Keeneland Picks: Grade 1 Spinster Stakes (10/4/2026)
Written by: Chris Adams
Published: Sun Oct 04, 2026, 7:00 am ET
Read Time: 7 minutes
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Keeneland picks are here for a 10-race card topped by the Grade 1 Spinster Stakes. Below you will find full Keeneland picks and analysis for every race on the October 4, 2026 program, including a best bet, a live longshot and suggested wagers for each event.
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Keeneland Full Card Analysis
Keeneland Picks: Grade 1 Spinster Stakes (10/4/2026)
Keeneland Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 12:00 PM CT; Starter Allowance $30k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #2 GOOD MOJO (9-2): Major Player. Has won at a higher level than this. Top connections on the circuit with Saez and Casse.
- #7 CAPITAL CONNECTION (2-1): Major Player. Consistently runs above the level it faces. Numbers grade out better than the raw figures suggest.
- #6 KEEP ON MOVING (10-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Figures fit comfortably at this level.
- #1 LIL TRICK (6-1): Contender. Meaningful class relief today. The 89 speed rating is among the top in the group.
Selections: 2 – 7 – 6 – 1
The Plays
Win: #2 at 5-2
Trifecta: 2,7 / 2,7,6,1 / 2,7,6,1
Keeneland Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 12:35 PM CT; Maiden Claiming $50k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #8 MAGINNESONTAP (8-5): Major Player. Outruns the class par more often than not. Walsh and Gaffalione team up, and that combination wins its share.
- #7 MONEY MAN (9-2): Major Player. Speed numbers are right there with the top group. Runs better than the bare figures indicate once class is factored in.
- #1 GET THEM ROSES (5-2): Contender. Recent form lines measure up to these. Strong connections with Walden sending out Concepcion.
- #4 PRIVATE SHOW (6-1): Contender. Has been exceeding what the level demands. Has the numbers to be involved late.
Selections: 8 – 7 – 1 – 4
The Plays
Win: #8 at 5-2
Trifecta: 8,7 / 8,7,1,4 / 8,7,1,4
Keeneland Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 1:10 PM CT; Claiming $63k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #6 CITY OF LIFE (12-1): Major Player. Competitive in the same class recently. Barn has been solid with this exact move.
- #4 JOIN (6-1): Major Player. Improving with each start. Quick enough to matter in the closing stages.
- #3 WAY BEYOND (8-1): Contender. Has been facing this kind and holding its own. A 9.3 is plenty fast for this spot.
- #2 STATE CONCEAL (4-1): Contender. Should get loose on an uncontested lead. Form lines read well against this group.
Selections: 6 – 4 – 3 – 2
The Plays
Win: #6 at 5-2
Trifecta: 6,4 / 6,4,3,2 / 6,4,3,2
Keeneland Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 1:45 PM CT; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 15 runners.
- #7 BELZONI (4-1): Major Player. Distance change should suit. Numbers are competitive with anything else entered.
- #10 STADION (30-1): Major Player. The work tab reads like a horse ready to run, not one being educated. Has been drilling steadily into the debut.
- #14 EL GRAN RUCHACHA (30-1): Contender. Serious work pattern behind this first start. Salvador has the barn rolling and keeps Meeks aboard.
- #2 JUST A HOLIDAY (6-1): Contender. Figures have climbed in three straight. No class question at this level.
Selections: 7 – 10 – 14 – 2
The Plays
Win: #7 at 5-2
Trifecta: 7,10 / 7,10,14,2 / 7,10,14,2
Keeneland Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:20 PM CT; Allowance $130k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 13 runners.
- #11 GUY SMILEY (9-2): Major Player. Clearly moving forward off the last two. The Ward barn strikes at a healthy clip in this spot.
- #2 ZAMBEZI (12-1): Major Player. Pedigree says the surface switch is worth a try. Best late pace figure in the field at 95.
- #3 MURDOCK (15-1): Contender. Much better than the last line indicates. Loveberry takes the mount for Rivelli, which is worth noting.
- #1 GOLDEN ALE (8-1): Contender. Belongs on class and should be in the mix. Beaten only 0.1 lengths last out against similar.
Selections: 11 – 2 – 3 – 1
The Plays
Win: #11 at 5-2
Trifecta: 11,2 / 11,2,3,1 / 11,2,3,1
Keeneland Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 2:57 PM CT; Claiming $50k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #6 TARANTINO (7-2): Major Player. Proven competitor at this configuration. Has been knocking on the door in similar spots.
- #7 BARKSDALE (9-2): Major Player. Consistent enough to be a factor at this level.
- #3 TIMING DIFFERENCE (5-1): Contender. Figures fit comfortably at this level.
- #4 HIGH CEILING (8-1): Contender. Bred to handle the added ground. Connections are as strong as any in the race.
Selections: 6 – 7 – 3 – 4
The Plays
Win: #6 at 5-2
Exacta: 6 / 7,3
Keeneland Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 3:34 PM CT; Allowance $120k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.
- #2 BOB'S CARROT (10-1): Longshot Play of the Day. On a steady upward trend. Bet today's live longshot on MyBookie.
- #9 DISCOTHEQUE (10-1): Major Player. Ran at this level last out.
- #7 LINCOLN'S LAW (5-1): Contender. Improving with each start.
- #3 EZUM (6-1): Contender. Drops to a level that should suit. Closing kick is the strongest of this group.
Selections: 2 – 9 – 7 – 3
The Plays
Win: #2 at 7-2
Trifecta: 2,9 / 2,9,7,3 / 2,9,7,3
Keeneland Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:10 PM CT; Grade 3 Indian Summer Stakes $350k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 9 runners.
- #8 RUIVA (7-5): Major Player. Bred to appreciate the change of surface.
- #2 FANSHELL BEACH (9-2): Major Player. Consistently runs above the level it faces.
- #4 CRACK ON (12-1): Contender. May be able to take advantage of the pace. Finishes better than anything else entered.
- #5 LOVE A WARRIOR (8-1): Contender. Move to this surface looks like the right call.
Selections: 8 – 2 – 4 – 5
The Plays
Win: #8 at 5-2
Pick 3 (Races 8-10): #8,2,4 with #2 with #10,11,5
Trifecta: 8,2 / 8,2,4,5 / 8,2,4,5
Keeneland Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 4:45 PM CT; Grade 1 Spinster Stakes $650k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 5 runners.
- #2 COUNTING STARS (5-2): Best Bet of the Card. Beaten better than these in the past. Bet today's best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #4 FULLY SUBSCRIBED (4-5): Major Player. Ran into trouble last out and deserves another look. A 107 late-pace number leads the field.
- #1 REGALED (8-1): Contender. Figures have climbed in three straight. Could wear these ones down late.
- #3 IMMERSIVE (7-2): Contender. Competitive in the same class recently. Needs to bounce back from a dull effort.
Selections: 2 – 4 – 1 – 3
The Plays
Win: #2 at 8-5
Exacta: 2 / 4,1
Keeneland Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:20 PM CT; Grade 2 Bourbon Stakes $400k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 11 runners.
- #10 LET EM KNOW (20-1): Major Player. Clearly moving forward off the last two.
- #11 MID AMERICAN (10-1): Major Player. Class edge on the field if the form holds.
- #5 REAL GOODBAR (10-1): Contender. Cutting back should sharpen this one up.
- #3 BOLD LEADERSHIP (7-2): Contender. Numbers grade out better than the raw figures suggest.
Selections: 10 – 11 – 5 – 3
The Plays
Win: #10 at 5-2
Exacta: 10 / 11,5
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Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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