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Open Championship Odds and Favorites: Scheffler Favored for Troon Triumph
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Written by: Eddie Griffin
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Read Time: 8 minutes
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In each of the last two years, the Open Championship, also known as the British Open, has been won by a first-time major winner. Will that be the case this week at Royal Troon Golf Club, the site of the 152nd edition of golf’s oldest major?
At Royal Liverpool last year, Brian Harman pulled away from the field on Friday and went on to finish six strokes clear, capturing his first major title and first win in more than six years in dominant fashion.
The year prior, Cameron Smith overcame a four-shot deficit to win his maiden major title at St. Andrews. His final-round 64 included five consecutive birdies to start the back nine.
While Smith sizzled in 2022, third-round co-leader Rory McIlroy fizzled. He shot a bogey-free 70, but his second and final birdie was on the 10th hole.
That was a heartbreaking result for McIlroy, but it wasn’t nearly as heartbreaking as his sad stretch at last month’s U.S. Open. He went to the 15th hole at Pinehurst at 8-under and in command, but he bogeyed three of his final four holes and finished a stroke behind tournament winner Bryson DeChambeau.
After taking a few weeks off, McIlroy returned to action last week at the Genesis Scottish Open, where he tied for fourth, four strokes behind Robert MacIntyre.
It wasn’t a winning return, but it was a positive return for the four-time major winner. Will a long-awaited fifth title finally stop eluding him this week? He and Scottie Scheffler are the only two players in the Open Championship field with odds shorter than +1000 at BetOnline.
Odds to Win the 2024 Open Championship
- Scottie Scheffler +600
- Rory McIlroy +800
- Xander Schauffele +1400
- Ludvig Aberg +1800
- Collin Morikawa +1800
- Bryson DeChambeau +2000
- Tommy Fleetwood +2200
- Jon Rahm +2800
- Tyrrell Hatton +3000
- Viktor Hovland +3300
- Brooks Koepka +4500
- Shane Lowry +4500
- Tony Finau +4500
- Tom Kim +4500
- Robert MacIntyre +5000
- Patrick Cantlay +5000
- Cameron Smith +5500
- Hideki Matsuyama +5500
- Joaquin Niemann +5500
- Louis Oosthuizen +6000
- Adam Scott +6500
- Sahith Theegala +6500
- Aaron Rai +6500
- Sungjae Im +7000
- Corey Conners +7000
See more Open Championship odds at BetOnline. Want to know more about BetOnline? Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review. If you are interested in trying them out, you can get a 100% bonus (up to $1000) if your first deposit is with cryptocurrency (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, etc.).
Who Are the Favorites to Win the Open Championship?
Scottie Scheffler (+600)
Scheffler has yet to seriously contend at the Open Championship, but he is the man to beat this week, as he should be.
When he was last on the course for a competitive round, he defeated Tom Kim in a playoff to win the Travelers Championship, his sixth win of the season.
No one has won more than one major in a season since Brooks Koepka won the U.S. Open and PGA Championship in 2018. But if someone is going to do it, the guy who’s indisputably the top dog right now can.
If there is one caveat when it comes to Scheffler, it is his relative rust compared to some of the other contenders. But six wins in his last ten tournaments gives him some equity that no one else in the field is working with.
Rory McIlroy (+800)
When the Open Championship was last held at Royal Troon, McIlroy finished tied for fifth, 16 strokes behind Henrik Stensson, who finished with a major championship record 264 (-20).
That experience gives him an advantage over many of his fellow Open Championship contenders, but will he contend this week? He has been searching for a fifth major title since winning the 2014 PGA Championship, and his runner-up finish at Pinehurst was his fourth such finish since that victory.
Where was that 2014 PGA Championship held? At Valhalla in Louisville, Kentucky, which was also the site of this year’s PGA Championship. That’s where the parallels between then and now end, but it would perhaps be fitting if he were to break his major drought this week.
