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Churchill Downs: Jockey Club Analysis, Saturday, November 25
![Chris Adams](/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwp.bettingnews.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2023%2F07%2FADAMS_CHRISTOPHER-150x150.jpg&w=128&q=75)
Written by: Chris Adams
Last Updated:
Read Time: 8 minutes
![Horses leave the gate for the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs](/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwp.bettingnews.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2023%2F11%2Fsocial-churchill-downs_ff2684d2b507df5f93aa31aa0f5dddab_2000.jpeg&w=3840&q=75)
horses
Churchill Downs will run its penultimate card on Saturday. The race features 2 graded stakes. The Golden Rod and the Kentucky Jockey Club will be run back to back.
Full Card Analysis
![Churchill Downs full card selections, November 25, 2023](https://images.storychief.com/account_25739/image_bae896efaddd30d97145b2ef98ff1add_800.png)
Churchill Downs- 1
Post: 1:00 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 1 1/8 m on turf; Entries: 16
- #16 MO CALIENTE (5-1) secures the top selection at Churchill Downs. Displaying performances strong enough to surpass this group, he positions himself mid-pack and surges with one well-timed run.
- #10 PHREDDIE MAC (12-1), a price horse, emerges as a contender worth considering. With promising speed figures and commendable form, he enters the race strongly.
- #12 RAGUEL (5-1) has a shot in this race, entering with commendable form and potential.
- #5 GAMBLIN GEORGE (12-1), another price horse, stands as a contender with mid-pack potential and a finishing kick.
Selections: 16-10-12-5
Churchill Downs- 2
Post: 1:28 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 7 f on dirt; Entries: 16
- #6 LINEBACKER (3-1), securing the top selection, is poised for improvement from the first start. Having demonstrated capabilities to surpass this group, especially handling these conditions in prior races, he stands as a strong choice.
- #1 EL MAGNIFICO (4-1) is acknowledged as a major player with performances capable of outpacing the field. Positioned in the second tier of runners, he plans a well-timed run.
- #15 VESTURE (4-1) holds a shot in this race, posing a threat to lead from the front.
- #3 LEGALIZE (7-2), expected to improve from the first start, is recognized as a contender with a potential front-end threat.
Selections: 6-1-15-3
Churchill Downs- 3
Post: 1:56 PM ET; $127k Allowance going 1 1/16 m on turf; Entries: 12
- #5 LAGYNOS (4-1) stands out as a major player, showcasing consistency in recent starts and gearing up for a significant performance.
- #10 GORILLA TREK (5-1) takes the top selection. Positioned for a late competitive run, this runner should handle the distance well and races for the Bauer-Leparoux combination.
- #4 ASPENITE (6-1) is a major player in this race, likely to be part of the early pace. This one has been solid in recent starts and is set for a big run.
- #7 THOMAS AQUINAS (10-1), a price horse, is competitive, having shown solidity in recent starts.
Selections: 5-10-4-7
Churchill Downs- 4
Post: 2:24 PM ET; $127k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 m on dirt; Entries: 13
- #1 TARIFA (5-2) should improve from the first start and takes the top selection. She is expected to handle the distance well.
- #7 DENIM AND PEARLS (5-1), also improving, is a major player in this race. With the top overall power rating, she enters the race strongly.
- #4 AUTUMN CHILL (10-1), a price horse, is competitive, having proven capabilities in previous starts.
- #11 ZADORSKY (6-1) is set to be competitive, likely in the first flight of runners with a chance late.
Selections: 1-7-4-11
Churchill Downs- 5
Post: 2:53 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 16
- #5 IRINA'S CHARM (3-1) gets the top selection. With the pedigree to be a major player, she runs races good enough to beat this group.
- #16 LADY MOSCATO (5-1) will be competitive, entering the race in good form. As the class of the field, she stands out.
- #12 PERFECT SHOT (7-2) is a fringe contender, not expected to have trouble with the distance.
- #6 MISHKA (4-1) should improve from the first start and is recommended for underneath on most tickets. Running for the Cox-Geroux combination, she is solid and ready for a big run.
Selections: 5-16-12-6
Churchill Downs- 6
Post: 3:21 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 1 m on turf; Entries: 16
- #1 PENDULUM (3-1) secures the top selection. Having proven capabilities to handle these conditions, she is expected to get the right setup in the race.
- #9 DAZZLIN' DICTATOR (10-1), a price horse, is competitive and enters the race in good form. Likely to get the right setup, she stands as a contender.
- #14 EGYPTIAN CANDY (3-1) is expected to improve and has a shot in this race. Running races good enough to beat the group, she enters with potential.
