Churchill Downs: Jockey Club Analysis, Saturday, November 25

Churchill Downs will run its penultimate card on Saturday. The race features 2 graded stakes. The Golden Rod and the Kentucky Jockey Club will be run back to back.

Full Card Analysis

Churchill Downs- 1

Post: 1:00 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 1 1/8 m on turf; Entries: 16

• #16 MO CALIENTE (5-1) secures the top selection at Churchill Downs. Displaying performances strong enough to surpass this group, he positions himself mid-pack and surges with one well-timed run.
• #10 PHREDDIE MAC (12-1), a price horse, emerges as a contender worth considering. With promising speed figures and commendable form, he enters the race strongly.
• #12 RAGUEL (5-1) has a shot in this race, entering with commendable form and potential.
• #5 GAMBLIN GEORGE (12-1), another price horse, stands as a contender with mid-pack potential and a finishing kick.

Selections: 16-10-12-5

Churchill Downs- 2

Post: 1:28 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 7 f on dirt; Entries: 16

• #6 LINEBACKER (3-1), securing the top selection, is poised for improvement from the first start. Having demonstrated capabilities to surpass this group, especially handling these conditions in prior races, he stands as a strong choice.
• #1 EL MAGNIFICO (4-1) is acknowledged as a major player with performances capable of outpacing the field. Positioned in the second tier of runners, he plans a well-timed run.
• #15 VESTURE (4-1) holds a shot in this race, posing a threat to lead from the front.
• #3 LEGALIZE (7-2), expected to improve from the first start, is recognized as a contender with a potential front-end threat.

Selections: 6-1-15-3

Churchill Downs- 3

Post: 1:56 PM ET; $127k Allowance going 1 1/16 m on turf; Entries: 12

1. #5 LAGYNOS (4-1) stands out as a major player, showcasing consistency in recent starts and gearing up for a significant performance.
2. #10 GORILLA TREK (5-1) takes the top selection. Positioned for a late competitive run, this runner should handle the distance well and races for the Bauer-Leparoux combination.
3. #4 ASPENITE (6-1) is a major player in this race, likely to be part of the early pace. This one has been solid in recent starts and is set for a big run.
4. #7 THOMAS AQUINAS (10-1), a price horse, is competitive, having shown solidity in recent starts.

Selections: 5-10-4-7

Churchill Downs- 4

Post: 2:24 PM ET; $127k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 m on dirt; Entries: 13

• #1 TARIFA (5-2) should improve from the first start and takes the top selection. She is expected to handle the distance well.
• #7 DENIM AND PEARLS (5-1), also improving, is a major player in this race. With the top overall power rating, she enters the race strongly.
• #4 AUTUMN CHILL (10-1), a price horse, is competitive, having proven capabilities in previous starts.
• #11 ZADORSKY (6-1) is set to be competitive, likely in the first flight of runners with a chance late.

Selections: 1-7-4-11

Churchill Downs- 5

Post: 2:53 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 16

• #5 IRINA'S CHARM (3-1) gets the top selection. With the pedigree to be a major player, she runs races good enough to beat this group.
• #16 LADY MOSCATO (5-1) will be competitive, entering the race in good form. As the class of the field, she stands out.
• #12 PERFECT SHOT (7-2) is a fringe contender, not expected to have trouble with the distance.
• #6 MISHKA (4-1) should improve from the first start and is recommended for underneath on most tickets. Running for the Cox-Geroux combination, she is solid and ready for a big run.

Selections: 5-16-12-6

Churchill Downs- 6

Post: 3:21 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 1 m on turf; Entries: 16

• #1 PENDULUM (3-1) secures the top selection. Having proven capabilities to handle these conditions, she is expected to get the right setup in the race.
• #9 DAZZLIN' DICTATOR (10-1), a price horse, is competitive and enters the race in good form. Likely to get the right setup, she stands as a contender.
• #14 EGYPTIAN CANDY (3-1) is expected to improve and has a shot in this race. Running races good enough to beat the group, she enters with potential.
• #3 FLORIBUNDA (5-2), a fringe contender, makes sense on speed figures and comes into the race in good form.

