Churchill Downs Saturday: Keertana Overnight Stakes Analysis

Churchill Downs will host Memorial weekend racing. Saturday’s feature is the Keertana Overnight Stakes which goes off as race 10 on the card.

Saturday Full Card Analysis

As of the writing of this piece, program numbers and morning line odds had not been assigned. Players of the card should consult their programs on race day to make sure they are betting on the right horse number.

This information can also be found digitally on the Equibase website.

Churchill Downs Race 1

Post: 12:45 PM ET; Purse: $60,000 Claiming, 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 6

• BLUE JAYS should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & connections.
• STARRININMYDREAMS is in with a great chance based on the horse's stamina & power rating.
• BEACHWALKER has the top in the money percentage at the distance and is worth a look here.
• DIRECT LINE looks to have to have kept the best company in the previous starts.

Selections: BLUE JAYS-STARRININMYDREAMS-BEACHWALKER-DIRECT LINE

Churchill Downs Race 2

Post: 1:14 PM ET; Purse: $32,000 Claiming, 1 Mile on Dirt; Entries: 8

• ZOFFA is in with a great chance based on the horse's record at the distance & power rating.
• MAKE NOISE should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & early pace
• INCITATUS is proven as a good bet to at least hit the board under today's distance and surface conditions.
• REVENIO could get the perfect run in this race and may be dangerous.

Selections: ZOFFA-MAKE NOISE-INCITATUS-REVENIO

Churchill Downs Race 3

Post: 1:43 PM ET; Purse: $120,000 Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 8

• SINNER'S SIN is in with a great chance based on the horse's class & pace. Look for this one to be on or near the lead throughout the contest.
• AMERICAN MAYHEM has to be respected based on the connections.
• IMPROBABLE JOURNEY should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & pace.
• WOODLINE has very competitive speed figures in this spot.

Selections: SINNER'S SIN-AMERICAN MAYHEM-IMPROBABLE JOURNEY-WOODLINE

Churchill Downs Race 4

Post: 2:13 PM ET; Purse: $141,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 5 1/2 Furlongs on Turf; Entries: 10

• SPECIAL RESERVE is in with a great chance based on the horse's class & power rating.
• TOTALLY BOSS merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & pace.
• SURVEILLANCE is proven as a good bet to at least hit the board under today's distance and surface conditions.
• OCEANIC has to be respected based on the connections.

Selections: SPECIAL RESERVE-TOTALLY BOSS-SURVEILLANCE-OCEANIC

Churchill Downs Race 5

Post: 2:45 PM ET; Purse: $120,000 Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 8

• RUNAWAY WIFE is worth a look here given edges in class & race flow.
• LADY COMMANDER looks tough to beat here given the edge in a number of key categories including speed & class.
• SILVERLEAF has proven that she can run well going a route of ground.
• LANTERN'S CANDY is worth a look here given edges in connections.

Selections: RUNAWAY WIFE-LADY COMMANDER-SILVERLEAF-LANTERN'S CANDY

Churchill Downs Race 6

Post: 3:18 PM ET; Purse: $58,000 Maiden Claiming, 6 1/2 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 12

• NAVAL OFFICER is in with a great chance based on the horse's record at the distance & form.
• POLSAR is worth a look here based on the fields he’s faced in previous events.
• LUNAR ROCKET is a major player based on speed figures.
• BAD DECISIONS will look to get a good trip in this spot and could be a force to reckon with late.

Selections: NAVAL OFFICER-POLSAR-LUNAR ROCKET-BAD DECISIONS

Churchill Downs Race 7

Post: 3:50 PM ET; Purse: $127,000 Allowance, 1 1/16 Miles on Turf; Entries: 13

• EYES ON TARGET is in with a great chance based on the horse's record at the distance & power rating.
• MR. TIP has speed figures that make this one a player in this spot.
• RED HORNET has the top stamina rating in the group.
• MCLAREN VALE is worth a look here given edges in class & pace.

Selections: EYES ON TARGET-MR. TIP-RED HORNET-MCLAREN VALE

Churchill Downs Race 8

Post: 4:22 PM ET; Purse: $120,000 Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 16

• BRIGHT PROSPECTER should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & pedigree
• PIONEERING SPIRIT merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & stamina.
• RIDLEY'S MAJOR has already hit the board in this type of event and deserves consideration in this spot.
• WAR CAMPAIGN comes into the race in solid form and may be able to improve off the last effort.

Selections: BRIGHT PROSPECTER-PIONEERING SPIRIT-RIDLEY'S MAJOR-WAR CAMPAIGN

Churchill Downs Race 9

Post: 4:55 PM ET; Purse: $141,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 6

• GUN IT has a great shot in the race given the pace & class.
• DENNIS' MOMENT should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & record at the distance.
• EBBEN rates out well in several key handicapping factors.
• AWESOME GERRY has some of the best form lines in the group.

Selections: GUN IT-DENNIS' MOMENT-EBBEN-AWESOME GERRY

Churchill Downs Race 10

Post: 5:26 PM ET; Purse: $160,000 Keertana Overnight S., 1 1/2 Miles on Turf; Entries: 9

• DISAPPEARING ACT should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & form.
• LUCK MONEY looks like a strong prospect edging the field in several key handicapping factors including class & power rating.
• TEMPLE CITY TERROR should be involved early, but seems a cut below the top 2.
• FEDERALIST PAPERS is worth a look here going out for top connections.

Selections: DISAPPEARING ACT-LUCK MONEY-TEMPLE CITY TERROR-FEDERALIST PAPERS

Churchill Downs Race 11

Post: 5:58 PM ET; Purse: $127,000 Allowance, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 11

• ARI OAKLEY is a major player in today's race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including speed & power rating.
• ONTHEONESANDTWOS should be in the right spot early to give this horse a chance to get the job done.
• HIGHLAND SQUARE has a solid power rating that should be good at this distance.
• BALI DREAMIN is worth a look here given edges in connections.

Selections: ARI OAKLEY-ONTHEONESANDTWOS-HIGHLAND SQUARE-BALI DREAMIN

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