Saratoga Thursday: Birdstone Staktes, Fearless Returns

The last three races for Fearless have been at distances of 9 furlongs or longer. They have produced 2 firsts & a second. Thursday he tries 14 furlongs at Saratoga.

Birdstone Stakes Full Card Analysis

Saratoga Race Course- Race 1

Post: 1:05 PM ET; $105k Maiden Special Weight going 1 1/8 miles on dirt; Entries: 6

• #4 INVENTING (9-5) will be coming late with one run and gets the top selection. She may be able to take advantage of the pace scenario in this spot.
• #5 AUNT NAUGHTY (5-2) has tactical speed and should be competitive in this spot. This one could be the class of the field based on the previous foes she faced.
• #3 SHE'S KEEN (4-1) should be involved in the early pace and isn't without hope. She has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
• #2 FOREVER AFTER ALL (7-2) will be coming late with one run and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Maybe the first two starts helped build a foundation for a top performance here.

Selections: 4 – 5 – 3 – 2

Saratoga Race Course- Race 2

Post: 1:39 PM ET; $88k Maiden Special Weight going 5 1/2 furlongs on turf; Entries: 15

• #6 SNOWY EVENING (3-1) should improve off the first start and gets the top selection. Her debut was good enough to win in this spot. This one has the pedigree to be a major player in this spot.
• #3 SOUFFLE (5-2) debuts here and should be competitive in this spot. She has to be respected going out for the combination of Clement and Rosario.
• #10 FANCYPANTS JULIANA (10-1) is a price horse and isn't without hope. She goes out for the Englehart barn and gets Saez in the irons.
• #8 MOONAGE DAYDREAM (6-1) debuts here and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Watch the board on this runner to see if she live on the tote.

Selections: 6 – 3 – 10- 8

Saratoga Race Course- Race 3

Post: 2:15 PM ET; $36k Claiming going 6 1/2 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 8

• #3 BOLDISH (9-5) is a closer and gets the top selection. He has to be respected going out for the combination of Rice and Ortiz. This one shouldn't have trouble with the 6 1/2 furlong distance.
• #6 SARATOGA PAL (9-2) is a late running type and should be competitive in this spot. Despite his off the pace run style his pace figures say this one could take several tactics in this spot.
• #8 SICILIA MIKE (6-1) could be in with a shot in this race. He has races good enough to beat this group. This one has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts and should be rolling down the lane late.
• #1 LOST IN ROME (12-1) is a price horse and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets, but if he can put a little more speed into his game early, there is a chance to get comfortable on the front end.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 8 – 1

Saratoga Race Course- Race 4

Post: 2:49 PM ET; $88k Maiden Special Weight going 7 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 8

• #8 DEVIL BOY (4-1) gets the top selection in his 5th start. He could get the right setup in the race. This one shouldn't have trouble with the 7 furlong distance.
• #2 SINFUL DANCER (5-1) has tactical speed and should be competitive in this spot. He is well bred for this spot. He will look to sit off the leaders and pounce in the lane.
• #6 OCEAN'S RESERVE (2-1) will be coming late with one run and feels like a fringe contender in this spot. He seems to fit well enough here. This one has foundation to get the job done. Price may be a bit short in this spot.
• #5 CURLIN'S WISDOM (6-1) has tactical speed and isn't without hope. He seems to fit well enough here. This one has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big effort.

Selections: 8 – 2 – 6 – 5

Saratoga Race Course- Race 5

Post: 3:21 PM ET; $200k Birdstone S. going 1 3/4 miles on dirt; Entries: 5

• #1 FEARLESS (4-5) has tactical speed and gets the top selection. He will look to control things on the front end, but could rate off a leader who tries to take it to him early. This one has plenty of races good enough to beat this group.
• #2 LONE ROCK (6-5) should be involved in the early pace and should be competitive in this spot. This one has to be respected going out for the combination of Diodoro and Ortiz.
• #5 SHOOGER RAY TOO (12-1) is a price horse and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. He has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
• #4 PORTOS (8-1) will look to stalk and seems to be running for the minor placings in this contest. He has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here. This one makes sense on speed figures.

