Belmont at Saratoga Picks: Ogden Phipps Stakes (06/06/2025)

Written by: Chris Adams
Last Updated: Thu Jun 05, 2025, 16:42 PM
Read Time: 9 minutes

horses
The racing action from Saratoga on Friday features the Ogden Phipps Stakes Presented by Ford. @HandicappingT3 has all the Saratoga picks for the entire card!
Be sure to check out all the races and odds provided at the best horse racing betting sites.
Belmont at Saratoga
Don’t let the name fool you. This upcoming meet is Belmont in name only. The racing will be contested at Saratoga while the final preparations are put on the new Belmont Park. When handicapping, it is important to remember that all track profiles will match Saratoga and not Belmont.
Saratoga Full Card Analysis – June 6

Belmont at Saratoga Picks- Ogden Phipps Stakes (06/06/2025)
Bet all of today’s selections with signup bonuses and promotions at BetOnline.
Saratoga Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 11:40 A.M. ET; Allowance $95k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.
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#5 GEOPOLITICS (3-1) – Top pick. Looks good based on the 91 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Barn has been solid.
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#10 BELLACOSE (6-1) – Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts. Good race flow for this runner.
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#6 MUNNINGS EXPRESS (5-2) – Major Player. Lezcano and Rice team up on this one. May be able to find the right setup.
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#9 FIRST CLASS CAT (12-1) – Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 5 – 10 – 6 – 9
The Plays:
- Win: #3 at 9-5
- Exacta: 3/9,10
- Trifecta: 3/9,10/6,9,10
Saratoga Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 12:16 P.M. ET; Maiden Special Weight $100k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 13 runners.
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#1A ENDORSE (8-5) – Top pick. Ortiz and Pletcher team up on this one. Proven competitor at this configuration.
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#9 LOST HORIZON (8-1) – Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Top connections on the circuit with Prat and Brown.
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#8 ABSOLUTE HONOR (15-1) – Contender. Previous success in similar race types. May be able to find the right setup.
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#6 SURPRISE (6-1) – Contender. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint. May be getting a weaker field than last out.
Selections: 1A – 9 – 8 – 6
The Plays:
- Win: #1A at 8-5
- Exacta: 1A/6,8,9
- Trifecta: 1A/6,8,9/6,8,9
Saratoga Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 12:52 P.M. ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $115k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 11 runners.
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#3 WORKS FOR ME (8-5) – Top pick. Solid closing kick. Stamina to outlast the competition.
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#8 FINAL VERDICT (4-1) – Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Should still be running strong in the closing stages.
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#5 URBAN LEGEND (5-1) – Major Player. May be able to find the right setup.
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#1 FORE HARP (10-1) – Major Player. Race shape gives this one an edge. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 3 – 8 – 5 – 1
The Plays:
- Win: #3 at 7-5
- Exacta: 3/,1,5
- Trifecta: 3/1,5,8/1,5,8
Saratoga Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 1:28 P.M. ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $100k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day
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#4 JACKSON’S DIXIE (10-1) – Longshot play of the day. Decent form of late. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today’s live longshot on MyBookie.
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#7 VEHEMENTE (3-1) – Major Player. Likely to get forward position. Speed figures match this group well.
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#5 ARMY GAL (5-2) – Major Player. May be able to find the right setup.
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#2 EMBRACEABLE GAL (6-1) – Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out.
Selections: 4 – 7 – 5 – 2
The Plays:
- Win: #4 at 5-1
- Exacta Key Box: 4/2,5,7
- Trifecta: 4,5,7/4,5,7/2,4,5,7
Saratoga Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:04 P.M. ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $110k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 10 runners.
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#7 DREAMLIKE (9-2) – Top pick. Fits well with this group. Proven competitor at this configuration.
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#4 COSTA TERRA (20-1) – Major Player. Seems to be up against the right competition. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
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#1 UNBRIDLED BOMBER (30-1) – Major Player. Has experience at this level. Not likely to be short in the stretch.
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#3 GOOD SKATE (15-1) – Major Player. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race. Could be ready to hit a peak performance.
Selections: 7 – 4 – 1 – 3
The Plays:
- Win: #7 at 2-1
- Exacta: 7/1,3,4
Saratoga Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 2:40 P.M. ET; Bed o’ Roses Stakes $300k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
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#3 WAYS AND MEANS (6-5) – Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Top connections on the circuit with Prat and Brown.
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#1 IRISH MAXIMA (6-1) – Major Player. Running well of late. Likely to get forward position.
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#2 SCYLLA (5-2) – Contender. Speed figs match up nicely. Should sit a good trip.
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#7 ST. BENEDICTS PREP (20-1) – Contender. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 3 – 1 – 2 – 7
The Plays:
- Win: #3 at 6-5
- Exacta: 3/1,7
- Trifecta: 3/1,7/1,2,7
Saratoga Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 3:16 P.M. ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $110k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.
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#3 MYSTIFYING (2-1): Top pick. Should be able to work out a trip. Ortiz and McGaughey team up on this one.
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#4 ROYALTY RATE (8-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
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#15 SAVE US MELANIA (8-5): Major Player. Lezcano puts this one in with a chance.
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#1 HOPE MISSION (15-1): Major Player. Race conditions fit this one well. May be getting a weaker field than last out.
Selections: 3 – 4 – 15 – 1
The Plays:
- Win: #3 at 7-5
- Exacta: 3/1,4
- Trifecta: 3/1,4,15/1,4,15
Saratoga Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 3:52 P.M. ET; Maiden Special Weight $100k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.
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#1A NOBLE CONFESSOR (6-5): Top pick. Decent form of late. Solid closing kick.
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#6 TOM COLLINS (6-1): Major Player. Well bred for this race.
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#1 ASBURY PARK (6-5): Contender. Top connections on the circuit with Prat and Brown. Previous success in similar race types.
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#9 SOLUTIONS (12-1): Fringe Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.
Selections: 1A – 6 – 1 – 9
The Plays:
- Win: #1A at 3-2
- Exacta Box: 1,6,9
Saratoga Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 4:28 P.M. ET; Ogden Phipps Stakes Presented by Ford $500k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
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#4 RAGING SEA (5-2): Prime Win Candidate. Race sets up perfectly. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.
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#5 CANDIED (3-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
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#7 RANDOMIZED (9-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.
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#3 LESLIE’S ROSE (7-2): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Fast enough on paper to compete.
Selections: 4 – 5 – 7 – 3
The Plays:
- Win: #4 at 6-5
- Exacta: 4/5,7
- Pick 3 (races 9-11): 4/3,5,8,12/2
Saratoga Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:08 P.M. ET; Belmont Gold Cup Stakes $250k; 2 M Turf; Field of 13 runners.
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#5 ANGLOPHILE (9-2): Top pick. Fits well with this group. Proven competitor at this configuration.
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#8 GRAND SONATA (6-1): Major Player. Can run with these. Ortiz and Pletcher team up on this one.
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#3 LIMITED LIABILITY (2-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.
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#12 TIMEOUT (9-5): Major Player. Fast enough on paper to compete. Solid turn of foot.
Selections: 5 – 8 – 3 – 12
The Plays:
- Win: #5 at 3-1
- Exacta Box: 5,8
- Trifecta: 5,8/3,5,8/3,5,8,12
Saratoga Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 5:46 P.M. ET; DK Horse Acorn Stakes $500k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

