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MLS Best Bets Today, Weekday Match Day: May 15th, 2024
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
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We’ve got some MLS Action on a Wednesday with 13 matches happening tonight in America’s soccer league. Beginning at 6:30 Central, with the last match kicking off at 9:30 central on the West Coast, we’ve got plenty of spots to bet on the pitch. So let’s get after it!
MLS Wednesday Best Bets
Here’s what I’ve got today.
- New York Red Bulls/DC United Over 2.5 (-120) BetOnline
- Atlanta United/FC Cincinnati Under 3.5 (-145) Bovada
Those are my best bets on the pitch today, read below for the analysis!
NY Red Bulls vs DC United Best Bets
Matchup Information – NY Red Bulls vs DC United
- Venue & Location: Audi Field (Washington, D.C)
- Date: Wednesday, May 15th, 2024
- Kick Off: 7:30pm Eastern
Best Bets: Over 2.5 (-120) BetOnline
Surprise surprise! We are betting on a soccer over! And how could you not with this line and these two teams? The Red Bulls have netted 20 goals this season, which is 1.67 per game and also 3rd best in the Eastern Conference. But defensively, they have allowed plenty as well. New York has conceded 18 goals in their 12 games this season, and D.C. United has played very similarly.
The home team has scored and allowed 19 goals in their 12 games this season, scoring and conceding 1.58 goals per game. The Red Bulls have soared over this number in their L2 games, totaling 6 and goals, and clearing 3 combined in 3 of their L4, and totaling 2 in the game that stayed under. The Red Bulls have scored in 5/7 road games this year, with 9 total goals on the road.
As for D.C. United, they have gone over 2.5 in 3 straight and 4 of their L5, with the one game staying under at 2 total goals. United have allowed 2 goals in their L2 games, scoring 5 total in the process. In 12 games this year, DC United has been shutout twice, scoring 2+ goals in 7 of 12 matches. In September when these squads played, we saw a 5-3 final.
I expect some fireworks tonight, or at the very least, a 2-1 finish to push this game over.
Atlanta United vs FC Cincinnati Best Bets
Matchup Information – Atlanta United vs FC Cincinnati
- Venue & Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)
- Date: Wednesday, May 15th, 2024
- Kick Off: 7:30pm Eastern
Best Bets: Under 3.5 (-145) Bovada
We got burned on FC Cincinnati’s under on Saturday. After 75 scoreless minutes, Cincy scored twice in 2 minutes, and then conceded a goal in the 89th to go over 2.5. Tonight, we go right back to their under.
FC Cincinnati has only scored 4 goals in 6 home games so far this season, and are only netting 1.25 goals per game this year. The under was certainly the play, and I’ve got not problem going right back to it. Even though Atlanta is netting almost 1.5 goals per game so far this year, that number drops significantly away from home.
In 4 road games this year, Atlanta have only scored once, being shutout the other 3 contests, at Chicago, at Toronto, and at Columbus. Cincinnati’s defense will be very tough to score against, especially at home. These squads already played in Atlanta once this year, and FC Cincy walked away with a 2-1 victory, with all 3 goals coming within 5 minutes. We only saw 7 shots on goal, yet 3 found the back of the net. I doubt that happens again.
Best Bets: Under 3 (+112) Bovada
I have a full unit on the Under 3.5, but just a half unit on Under 3 for plus money with push potential. I really think we see a boring game that Cincinnati dominates and wins 1-0 (+1000) or 2-0 (+875) . Come back to this article when either of those correct scores happen.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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