Churchill Downs: 6 Stakes Analaysis, Saturday, June 4

The Regret, Shawnee, Arlington, Aristides, Blame, and Audubon will all be run Saturday. Churchill Downs features the 6 stakes as part of an 11 race card.

Saturday Full Card Analysis

As of the writing of this piece, no morning lines had been assigned. This gives players a great opportunity to determine the true chances of the horses, before getting swayed by the morning line.

Churchill Downs Race 1

Post: 12:45 PM ET; Purse: $75,000 Claiming, 1 Mile on Dirt; Entries: 6

• #1 WINTER POOL should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & connections.
• #2 PROVERB has a great shot in the race given the form & class.
• #5 CRAFTY DADDY merits consideration in this spot given the horse’s speed & power rating.
• #4 CHOCOLATE BAR is a really consistent runner and wouldn’t be a total surprise here.

Selections: 1-2-5-4

Churchill Downs Race 2

Post: 1:14 PM ET; Purse: $56,000 Claiming, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 9

• #7 MAHOMEY is worth a look here given edges in form & power rating.
• #8 MAJESTIC WEST merits consideration in this spot with advantages in speed & stamina.
• #3 WILD FOR WYCLIFF is in with a great chance based on the horse's record at the distance & early pace.
• #1 KING'S MISCHIEF looks to have to have kept the best company in the previous starts.

Selections: 7-8-3-1

Churchill Downs Race 3

Post: 1:43 PM ET; Purse: $120,000 Maiden Special Weight, 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 15

• #5 MISREAD is a major player in today's race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including speed & early pace.
• #7 GUNNING comes into the race signaling a big performance in the near future.
• #1 STRIKINGLY has to be respected based on the connections.
• #14 LIL TOWN SIS is worth a look here given edges in class & pedigree.

Selections: 5-7-1-14

Churchill Downs Race 4

Post: 2:13 PM ET; Purse: $134,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 1/8 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 9

• #6 LONGPANTS REQUIRED is in with a great chance based on the horse's stamina & form.
• #1 SEMBLE JUSTE is a major player based on speed figures.
• #5 LADY FROSTED is worth a look here given edges in record at the distance & power rating.
• #8 POWDER RIVER is proven as a good bet to at least hit the board under today's distance and surface conditions.

Selections: 6-1-5-8

Churchill Downs Race 5

Post: 2:45 PM ET; Purse: $200,000 Regret S., 1 1/8 Miles on Turf; Entries: 6

• #3 MCKULICK should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & power rating.
• #4 KNEESNHIPS should be in the right spot early to give this horse a chance to get the job done.
• #2 BESIDE HERSELF is proven as a good bet to at least hit the board under today's distance and surface conditions.
• #1 WALKATHON has to be respected based on the connections.

Selections: 3-4-2-1

Churchill Downs Race 6

Post: 3:18 PM ET; Purse: $127,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 Mile on Dirt; Entries: 15

• #1A MCLAREN VALE is worth a look here given edges in class & power rating.
• #5 MY BUDDY B is proven as a good bet to at least hit the board under today's distance and surface conditions.
• #10 VOLCANIC shouldn’t have a problem carrying speed over the mile distance.
• #2 DURANTE will likely have the stamina to outlast these in the final jumps of the race.

Selections: 101-5-10-2

Churchill Downs Race 7

Post: 3:50 PM ET; Purse: $200,000 Shawnee S., 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 6

• #5 PAULINE'S PEARL has a great shot in the race given the pace & class. I have really liked this runner in just about every start.
• #4 ARMY WIFE merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & stamina.
• #6 CRAZY BEAUTIFUL has to be respected based on the connections. This is a name from Oaks trails gone by.
• #3 AVA'S GRACE has run against some really good fillies and should be considered a win contender here.

Selections: 5-4-6-3

Churchill Downs Race 8

Post: 4:22 PM ET; Purse: $200,000 Arlington S., 1 1/16 Miles on Turf; Entries: 6

• #5 FIELD PASS is worth a look here given edges in class & power rating.
• #1 ADMISSION OFFICE should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & pace.
• #4 GET SMOKIN is worth a look here given edges in race flow & form.
• #6 GRAY'S FABLE has to be respected based on the connections.

Selections: 5-1-4-6

Churchill Downs Race 9

Post: 4:55 PM ET; Purse: $200,000 Aristides S., 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 8

• #5 BOB'S EDGE is worth a look here given edges in connections & power rating.
• #7 JALEN JOURNEY is a major player based on speed figures.
• #2 MILES AHEAD comes into the race signaling a big performance in the near future.
• #4 NECKER ISLAND will likely have the stamina to outlast these in the final jumps of the race.

Selections: 5-7-2-4

Churchill Downs Race 10

Post: 5:26 PM ET; Purse: $200,000 Blame S., 1 1/8 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 8

• #8 AMERICANREVOLUTION looks formidable here given the edge in a number of key categories including speed & class.
• #1 PROXY makes sense based on early speed and final time numbers. I have been waiting for this horse to take the next step forward and it just doesn’t seem to be happening. It feels like this one may be running for 2nd.
• #6 SCALDING is proven as a good bet to at least hit the board under today's distance and surface conditions.
• #2 SUPER STOCK has speed figures that fit, but I don’t expect this one to win.

Selections: 8-1-6-2 (Best Bet: #8 AMERICANREVOLUTION)

Churchill Downs Race 11

Post: 5:58 PM ET; Purse: $200,000 Audubon S., 1 1/8 Miles on Turf; Entries: 11

• #2 GRAND SONATA is worth a look here given edges in class & form.
• #7 SMOKIN' T should be competitive based on the overall power rating which has it tops in the group.
• #10 SPEAKING SCOUT merits consideration in this spot given edges in stamina & pace.
• #3 TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE could get a perfect pace scenario today.

Selections: 2-7-10-3

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