select cards throughout the week.
Breeders’ Cup Previews:
Friday
- Belmont at the Big A featuring the Grade 3 Knickerbocker
Saturday
- Keeneland featuring the Grade 2 Raven Run
- Woodbine featuring the Grade 3 Ontario Derby
Sunday
- Keeneland featuring the Grade 3 Dowager Stakes
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Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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