Xander Schauffele (+1400)
In a few weeks, Schauffele will attempt to defend his Olympic title at Le Golf National in France. But before he goes for gold, there’s the small matter of trying to win his second major this year.
Schauffele has dropped back to #3 in the world rankings behind Scheffler and McIlroy, but he has been the second-best player on the PGA Tour this season.
Only once has he finished outside of the top 25, and since finishing tied for 25th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, his worst finish in ten individual tournaments—he and Patrick Cantlay finished tied for 23rd at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans, a team event—is a tie for 18th at the RBC Heritage in April.
Schauffele’s standout season includes top-ten finishes in all three majors. Along with his win at the PGA Championship, he finished eighth at the Masters and tied for seventh in the U.S. Open.
Ludvig Aberg (+1800)
Aberg went into the final round of the Genesis Scottish Open with the lead, but after shooting 64-64-65 in the first three rounds, three bogeys on his final eight holes saw him finish Sunday with a 3-over 73 and a tie for fourth, four strokes behind MacIntyre.
It still amounts to a positive week for Aberg, who finished in the top five for the fourth time this season. That includes a runner-up finish to Scheffler at the Masters, while he missed the cut at the PGA Championship and tied for 12th at the U.S. Open.
It seems like only a matter of time before Aberg wins a major. But will it happen this week? His Sunday struggles at the Scottish Open may provide some extra motivation to conquer Royal Troon this week.
Collin Morikawa (+1800)
Scheffler is well off in the distance as the top performer on the PGA Tour this season, and Schauffele’s major win and 11 top-ten finishes make him the best of the rest.
But few have been as good as or better than Morikawa, who has been on a blazing run over the last three months. In that period, he has finished in the top four five times, including a tie for third at the Masters and a tie for fourth at the PGA Championship.
One thing he hasn’t done in this stretch or since his 2021 Open Championship win at Royal St. George’s is win.
It looked like his drought might come to an end on Sunday at the Renaissance Club, but after shooting a 3-under 32 on the front nine to move to -16, he went birdie-less on the back nine that featured two par-5s, and a double-bogey six on the 11th proved to the beginning of the end for his hopes to win.
Still, he finished tied for fourth along with Aberg, McIlroy, and three others, and it was another overall positive week for the two-time major champion. And as is the case with Aberg, Morikawa could find some extra motivation from not making the most of a great opportunity to get a win Sunday.
In May, Schauffele broke a long winless drought with his PGA Championship win. Could Morikawa achieve a similar feat at Royal Troon? With how well he has played over the last few months, many will expect to see him in the mix on Sunday.
Other Golf Betting Information
Where Can You Bet on the 2024 Open Championship?
Throughout the year, you can find a variety of golf odds at top online sports betting sites. Odds are available for events on the PGA Tour, LIV Golf, the DP World Tour, the LPGA Tour, and the Champions Tour.
In addition to being able to bet on tournament winner odds, online sportsbooks like BetOnline, Bovada, and BetUS offer finishing position odds, as well as odds on other types of golf bets. For example, BetOnline has top 5, top 10, and top 20 finishing position odds for the Open Championship, along with several prop markets, round leader odds, and head-to-head matchup odds.
Over the coming weeks and months, many big golf events are ahead.
- July: The Open Championship (a.k.a. British Open, July 18-21)
- August/September: 2024 Olympics (August 1-4 for the men’s event and August 7-10 for the women’s event), FedEx Cup Playoffs (FedEx St. Jude Championship, BMW Championship, and TOUR Championship), Presidents Cup (September 26-29)
If you want to bet on any of those events, we highly recommend BetOnline, BetUS, and Bovada as some of your go-to options. That is due to the variety of odds that they offer golf bettors.
If you are unfamiliar with any of those sites, check out our sportsbook reviews to learn more about them. Our reviews cover betting options, deposit and payout options, mobile and live betting, available sportsbook sign-up bonuses and other betting promos, and more.
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