Selections: 1-9-14-3

Churchill Downs- 7

Post: 3:49 PM ET; $127k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 m on dirt; Entries: 12

• #8 MYSTIK DAN (4-1) secures the top selection. Running with consistent pace figures, he is expected to perform well in a moderately paced race.
• #6 KNICKS STORM (10-1), a price horse, is competitive and makes sense on speed figures. With consistent pace figures, he is ready for a good run.
• #1 WHO DEY (10-1), another price horse, has a shot in this race. Running for the Drury barn with Mckee in the irons, he is a contender.
• #2 BERGEN (7-2) should improve from the first start and is recognized as a fringe contender. Running for the Cox-Prat combination, he has been solid in recent starts.

Selections: 8-6-1-2

Churchill Downs- 8

Post: 4:18 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 14

• #7 TRACK PHANTOM (3-1) secures the top selection. With the pedigree to be a major player, running for the Asmussen barn with Rosario in the irons, he is a strong choice.
• #11 TOP GUN ROCKET (9-2) is a major player in this race. Making sense on speed figures and running for the Mott barn with Prat in the irons, he stands out.
• #6 LAT LONG (4-1) will be competitive, making sense on speed figures.
• #12 DROPTOP CADDY (10-1), a price horse, is a fringe contender. Running evenly, he is expected to benefit from a fair pace scenario.

Selections: 7-11-6-12

Churchill Downs- 9

Post: 4:48 PM ET; $225k Ed Brown S. going 6 1/2 f on dirt; Entries: 9

• #6 NORMANDY HERO (5-1) secures the top selection. Expected to handle the distance well, he makes sense on speed figures.
• #9 BOOTH (7-5) should improve from the first start and is a major player in this race. Benefiting from a potentially hot pace up front, he is a strong choice.
• #7 JUST STEEL (6-1) is a major player. Likely to benefit from a hot pace, he is the class of the field.
• #8 DIVIETO (8-1) will be competitive. Likely to get the right setup, he stands as a contender.

Selections: 6-9-7-8

Churchill Downs- 10

Post: 5:18 PM ET; $400k Golden Rod S. going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 8

• #7 WEST SUNSET (2-1) secures the top selection. With tactical speed, she can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip. Running races good enough to beat this group, she stands out.
• #6 GIN GIN (8-1) will be competitive. Coming into the race in good form, she is likely to be in the first flight of runners and has a chance late.
• #8 THORPEDO ANNA (8-5) is a fringe contender. Running races good enough to beat this group, she is expected to be in the mix.
• #2 INTRICATE (6-1) is recommended for underneath on most tickets. Coming into the race in good form, she is ready for a big run.

Selections: 7-6-8-2

Churchill Downs- 11

Post: 5:48 PM ET; $400k Kentucky Jockey Club S. going 1 1/16 m on dirt; Entries: 8

• #7 RISK IT (5-2) secures the top selection. Expected to handle the distance well, he has been solid in recent starts and is ready for a big run.
• #6 STRETCH RIDE (3-1) is a major player in this race. Making sense on speed figures, he stands out.
• #3 REAL MEN VIOLIN (5-1) will be competitive. Running races good enough to beat this group, he is the class of the field.
• #1 AWESOME ROAD (7-2) has a shot in this race. Running for the combination of Cox and Prat, he is a contender.

Selections: 7-6-3-1

Churchill Downs- 12

Post: 6:18 PM ET; $225k Fern Creek S. going 6 1/2 f on dirt; Entries: 12

• #1 YOUALMOSTHADME (8-5) secures the top selection. With the top overall power rating in the group and running for the combination of Cox and Gaffalione, she is a strong choice.
• #8 FIELD LASS (10-1), a price horse, is a fringe contender. Coming into the race in good form, she is likely to be part of the early pace.
• #2 FIBBER (15-1) is a price horse and isn't without hope. Proven to handle these conditions in previous starts, she is a contender.
• #10 SHARP TUNE (6-1) is recommended for underneath on most tickets. Expected to handle the distance well, she runs consistent pace figures, which should work well in a moderately paced race.

Selections: 1-8-2-10

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Friday

• Churchill Downs featuring the Grade 2 Clark Stakes

Saturday

• Aqueduct Picks featuring the Grade 3 Comely Stakes
• Churchill Downs Picks featuring the Grade 2 Golden Rod and Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club

Sunday

• Del Mar Picks featuring the Grade 3 Native Diver

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