- #3 FLORIBUNDA (5-2), a fringe contender, makes sense on speed figures and comes into the race in good form.
Selections: 1-9-14-3
Churchill Downs- 7
Post: 3:49 PM ET; $127k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 m on dirt; Entries: 12
- #8 MYSTIK DAN (4-1) secures the top selection. Running with consistent pace figures, he is expected to perform well in a moderately paced race.
- #6 KNICKS STORM (10-1), a price horse, is competitive and makes sense on speed figures. With consistent pace figures, he is ready for a good run.
- #1 WHO DEY (10-1), another price horse, has a shot in this race. Running for the Drury barn with Mckee in the irons, he is a contender.
- #2 BERGEN (7-2) should improve from the first start and is recognized as a fringe contender. Running for the Cox-Prat combination, he has been solid in recent starts.
Selections: 8-6-1-2
Churchill Downs- 8
Post: 4:18 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 14
- #7 TRACK PHANTOM (3-1) secures the top selection. With the pedigree to be a major player, running for the Asmussen barn with Rosario in the irons, he is a strong choice.
- #11 TOP GUN ROCKET (9-2) is a major player in this race. Making sense on speed figures and running for the Mott barn with Prat in the irons, he stands out.
- #6 LAT LONG (4-1) will be competitive, making sense on speed figures.
- #12 DROPTOP CADDY (10-1), a price horse, is a fringe contender. Running evenly, he is expected to benefit from a fair pace scenario.
Selections: 7-11-6-12
Churchill Downs- 9
Post: 4:48 PM ET; $225k Ed Brown S. going 6 1/2 f on dirt; Entries: 9
- #6 NORMANDY HERO (5-1) secures the top selection. Expected to handle the distance well, he makes sense on speed figures.
- #9 BOOTH (7-5) should improve from the first start and is a major player in this race. Benefiting from a potentially hot pace up front, he is a strong choice.
- #7 JUST STEEL (6-1) is a major player. Likely to benefit from a hot pace, he is the class of the field.
- #8 DIVIETO (8-1) will be competitive. Likely to get the right setup, he stands as a contender.
Selections: 6-9-7-8
Churchill Downs- 10
Post: 5:18 PM ET; $400k Golden Rod S. going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 8
- #7 WEST SUNSET (2-1) secures the top selection. With tactical speed, she can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip. Running races good enough to beat this group, she stands out.
- #6 GIN GIN (8-1) will be competitive. Coming into the race in good form, she is likely to be in the first flight of runners and has a chance late.
- #8 THORPEDO ANNA (8-5) is a fringe contender. Running races good enough to beat this group, she is expected to be in the mix.
- #2 INTRICATE (6-1) is recommended for underneath on most tickets. Coming into the race in good form, she is ready for a big run.
Selections: 7-6-8-2
Churchill Downs- 11
Post: 5:48 PM ET; $400k Kentucky Jockey Club S. going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 8
![Risk it](https://images.storychief.com/account_25739/image_21e7e86e6a7f4521c093b9f5be03ffe2_800.png)
- #7 RISK IT (5-2) secures the top selection. Expected to handle the distance well, he has been solid in recent starts and is ready for a big run.
- #6 STRETCH RIDE (3-1) is a major player in this race. Making sense on speed figures, he stands out.
- #3 REAL MEN VIOLIN (5-1) will be competitive. Running races good enough to beat this group, he is the class of the field.
- #1 AWESOME ROAD (7-2) has a shot in this race. Running for the combination of Cox and Prat, he is a contender.
Selections: 7-6-3-1
Churchill Downs- 12
Post: 6:18 PM ET; $225k Fern Creek S. going 6 1/2 f on dirt; Entries: 12
- #1 YOUALMOSTHADME (8-5) secures the top selection. With the top overall power rating in the group and running for the combination of Cox and Gaffalione, she is a strong choice.
- #8 FIELD LASS (10-1), a price horse, is a fringe contender. Coming into the race in good form, she is likely to be part of the early pace.
- #2 FIBBER (15-1) is a price horse and isn't without hope. Proven to handle these conditions in previous starts, she is a contender.
- #10 SHARP TUNE (6-1) is recommended for underneath on most tickets. Expected to handle the distance well, she runs consistent pace figures, which should work well in a moderately paced race.
Selections: 1-8-2-10
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Friday
- Churchill Downs featuring the Grade 2 Clark Stakes
Saturday
- Aqueduct Picks featuring the Grade 3 Comely Stakes
- Churchill Downs Picks featuring the Grade 2 Golden Rod and Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club
Sunday
- Del Mar Picks featuring the Grade 3 Native Diver
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Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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