Selections: 1 – 2 – 5 – 4

Saratoga Race Course- Race 6

Post: 3:55 PM ET; $52k Maiden Claiming going 1 mile on turf; Entries: 16

• #10 INVESTMENT INCOME (3-1) should be involved in the early pace and gets the top selection. Her late pace figures could make it tough to catch her if she hits the lane in front. This one has races good enough to win here.
• #13 BRISKY FROLIC (3-1) has tactical speed and appears to be a major player in this race. She has races that fit here on turf figures. If she can work out a trip from the wide post she is dangerous.
• #3 BIRTHDAY TIME (5-2) will be in the top flight and should be competitive in this spot. She has a good late turn of foot and looks dangerous to come flying home in the stretch. This one is well bred for this spot.
• #1 COLD CALL (10-1) is a price horse and feels like a fringe contender in this spot. She has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.

Selections: 10- 13- 3 – 1

Saratoga Race Course- Race 7

Post: 4:29 PM ET; $115k Allowance going 5 1/2 furlongs on turf; Entries: 11

• #3 RING OF FIRE (7-2) will be coming late with one run and gets the top selection. He has speed figures in the past performances that are absolutely good enough to win.
• #4 BUSTIN SHOUT (6-1) has tactical speed and appears to be a major player in this race. He has a good late turn of foot and looks dangerous to roll by them all late at a nice price.
• #1 EVAN SING (8-1) will be coming late with one run and could be in with a shot in this race. He makes sense on speed figures.
• #8 BOSTON TEA PARTY (5-2) should be involved in the early pace and feels like a fringe contender in this spot. He makes sense on speed figures. This one will try to get away from them and go wire to wire.

Selections: 3 – 4 – 1 – 8

Saratoga Race Course- Race 8

Post: 5:05 PM ET; $95k Allowance going 1 1/8 miles on dirt; Entries: 10

• #4 PRICE DISCIPLINE (4-5) will be finishing with plenty left in the tank and gets the top selection. He shouldn't have trouble with the 1 1/8 mile distance. This one may be a bit closer than usual in this spot.
• #3 THRILL OF IT (20-1) is a price horse and feels like a fringe contender in this spot. He makes sense on speed figures. He should be able to outrun the odds here.
• #1 DANGEROUS EDGE (4-1) has tactical speed and feels like a fringe contender in this spot. He seems to fit well enough here. This one has races good enough to beat this group.
• #1A FULL MOON FEVER (4-1) will be coming late with one run and feels like a bit of a stretch but you do get 2 for the price of one on the entry. He seems to fit well enough here. This one makes sense on speed figures.

Selections: 4 – 3 – 1 – 1A

Saratoga Race Course- Race 9

Post: 5:39 PM ET; $120k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 3/8 miles on turf; Entries: 12

• #9 AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM (8-1) is a closer and gets the top selection. He has a good late turn of foot and looks dangerous to come flying home in the stretch. On paper there is pace in the race.
• #6 OFFLEE NAUGHTY (12-1) is a price horse and should be competitive in this spot. He has races that put him in the mix against this group.
• #5 BALTHUS (2-1) could be in with a shot in this race. He should be rolling late and could have a shot here. This one makes sense on speed figures. The price is just a tad short compared to some of the other late runners.
• #2 COLD HARD CASH (6-1) has tactical speed and feels like a fringe contender in this spot. He has to be respected going out for the combination of Rice and Velazquez.

Selections: 9 – 6 – 5 – 2

Saratoga Race Course- Race 10

Post: 6:13 PM ET; $50k Claiming going 5 1/2 furlongs on turf; Entries: 16

• #13 UNCLE GEORGE (5-2) will be coming late with one run and gets the top selection. He has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here. This one may be able to take advantage of the pace scenario in this spot. The concern will be the outside post draw.
• #11 SANDRONE (7-2) has tactical speed and could be in with a shot in this race. He makes sense on speed figures. This one has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts. If this one can clear off the stalkers he could be very dangerous here.
• #8 COOL LAOBAN (5-1) will do his best running in the lane and could be in with a shot in this race. He shouldn't have trouble with the 5 1/2 furlong distance. This one makes sense on speed figures.
• #2 COUSIN ANDREW (4-1) will have to avoid traffic from the two hole but isn't without hope. He seems to fit well enough here. This one may be able to take advantage of the pace scenario in this spot if he can work out the trip from the inside.

Selections: 13- 11- 8 – 2

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