Keeneland Picks- Jenny Wiley & Final Kentucky Derby Prep (4/12/2025)

Written by: Chris Adams
Last Updated: Fri Apr 11, 2025, 07:21 AM
Read Time: 7 minutes

horses
The racing action from Keeneland on Saturday features the Jenny Wiley Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all of your picks for the entire card!
Full Card Analysis

Keeneland Picks- Jenny Wiley & Final Kentucky Derby Prep (4/12/2025)
Bet all of today’s selections with signup bonuses and promotions at BetOnline.
Keeneland Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 1:00 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $53k; About 7 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
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#1 WARP NINE (2-1): Major Win Player. Doesn’t appear to have any red flags that would lead to a subpar effort.
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#3 DIVER (8-1): Win Contender. Has been a good bet to hit the board in recent starts.
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#6 BATTER UP (8-1): Win Contender. Seems to fit well with this group.
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#9 HEATONTAP (7-2): Win Contender. Doesn’t appear to have many negative handicapping factors.
Selections: 1 – 3 – 6 – 9
Keeneland Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:32 PM ET; Claiming $73k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.
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#2 CAPE TRAFALGAR (5-2): Major Win Player. Should be a able to work out a tactical trip in this spot.
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#8 SHAPE NOTE (20-1): Win Contender. Has been a good bet to hit the board in recent starts.
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#7 TENEBRIS (12-1): Fringe Contender. Always seems to be in the mix to at least hit the board.
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#3 PURE PANIC (7-2): Vertical Exotic Type. Doesn’t appear to have many negative handicapping factors.
Selections: 2 – 8 – 7 – 3
Keeneland Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 2:04 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.
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#9 THERAVADA (9-2): Strong Win Candidate. Has run figures that make this one a threat in this spot.
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#13 OAK ALLEY (4-1): Fringe Contender. Rates out in class well with these runners.
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#15 STRIVE FOR HONOR (6-1): Fringe Contender. Should be in the mix based on the combination of early and late pace numbers.
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#10 GOOD GAME (8-1): Fringe Contender. Goes out for the Brisset barn.
Selections: 9 – 13 – 15 – 10
Keeneland Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:36 PM ET; Claiming $78k; About 7 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.
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#8 TUNISIAN SPRING (5-2): Strong Win Candidate. Looks to have the stamina to get the job done here.
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#11 INDY MAGIC (4-1): Fringe Contender. Today marks the third start off the layoff which can often be a key angle.
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#3 GOLDBRICK (6-1): Fringe Contender. Should be in the first tier of runners turning for home.
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#6 FROSTY INDULGENCE (15-1): Vertical Exotic Type. Shouldn’t find these waters too deep.
Selections: 8 – 11 – 3 – 6
Keeneland Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 3:08 PM ET; Allowance $120k; 1 M Turf; Field of 15 runners.
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#9 ASSERTIVENESS (9-2): Major Win Player. Should be a able to work out a tactical trip in this spot.
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#1 FORTY N FIVE (12-1): Win Contender. Should sit just off the leaders in this spot.
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#7 MESERO (6-1): Win Contender. Romans seems to always have horses ready to run.
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#10 STATES’ RIGHTS (7-2): Win Contender. Should be fresh off the layoff.
Selections: 9 – 1 – 7 – 10
Keeneland Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:40 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $130k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
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#4 DISCREET MISCHIEF (3-1): Major Win Player. Should get a good ride from Franco.
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#5 HARRODSBURG (6-1): Win Contender. Will try to pick up the win in the return to the races.
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#6 WICO (4-1): Win Contender. Can run with these based on previous figures.
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#3 SPEAK EASY (8-5): Fringe Contender. Doesn’t appear to have many negative handicapping factors.
Selections: 4 – 5 – 6 – 3
Keeneland Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 4:12 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.
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#1 VALIANT HUMOR (7-2): Major Win Player. Should be able to work out a good trip.
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#12 MODUS BESTIA (4-1): Win Contender. Has the class to run well against this field.
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#6 BOURBON FLIGHT (20-1): Best Used Underneath. Seems to fit well with this group.
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#7 BIG TRUZZ (6-1): Vertical Exotic Type. Debut runner who looks to find the winner’s circle right away.
Selections: 1 – 12 – 6 – 7
Keeneland Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:44 PM ET; Allowance $120k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

Best Bet of the Card
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#14 ANNELLE (12-1): Best Bet of the Card. Looks to get an ideal race flow in this spot. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
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#13 TABLE FLIRT (8-1): Fringe Contender. Has run the fastest race in the group.
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#3 ATOMIC CITY (10-1): Fringe Contender. Should be in the first tier of runners turning for home.
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#9 MISS LONELLE (20-1): Fringe Contender. Looks to get a favorable trip in today’s contest.
Selections: 14 – 13 – 3 – 9
Keeneland Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 5:16 PM ET; Stonestreet Lexington Stakes $400k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
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#6 GOSGER (7-2): Major Win Player. Should be a able to work out a tactical trip in this spot.
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#8 HYPNUS (6-1): Win Contender. Will be ridden by Saez.
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#3 BULLARD (9-2): Fringe Contender. May be the class of the field.
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#4 ROLANDO (6-1): Fringe Contender. Has stamina numbers that fit with these runners.
Selections: 6 – 8 – 3 – 4
Keeneland Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:48 PM ET; Jenny Wiley Stakes $650k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.
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#8 SACRED WISH (8-1): Strong Win Candidate. Looks to get an ideal race flow in this spot.
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#9 NO SHOW SAMMY JO (15-1): Fringe Contender. Likely will have to make a move from midpack.
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#5 BE YOUR BEST (6-1): Fringe Contender. Looks to be ready to run to expectations here.
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#3 POOLSIDE WITH SLIM (20-1): Vertical Exotic Type. Late runner who will look to stay connected to the field to have a chance.
Selections: 8 – 9 – 5 – 3
Keeneland Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 6:20 PM ET; Starter Allowance $63k; About 7 F Dirt; Field of 14 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day
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#2 AUTUMN RHYTHM (8-1): Live Longshot Play of the Day! This one has the top speed figures of anyone in the group. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
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#11 MELLE MEL (20-1): Fringe Contender. Today marks the third start off the layoff which can often be a key angle.
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#8 SHERBINI (3-2): Best Used Underneath. May be the class of the field.
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#13 BLACK GINGER (6-1): Vertical Exotic Type. If good enough this one should be in the right spot.
Selections: 2 – 11 – 8 – 13
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Friday Analysis
- Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 1 Maker’s Mark Mile
Saturday Analysis
- Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 1 Jenny Wiley and the final Kentucky Derby prep race, the Lexington
- Laurel Park Picks featuring 4 stakes races including the Native Dancer
- Oaklawn Park Picks featuring the Grade 1 Apple Blossom Handicap
Sunday Analysis
- Keeneland Picks featuring the Grade 1 Giant’s Causeway Stakes
Betting Horses 101
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Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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