The Memorial Tournament 2023 Odds, Picks & Predictions

One of the top non-majors on the PGA Tour will take place this week, as Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler, and Rory McIlroy will tee it up at the 2023 Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio.

It is the last of five invitational events on this season’s PGA Tour schedule, and as one of the new designated events on the calendar, this year’s tournament, there’s $20 million in prize money up for grabs this week, up from $12 million last year.

At least year’s Memorial Tournament, Billy Horschel picked up his first PGA Tour win over a year, finishing four strokes ahead of Aaron Wise, who has as many missed cuts (six) as top-20 finishes since.

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Who are the best bets to finish atop the field at Muirfield Village this year? Before we dive into our picks, let’s take a look at Memorial Tournament odds.

Odds to Win the 2023 Memorial Tournament

• Scottie Scheffler +600
• Jon Rahm +700
• Patrick Cantlay +1000
• Xander Schauffele +1200
• Rory McIlroy +1400
• Viktor Hovland +2000
• Tyrrell Hatton +2500
• Collin Morikawa +2500
• Jason Day +2800
• Justin Thomas +3000
• Matt Fitzpatrick +3500
• Jordan Spieth +3500
• Hideki Matsuyama +3500
• Rickie Fowler +3500
• Sungjae Im +4000
• Cameron Young +4000
• Sam Burns +4500
• Russell Henley +5000
• Corey Connors +5000
• Si Woo Kim +5500
• Adam Scott +5500
• Shane Lowry +6000
• Wyndham Clark +6000
• Sahith Theegala +6000

Predictions and Picks for the 2023 Memorial Tournament

Memorial Tournament Winner Prediction & Pick: Jon Rahm (+700)

I had high hopes for Rahm at the PGA Championship, but he had a very disappointing tournament, finishing tied for 50th with a score of +7, 16 strokes behind winner Brooks Koepka.

But I expect a much better performance for him in his return to action. Rahm took the win in his first appearance at this tournament in 2020, and he was well on his way to back-to-back wins the following year, holding a six-stroke lead when he had to withdraw after the third round due to a positive COVID test.

Last year was somewhat of a down year for Rahm, as he won only once on the PGA Tour and logged only six other top-ten finishes. But one of those top-ten finishes came at Muirfield Village, where a final-round 69 helped him move into a tie for tenth.

When it comes to individual events like golf tournaments, auto races, and tennis tournaments, it is never a bad idea to get behind multiple options.

And if Rahm doesn’t take his second Memorial Tournament win, there’s a good chance that Patrick Cantlay will claim his third.

Cantlay has yet to win this season, but he has finished tied for fourth or better five times, and it might be only a matter of time before he is lifting a trophy.

This week is as good a bet as any for Cantlay, as he has two wins (2019 and 2021) and two other top-four finishes (tied for third in 2022 and finished fourth in 2018) in six appearances at the Memorial.

Other Tournament Picks

Cantlay to finish in the top five (+220)

Cantlay is in good form entering the Memorial, as he has finished no lower than tied for 21th since missing the cut at the WM Phoenix Open in February.

Four of his finishes in that period have been fourth or better, and he has picked up some hefty paychecks with high finishes at three of the designated events, coming in third at the Genesis Invitational and RBC Heritage (both $1.38 million) and tied for fourth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational ($800,000).

Look for him to have another nice payday come Sunday even if he doesn’t win the big check at Muirfield Village for the third time.

Scottie Scheffler to finish in the top ten (-145)

There is a lot of juice here, but the way he has been somewhere around the upper end of the leaderboard tournament after tournament this season, this still has a lot of value.

Here are Scheffler’s results this season, including a fourth-place finish at the WGC Dell Technologies Match Play in March.

• T-45th
• T-3rd
• T-9th
• 2nd
• T-7th
• T-11th
• 1st
• T-12th
• T-4th
• 1st
• T-10th
• T-11th
• T-5th
• T-2nd
• T-3rd

Scheffler didn’t play in last year’s Memorial Tournament, but in his most recent appearance at Muirfield Village, he finished third in 2021, two shots behind Cantlay and Collin Morikawa, who went to a playoff.