Best Bet of the Card
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#2 GOOD CHEER (1-2): Best bet of the card. Should be able to work out a trip. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
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#4 SHRED THE GNAR (3-1): Major Player. This filly debuts at low odds. Backside buzz? Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
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#6 LOOK FORWARD (15-1): Major Player. May be able to find the right setup. Should find today’s group a bit softer than the last race.
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#7 QUICKICK (20-1): Contender. Prat puts this one in with a chance. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 2 – 4 – 6 – 7
The Plays:
- Win: #2 at 4-5
- Exacta: 2/6,7
- Trifecta: 2/4,6,7/4,6,7
Saratoga Picks – Race 12
Post Time: 6:25 P.M. ET; New York Stakes Presented by Rivers Casino $750k; 1 3/16 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.
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#8 SHE FEELS PRETTY (3-5): Top pick. Favorable class relief in this spot. Race sets up perfectly.
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#7 BEACH BOMB (10-1): Major Player. Saez and Motion team up on this one. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
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#3 GIMME A NOTHER (7-2): Contender. Speed figs match up nicely. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
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#1 FOREVER AFTER ALL (10-1): Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.
Selections: 8 – 7 – 3 – 1
The Plays:
- Win: #8 at 1-1
- Exacta: 8/1,7
Saratoga Picks – Race 13
Post Time: 7:04 P.M. ET; Just a Game Stakes Presented by Resolute Racing $500k; 1 M Turf; Field of 11 runners.
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#9 CHOISYA (4-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Should be able to work out a trip.
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#8 EXCELLENT TRUTH (5-2): Major Player. Good race flow for this runner. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
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#5 KEHOE BEACH (9-2): Major Player. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish.
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#11 SACRED WISH (12-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 9 – 8 – 5 – 11
The Plays:
- Win: # 9 at 5-2
- Exacta: 9/5,8,11
- Trifecta: 8,9/5,8,9/5,8,9,11
Saratoga Picks – Race 14
Post Time: 7:43 P.M. ET; Maiden Special Weight $90k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 15 runners.
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#1A IRON DOME (2-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Race sets up perfectly.
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#1 KEEPINITREAL (2-1): Major Player. Davis puts this one in with a chance. Should take a liking to the race shape.
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#14 POPPY’S TICKET (8-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
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#4 TERMINAL VELOCITY (15-1): Contender. May be a better effort in the 2nd start. Should still have enough in reserve for the final furlong.
Selections: 1A – 1 – 14 – 4
The Plays:
- Win: #1A at 1-1
- Exacta: 1A/4,14
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Thursday Analysis
Friday Analysis
- Belmont at Saratoga Picks featuring the Grade 1 Ogden Phipps (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
Saturday Analysis
- Belmont at Saratoga Picks featuring the Grade 1 Belmont Stakes
- Santa Anita Park Picks featuring the Grade 3 Summertime Stakes
Sunday Analysis
- Churchill Downs Picks featuring the Grade 3 Matt Winn Stakes

Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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