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Keeneland: Dowager Stakes Picks- Sunday, October 22
Written by: Chris Adams
Last Updated:
Read Time: 8 minutes
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The final state-side graded stakes of the weekend will come from Keeneland. The Grade 3 Dowager will be run as race 7 on the program over 12 furlongs on the turf.
Breeders’ Cup Preview
As the main contenders for the year end world championships make their final preparations at Santa Anita the racing calendar slows down. Get ahead of the competition by taking a early look at some of the divisions up for grabs in the 2023 Breeders’ Cup.
Friday November 3rd Previews
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Full Card Analysis
Keeneland Race Course- 1
Post Time at 1:00 PM ET, featuring a $69k Maiden Claiming contest over 1 1/16 m on dirt with 8 entries.
- #4 TITLE CONTENDER (3-1) warrants top consideration, poised for improvement after the first start. A threat to secure a lead on the front end, this contender is part of the Cox barn, guided by Prat in the irons.
- #5 THIS TIME BLUE (12-1) presents an intriguing price horse who should compete well in this race. The combination of Hartman and Arrieta enhances this contender’s prospects. Expect no trouble handling the distance.
- #8 TIS CHARMING (8-1), likely improves off the initial outing, looks to be highly competitive. Displaying recent solid performances, this contender should be ready to deliver a strong performance.
- #6 TOWN HALL (2-1) is another contender with room for improvement after the first start. Backed by solid breeding, this contender cannot be discounted.
Selections: 4 – 5 – 8 – 6
Keeneland Race Course- 2
Post Time at 1:32 PM ET, featuring a $100k Maiden Special Weight contest over 1 1/16 m on dirt with 7 entries.
- #2 MEDAGLIA FOREVER (5-2) emerges as the top choice, well-suited for the distance. With consistent, even performances, this contender will likely encounter a very fair pace scenario.
- #5 COLETTE’S JOY (4-1), considered a major player in this race, boasts the pedigree to excel. Running evenly and aiming for a fair pace scenario, this contender is one to watch.
- #4 FLASHY LASS (9-5) seems like a fringe contender but has strong backing from the Cox barn, guided by Prat in the irons.
- #3 STAGFLATION (5-1) holds promise and is worth a long look. With a track record of handling these conditions, this contender is a worthy consideration.
Selections: 2 – 5 – 4 – 3
Keeneland Race Course- 3
Post Time at 2:04 PM ET, features a $75k Claiming contest covering 1 1/8 m on dirt with 7 entries.
- #3 ETHICAL JUDGEMENT (8-5) appears to be the standout choice, possessing tactical speed to sit just off the leaders and execute a stalk-and-pounce trip. With the highest overall power rating in the group, this contender looks formidable.
- #5 ALLEGE (6-1) is another strong contender with performances capable of outclassing the field. Proven to handle these conditions in past races, this contender should not be overlooked.
- #4 DEVIL VISION (12-1) is a price horse, yet highly competitive in this race based on speed figures. This contender comes into the race ready for a strong performance.
- #6 THE REDS (7-2) is a strong contender and appears to be the class of the field.
Selections: 3 – 5 – 4 – 6
Keeneland Race Course- 4
Post Time at 2:36 PM ET, features a $43k Maiden Claiming contest covering 6 f on dirt with 10 entries.
- #1 MY BEST DAY EVER (7-2) is likely to improve from the initial start and is the top choice. This contender should have no trouble with the distance.
- #2 BIRDIE ROSE (8-1) presents another compelling option, featuring a pedigree well-suited for this race. The distance is right in the wheelhouse making this contender a strong choice.
- #7 BELLE OF THE BALL (9-5) is another major contender. A potential front-running threat, this contender is part of the Cox barn, with Prat in the irons, and appears to be the class of the field.
- #9 TESHIMA (8-1) is a price horse with the pedigree to excel. This contender is one to watch.
Selections: 1 – 2 – 7 – 9
Keeneland Race Course- 5
Post Time at 3:08 PM ET, featuring a $140k Allowance race covering 5 1/2 f on turf with 11 entries.
- #3 ALL THAT MAGIC (6-1) is the top pick, with performances strong enough to outclass this group. Coming into the race in top form makes this one a possible upsetter.
- #2 CARIMBA (4-1) is considered a major player in this race based on the impressive recent speed figures. Representing the Hernandez barn and steered by Mojica, this contender is in a strong position.
