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Fair Grounds Picks: Lecomte Kentucky Derby Prep Analysis
Written by: Chris Adams
Last Updated:
Read Time: 11 minutes
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Fair Grounds has become one of the popular roads to the Kentucky Derby. This weekend they will run a major prep en route to the Louisiana Derby. Check out our Fair Grounds picks for the Lecomte card.
Full Card Analysis
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Fair Grounds Picks- Race 1
$60k Allowance going 6 f on dirt; Post: 12:00 PM CT; Entries: 9
- #4 CHARCO (10-1): Is a price horse and gets the top selection. Is the class of the field and a good bet to hit the board in this type of race.
- #8 THE BOSS SOSS (5-2): Will be competitive in this spot. A good bet to hit the board. Has the top overall power rating in the group.
- #3 MACHO BEANIE (10-1): Is a price horse and feels like a fringe contender. Has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front-running speed. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
- #6 HARDLY ABLE (4-1): Isn’t without hope. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance. Has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
Selections: 4 – 8 – 3 – 6
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 2
$60k Maiden Special Weight going 6 f on dirt; Post: 12:30 PM CT; Entries: 14
- #10 WISH CAREFULLY (3-1): Gets the top selection. Should be sitting in the second tier of runners and looking to make one well-timed run at the leaders. Has the pedigree to be a major player.
- #12 SONOFASHIP (6-1): Will be competitive in this spot. Has the pedigree to be a major player. Runs evenly and will get a very fair pace scenario here.
- #3 ACHROMEDOUTCAT (12-1): Is a price horse and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Will run for the combination of Alonzo and Rodriguez.
- #6 BOBBY TWO SHOT’S (8-1): Is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Will likely be part of the early pace.
Selections: 10 – 12 – 3 – 6
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 3
$60k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 m 70 y on dirt; Post: 1:00 PM CT; Entries: 7
- #7 TARIFA (7-5): Gets the top selection. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance. Has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one.
- #3 STANDOUTSENSATION (9-2): Is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Is the class of the field.
- #6 FLOATING BEAUTY (6-1): Is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Projects to sit mid-pack and come with one run.
- #4 BA DEE YAH (4-1): Seems to be running for the minor placings in this contest. Has been running against decent company.
Selections: 7 – 3 – 6 – 4
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 4
$100k Duncan F. Kenner S. going 5 1/2 f on turf; Post: 1:30 PM CT; Entries: 7
- #3 SOSUA SUMMER (3-1): Gets the top selection. Has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
- #7 MINNESOTA READY (9-2): Has a shot in this race. A dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
- #1 JUST MIGHT (7-2): Has a shot in this race. Will run for the combination of Lovell and Torres. A dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
- #4 EVAN SING (9-2): Has a shot in this race. Has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
Selections: 3 – 7 – 1 – 4
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 5
$60k Maiden Special Weight going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Post: 2:00 PM CT; Entries: 10
- #4 HALL OF FAME (3-1): Should improve off the first start and gets the top selection. Runs really consistent pace figures which should work well in a moderately paced race.
- #6 FUNNYFLAME (9-2): Isn’t without hope. Has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
- #3 SAN SIRO (5-1): Is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Runs evenly and will get a very fair pace scenario here.
- #9 NIGHT OUT (4-1): Is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Projects to sit mid-pack and come with one run. Runs races good enough to beat this group.
Selections: 4 – 6 – 3 – 9
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 6
$60k Maiden Special Weight going 6 f on dirt; Post: 2:30 PM CT; Entries: 12
- #3 GHALIA PRINCESS (6-1): Debuts here and gets the top selection. Will run for the combination of Cox and Geroux. Bet the longshot play of the card at BetOnline.
- #10 BEELIEVE HER (6-1): Is a major player in this race. Has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
- #5 OH MY MIA (8-1): Will be competitive in this spot. Has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts. Is the class of the field.
- #7 PLUM TRICKY (10-1): Is a price horse and has a shot in this race. Makes sense on speed figures.
Selections: 3 – 10 – 5 – 7
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 7
$60k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 m on turf; Post: 3:00 PM CT; Entries: 16
- #1 CHASING THE CROWN (3-1): Gets the top selection. Has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
- #13 SAILING SOLO (5-1): Will be competitive in this spot. A good bet to hit the board. Makes sense on speed figures.
- #11 KENTUCKY GHOST (6-1): Will be competitive in this spot. Makes sense on speed figures.
- #5 WONDERFUL JUSTICE (10-1): Is a price horse and isn’t without hope. Comes into the race in really good form.
Selections: 1 – 13 – 11 – 5
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 8
$60k Maiden Special Weight going 6 f on dirt; Post: 3:30 PM CT; Entries: 16
- #12 GUARANI (10-1): Is a price horse and gets the top selection. Has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
- #10 CORNISHMAN (9-2): Debuts here and has a shot in this race. Will run for the combination of Cox and Geroux.
