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Colonial Downs Saturday, September 9, Virginia Derby Analysis
Written by: Chris Adams
Last Updated:
Read Time: 7 minutes
horses
Saturday’s races from Colonial Downs feature several stakes races. The featured race is the grade 3 Virginia Derby on turf. The full field means great opportunities for bettors.
Full Card Analysis
Colonial Downs- 1
Post: 1:30 PM ET; $75k Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/8 miles on turf; Entries: 6
- #1 KRONE (7-2) gets the top selection, boasting races good enough to beat this group. She has proven her ability to handle these conditions in previous starts.
- #5 DETERMINED EMPIRE (5-2) is also a top pick, with races strong enough to prevail. This one appears to be the class of the field.
- #3 WARIDI CANDY (12-1) stands as a price horse and a significant contender in this race, supported by her speed figures.
- #6 POR UNA CABEZA (8-5) is another major player, deserving respect with the Motion-Ruiz combination. She possesses tactical speed and can strategically position herself just off the leaders for a stalk-and-pounce trip.
Selections: 1 – 5 – 3 – 6
Colonial Downs- 2
Post: 1:58 PM ET; $45k Maiden Claiming, 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 8
- #6 IMPERIALTY (9-5) is our top pick, entering the race in excellent form.
- #2 CONNECTAMUNDO (5-2) is a major player in this race, likely to improve in his second start, and benefits from the McMahon barn and Leparoux in the irons. He’s well-bred for this occasion.
- #5 BANKER BLAYNEY (6-1) debuts here and shouldn’t be underestimated, especially with the Kingsley-Ashton combination.
- #1 DIALED IN A PANIC (8-1) is also making his debut and shouldn’t be dismissed, given his favorable breeding.
Selections: 6 – 2 – 5 – 1
Colonial Downs- 3
Post: 2:26 PM ET; $40k Starter Optional Claiming, 1 1/16 miles on turf; Entries: 10
- #6 YANKEE DOLLAR (3-2) appears to be the standout choice here, having previously demonstrated an ability to handle these conditions.
- #10 INANNA’S QUEST (8-1) emerges as a serious contender, entering the race in excellent form. This one is expected to sit mid-pack and make a late charge.
- #4 PANOTTI (3-1) is likely to be competitive in this spot, racing for the O’Connell barn and with Ortiz in the irons. Her consistent pace figures bode well for a moderately paced race.
- #9 BALI KUTA (10-1) is a price horse with a chance, given her past performances and consistent pace figures.
Selections: 6 – 10 – 4 – 9
Colonial Downs- 4
Post: 2:56 PM ET; $45k Maiden Claiming, 1 1/16 miles on turf; Entries: 8
- #1 WAY TOO EARLY (3-2) gets the nod as the top selection. She tends to run consistently and should find a fair pace scenario here.
- #3 LAKESIDE GETAWAY (9-5) is a fringe contender with tactical speed, well-suited for a stalk-and-pounce trip.
- #2 SHE’S LIKE THUNDER (12-1) is a price horse and likely competing for minor placings. She’s expected to sit mid-pack and make a late push.
- #5 GOOD ACCELEBRATE (20-1) is another price horse aiming for the minor placings, with a similar strategy of sitting mid-pack and making a late run.
Selections: 1 – 3 – 2 – 5
Colonial Downs- 5
Post: 3:25 PM ET; $70k Allowance, 1 1/16 miles on turf; Entries: 13
- #4 SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD (3-1) appears to be a major player in this race based on speed figures.
- #6 OHANA HONOR (10-1) is our top pick, a price horse that should be respected with the Mcgaughey-Carmouche combination. He’s not likely to have trouble with the distance.
- #12 SMALL FIELD (20-1) is another price horse to consider, expected to benefit from a hot pace up front.
- #2 FINGAL (10-1) is also a price horse with competitive speed figures, potentially benefiting from a hot pace up front.
Selections: 4 – 6 – 12 – 2
Colonial Downs- 6
Post: 3:58 PM ET; $150k Da Hoss S., 5 1/2 furlongs on turf; Entries: 10
- #8 NOBALS (3-1) looks strong here and should be part of the early pace. He makes sense on speed figures.
- #10 HIGH LIMIT ROOM (10-1) is a price horse and a major player in this race, likely to handle the distance without trouble.
- #5 ALOGON (12-1) is another price horse and appears to be a contender, expected to be in the first flight of runners and with a chance late.