- #9 GOIN’ GOOD (7-2) appears to be another major player, well-fitted for this race. This contender should be comfortable with the distance and exhibits tactical speed to execute a stalk-and-pounce strategy.
- #1 TOP GUN GIRL (5-1) is another contender with potential in this race. Well-suited for the distance, this one looks to be a minor threat.
Selections: 3 – 2 – 9 – 1
Keeneland Race Course- 6
Post Time at 3:40 PM ET, features a $110k Allowance contest covering 1 1/16 m on dirt with 7 entries.
- #4 LEADING CONTENDER (7-5) appears to be the standout choice. Positioned to sit in the second tier of runners and execute a well-timed run at the leaders, this contender boasts the highest overall power rating in the group.
- #3 REDEEMER (12-1) is a price horse that could look to blow up the tote board a bit. Based on the recent speed figures, this contender is right in the mix, especially with the combination of Brisset and Gaffalione.
- #5 ESCAPOLOGIST (10-1) is another price horse and may be a fringe contender. However, strong speed figures make this contender a valid choice.
- #7 BLACK RAIN (2-1) is a reliable choice to consider for underneath positions on most tickets. Part of the Pletcher barn and steered by Saez, this contender enters the race in excellent form.
Selections: 4 – 3 – 5 – 7
Keeneland Race Course- 7
Post Time at 4:12 PM ET, features the $300k Rood and Riddle Dowager S., covering 1 1/2 m on turf with 9 entries.
- #9 TRANSIENT (3-1) stands as the top selection with the highest overall power rating in the group. This one is a proven runner at these turf route distances.
- #5 PERSONAL BEST (4-1) also looks like a strong presence in this race. Strong speed figures and the ability to be in the first flight of runners position this contender for success.
- #3 VERGARA (9-5) is another strong contender, entering the race in excellent form and positioning herself to be in the first flight of runners.
- #8 LOVELY PRINCESS (8-1) is a fringe contender but has the capability to excel in this race. This runner may get a boost from some of the recent efforts where the company has been very salty.
Selections: 9 – 5 – 3 – 8
Keeneland Race Course- 8
Post Time at 4:44 PM ET, features a $100k Maiden Special Weight race covering 6 1/2 f on dirt with 16 entries.
- #11 AGOO (5-1) is the top pick, likely to improve from the first start. This contender should not have trouble with the distance and has the performances to surpass the competition.
- #14 NO JUDGMENT (8-1) is another contender expected to improve after the first start and is a major player in this race. With recent solid performances, this contender is ready for a remarkable performance and could make a competitive run in the lane.
- #16 SHAKIN LOOSE (10-1) is a price horse and should be competitive in this race. Positioned to sit mid-pack and make one strong run, this contender has the potential to surprise.
- #15 KING ANTHONY (15-1) is another price horse and is a solid choice for underneath positions on most tickets. Displaying solid early pace figures in a race with limited front-running speed, this contender is guided by the combination of Hernandez and Esquivel.
Selections: 11 – 14 – 16 – 15
Keeneland Race Course- 9
Post Time at 5:16 PM ET, is a $110k Allowance contest covering 5 1/2 f on turf with 16 entries.
- #13 MY SWEET AFFAIR (7-2) appears to be the standout choice in this race. Boasting performances strong enough to outclass the competition, this contender should have no trouble with the distance.
- #12 FIRING BULLETS (12-1) is a price horse and a major player in this race. Expected to perform well without difficulty in terms of distance, this contender holds the highest overall power rating in the group.
- #5 JUST A CARE (4-1) is another that should be competitive in this spot. With recent solid performances, this contender is poised to deliver a strong performance. Displaying consistent pace figures, this contender is likely to get a very fair setup to run into.
- #10 GET TWISTED (6-1) is expected to improve from the first start and should be competitive in this race. Entering the race in excellent form, this contender goes out for the combination of Navarrete and Loveberry.
Selections: 13 – 12 – 5 – 10
Betting News Horse Racing Coverage
Betting News provides AI generated handicapping tools for all of the major tracks around the country each and every day.
In addition, Betting News will continue to provide in depth analysis of the upcoming Breeders’ Cup and select cards throughout the week.
Breeders’ Cup Previews:
Friday
- Belmont at the Big A featuring the Grade 3 Knickerbocker
Saturday
- Keeneland featuring the Grade 2 Raven Run
- Woodbine featuring the Grade 3 Ontario Derby
Sunday
- Keeneland featuring the Grade 3 Dowager Stakes
Click here for more information on horse racing terminology, how to read a racing program, and how to bet on the races.
Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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