Churchill Downs Picks: Matt Winn Stakes (06/08/2025)

The racing action from Churchill Downs on Sunday features the Matt Winn Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Churchill Downs picks for the entire card!

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Churchill Downs Full Card Analysis

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Churchill Downs Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:45 P.M. ET; Claiming $36k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

• #10 FORGE IN FIRE (5-1): Live Longshot! Stamina to outlast the competition. Strong early pace figs.

• #4 ZECA DIABO (3-1): Major Player. Torres puts this one in with a chance. Should still be running strong in the closing stages.

• #1 ENOUGH ALREADY (8-1): Contender. Potential to have this pace fall just right. Has experience at this level.

• #5 TIS CHARMING (8-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 10 – 4 – 1 – 5

The Plays

• Win: #10 at 3-1
• Exacta Box: 1,4,10
• Pick 3 (races 1-3): 1,4,10 with 1,4 with 10

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:14 P.M. ET; Maiden Claiming $48k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

• #4 TAPAKENA (3-1): Top pick. Races that could beat these. Race may setup for this runner.

• #1 BOX OFFICE (6-5): Major Player. Well bred for this race. Productive recent form.

• #10 BIG SALT LICK (6-1): Contender. Villarreal and Andrade team up on this one. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.

• #6 COME TO PAPA (10-1): Underneath. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint. Race shape gives this one an edge.

Selections: 4 – 1 – 10 – 6

The Plays

• Win: #4 at 5-2
• Exacta: 1,4/6,10
• Trifecta: 1,4/1,4,6/1,4,6,10

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:43 P.M. ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 10 runners.

• #10 VIVALDI (5-2): Best bet of the card. Top connections on the circuit with Prat and Brown. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.

• #7 MARY’S LAD (10-1): Contender. Stamina to be in the mix late. Looks to get a bit easier group here.

• #4 SOME PERFORMANCE (3-1): Fringe Contender. Hard to argue with the recent races. Potential to kick home late.

• #6 MOON CHANNEL (7-2): Fringe Contender. Could be grinding down the competition late.

Selections: 10 – 7 – 4 – 6

The Plays

• Win: #10 at 6-5
• Exacta: 1/4,6,7
• Trifecta: 1/4,6,7/4,6,7

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:13 P.M. ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #5 CHACHING CHACHING (4-1): Prime Win Player. Solid breeding for this spot. Could be ready for a top effort.

• #3 IVORY AND EBONY (5-1): Underneath. Speed figures match this group well.

• #4 TEXAS QUEEN (12-1): Underneath. This one’s a fighter in the late stages. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous.

• #1 DASHIN’ DIVA (8-1): Underneath. Lanerie puts this one in with a chance. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 5 – 3 – 4 – 1

The Plays

• Win: #5 at 2-1
• Exacta Box: 3,5/1,3,4,5

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:45 P.M. ET; Leslie’s Lady Overnight Stakes $175k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

• #5 VODKA WITH A TWIST (5-1): Longshot play of the day. Strong early pace figs. Prat puts this one in with a chance. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.

• #1 ECLATANT (3-1): Major Player. Running well of late. May be able to take advantage of the pace.

• #3 IMPULSE BUY (5-2): Contender. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish. The 94 speed rating is among the best in the field.

• #6 EVANESCENCE (9-2): Contender. Could be grinding down the competition late. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.

Selections: 5 – 1 – 3 – 6

The Plays

• Win: #5 at 2-1
• Exacta Key Box: 5/1,3,6

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:18 P.M. ET; Allowance $127k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 16 runners.

• #15 PERFECT FIGURE (9-2): Prime Win Player. Looks good based on the 91 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance.

• #13 SILVER MOONLIGHT (5-1): Contender. Seems to be up against the right competition.

• #14 MAE TOWN (3-1): Contender. Speed figs match up nicely. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.

• #3 MIGHTY ERIU (4-1): Fringe Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 15 – 13 – 14 – 3

The Plays

• Win: #15 at 3-1
• Exacta Box, 13,14,15

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:50 P.M. ET; Claiming $82k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

• #2 SIDE EYE (4-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Prat puts this one in with a chance.

• #1 JUSTIFREAK (8-1): Major Player. Running well of late. Stamina to be in the mix late.

• #4 UNCLE WILLIAM (15-1): Contender. May be able to find the right setup.

• #3 CHANCE (3-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 2 – 1 – 4 – 3

The Plays

• Win: #2 at 3-1
• Exacta Box: 1,2,4
• Trifecta: 2/1,3,4/1,3,4

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:22 P.M. ET; Matt Winn Stakes $400k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

• #5 BURNHAM SQUARE (7-2): Top pick. Races competitive with the top contenders. Race may setup for this runner.

• #1 GAMING (5-1): Major Player. Likely to get forward position. Good race flow for this runner.

• #7 EAST AVENUE (4-1): Major Player. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish.

• #6 COAL BATTLE (9-2): Major Player. Ran at this level last out. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 5 – 1 – 7 – 6

The Plays

• Win: #5 at 2-1
• Exacta:  5/1,6,7
• Trifecta: 5/1,7/1,6,7

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:55 P.M. ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $134k; 1 3/8 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.

• #12 OSCAR SEASON (7-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Stamina to outlast the competition.

• #6 BRITISH ISLES (3-1): Major Player. Running well of late. Should take a liking to the race shape.

• #5 AMERICAN HOPE (5-2): Major Player. Potential to kick home late. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.

• #8 MUTAAWID (10-1): Major Player. Recent races are solid. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.

Selections: 12 – 6 – 5 – 8

The Plays

• Win: ##12 at 7-2
• Exacta: 12/8
• Trifecta: 12/5,6,8/5,6,8

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