- #7 SOUPER QUEST (7-2) should be competitive, as he’s been solid in recent starts and is poised for a strong performance here.
Selections: 8 – 10 – 5 – 7
Colonial Downs- 7
Post: 4:33 PM ET; $125k Kitten’s Joy S., 1 1/16 miles on turf; Entries: 13
- #4 TOK TOK (4-1) should improve and gets the top selection, as she has to be respected with the Motion-Ruiz combination. She typically runs evenly and should find a fair pace scenario.
- #9 MASSIF (9-2) is a major player, projected to sit mid-pack and make a late run.
- #13 DETERMINED SAIL (15-1) is a price horse and another significant contender, also expected to sit mid-pack and make a late charge.
- #12 MAINSTREAM SELLOUT (30-1) is a price horse that should be competitive, given her previous performances and solid recent form.
Selections: 4 – 9 – 13 – 12
Colonial Downs- 8
Post: 5:10 PM ET; $125k Exacta Systems Rosie’s S., 5 1/2 furlongs on turf; Entries: 11
- #5 NO NAY METS (5-2) is our top pick, with races strong enough to beat this group. Her consistent pace figures should work well in a moderately paced race.
- #10 KING KONTIE (4-1) is likely competing for minor placings, having previously shown an ability to handle these conditions. He shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
- #3 TOUPIE (5-1) is also contending for underneath positions, expected to be part of the early pace. She has the benefit of the Motion-Ruiz combination.
- #7 SEBASTIAN RUN (8-1) is another horse competing for a share, having previously shown an ability to handle these conditions.
Selections: 5 – 10 – 3 – 7
Colonial Downs- 9
Post: 5:45 PM ET; $250k Virginia Oaks, 1 1/8 miles on turf; Entries: 8
- #7 MISSION OF JOY (8-5) looks strong here, having proven her ability to handle these conditions in previous starts.
- #8 ALPHA BELLA (2-1) is likely to be competitive, expected to be in the first flight of runners and in contention late.
- #6 THIRTY THOU KELVIN (12-1) is a price horse and a fringe contender, supported by her speed figures. She typically runs evenly and should find a fair pace scenario.
- #4 IDEA GENERATION (7-2) is not without hope and should be respected with the Brown-Prat combination.
Selections: 7 – 8 – 6 – 4
Colonial Downs- 10
Post: 6:20 PM ET; $500k New Kent County Virginia Derby, 1 1/8 miles on turf; Entries: 11
- #11 PROGRAM TRADING (7-2) gets the top selection, with races strong enough to beat this group. He typically runs evenly and should find a fair pace scenario.
- #10 ARI GOLD (8-1) is likely to be competitive, racing for the Pletcher barn and with Ortiz in the irons. He’s been solid in recent starts and appears ready for a strong performance.
- #6 MONDEGO (5-1) should also be competitive, expected to be in the first flight of runners and in contention late.
- #7 ACTIVIST INVESTING (10-1) is a price horse that could be in the mix, given his previous performances and ability to handle these conditions.
Selections: 11 – 10 – 6 – 7
Colonial Downs- 11
Post: 6:55 PM ET; $150k Colonial Cup S., 1 1/2 miles on turf; Entries: 11
- #6 TEMPLE (2-1) is the top pick and could be a threat to get loose on the front end.
- #7 DYNADRIVE (30-1) is a price horse and a major player in this race, deserving respect with the Maker-Karamanos combination. He’s expected to sit mid-pack and make a late push.
- #9 STRONG TIDE (6-1) should be competitive, likely in the first flight of runners and with a chance late. He shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
- #4 MCLOVIN (15-1) is a price horse that should be competitive and not likely to have trouble with the distance.
Selections: 6 – 7 – 9 – 4
Betting News Horse Racing Coverage
Betting News provides in depth analysis of the week’s biggest races. This week’s lineup includes Saturday and Sunday cards.
Saturday
- Festival of Champions from Canterbury Park
- Grade 3 Turf New Kent County Virginia Derby from Colonial Downs
- Grade 1 Del Mar Debutante from Del Mar
- 5 Graded stakes races from Kentucky Downs including 2 Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In races.
Sunday
- Grade 1 Del Mar Futurity and Grade 3 Del Mar Juvenile Turf from Del Mar
Click here for more information on horse racing terminology, how to read a racing program, and how to bet on the races.
Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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