- #16 GO CAPTAIN (12-1): Is a price horse and feels like a fringe contender. Is a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
- #4 SABI (8-1): Should improve off the first start and isn’t without hope. Runs races good enough to beat this group. Is well bred for this spot.
Selections: 12 – 10 – 16 – 4
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 9
$100k Marie G. Krantz Memorial S. going 1 1/16 m on turf; Post: 4:00 PM CT; Entries: 9
- #1 LOVELY PRINCESS (3-1): Gets the top selection. Has been running against decent company. Runs races good enough to beat this group.
- #5 CREATIVE CAIRO (4-1): Is a major player in this race. Will run for the combination of Schultz and Geroux.
- #8 JOIN THE DANCE (12-1): Is a price horse and will be competitive in this spot. Will run for the combination of Stewart and Rosario. Will likely be part of the early pace.
- #6 FANCY MARTINI (6-1): Has a shot in this race. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance. Has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
Selections: 1 – 5 – 8 – 6
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 10
$150k Silverbulletday S. presented by Fasig-Tipton going 1 m 70 y on dirt; Post: 4:30 PM CT; Entries: 8
- #6 WEST OMAHA (2-1): Gets the top selection. Will be rolling late and has a good closing kick that could get the job done here. Has the top overall power rating in the group.
- #1 PERFECT SHOT (4-1): Has a shot in this race. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance. Has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
- #8 SISTINA CHAPEL (7-2): Isn’t without hope. Makes sense on speed figures. Will likely have a lot to do in the lane but could get up with a competitive run.
- #2 ACCOMMODATE EVA (12-1): Is a price horse and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Is the class of the field. Runs really consistent pace figures which should work well in a moderately paced race.
Selections: 6 – 1 – 8 – 2
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 11
$100k Colonel E. R. Bradley S. going 1 1/16 m on turf; Post: 5:00 PM CT; Entries: 9
- #2 STRONG QUALITY (3-1): Gets the top selection. Has been running against decent company. Will likely be part of the early pace.
- #5 ENGLISH TAVERN (6-1): Is a major player in this race. Is the class of the field. Is likely to be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
- #8 RISING EMPIRE (5-1): Feels like a fringe contender in this spot. Makes sense on speed figures. Will likely be part of the early pace.
- #9 BEATBOX (5-2): Feels like a fringe contender in this spot. Has been running against decent company.
Selections: 2 – 5 – 8 – 9
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 12
$175k Louisiana S. Presented by Relyne GI By Hagyard going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Post: 5:30 PM CT; Entries: 7
- #3 SAUDI CROWN (8-5): Admittedly giving this one the best bet means I’m betting against one of my favorites from last year in Red Route One, but this one just feels like the clear choice. He runs races good enough to beat this group. and as been really solid in recent starts. He should be ready to run a big one here. Bet today’s best Best Bet at BetUS.
- #1 RED ROUTE ONE (5-1): Will have my heart in this race and be a factor in exactas. Makes sense on speed figures. Will likely get the right setup in this race.
- #2 SMILE HAPPY (9-5): Isn’t without hope. Will likely get the right setup in this race.
- #4 HAPPY AMERICAN (8-1): Is probably best to put underneath on most tickets.
Selections: 3-1-2-4
Fair Grounds Picks- Race 13
$200k Lecomte S. going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Post: 6:00 PM CT; Entries: 8
- #2 NASH (5-2): Gets the top selection despite losing to Track Phantom last out. Runs races good enough to beat this group. Will run for the combination of Cox and Geroux. This one turns the table today.
- #7 TRACK PHANTOM (9-5): Is a major player in this race. Runs races good enough to beat this group. Has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
- #8 AWESOME ROAD (8-1): Will be competitive in this spot. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
- #5 ETHAN ENERGY (4-1): Is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
Selections: 2 – 7 – 8 – 5
Betting News Horse Racing Coverage
Betting News provides AI generated handicapping tools for all of the major tracks around the country each and every day.
In addition, Betting News will continue to provide in depth analysis of select racing cards throughout the week.
Friday
Saturday
- Fair Grounds picks featuring the Lecomte Kentucky Derby Prep.
- Santa Anita picks featuring the Grade 3 La Canada Stakes.
- Oaklawn Park picks featuring the Fifth Season Stakes. CANCELLED DUE TO WEATHER
Sunday
- Gulfstream Park picks featuring the Sunshine Turf Stakes.
Kentucky Derby Future Prop
Bet on your favorite horse to win the 2024 Kentucky Derby today. Also, check out our analysis of the top of the market in the Derby futures wagers. Bet the Kentucky Derby future pool on Bovada.
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Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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